Weather in Carenage

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:05 am (AST)

Now · partly cloudy 79 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 78 / 86 °F
Rain: 98% · 0.11 in
Wind: 8 mph E

↘ 29.90 inHg · falling UV 7 · high

Today in Carenage: drizzle, 78 °F to 86 °F, with a 98% chance of rain (0.11 in) and a gentle breeze from the east (8 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 79 °F to 88 °F and a 92% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 88 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 78°
Today
88° 79°
Fri 30
86° 76°
Sat 31
86° 79°
Sun 1
88° 78°
Mon 2
87° 79°
Tue 3
83° 79°
Wed 4
83° 78°
Thu 5
87° 78°
Fri 6
89° 79°
Sat 7
87° 79°
Sun 8
86° 79°
Mon 9
87° 79°
Tue 10
89° 79°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	98% · 0.11 in	10 mph E	1.9 ft	6:28 am · 6:00 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	79 / 88 °F	92% · 0.13 in	7 mph E	1.8 ft	7:25 am · 6:54 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	76 / 86 °F	100% · 0.22 in	8 mph E	1.7 ft	8:28 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	79 / 86 °F	100% · 0.24 in	8 mph ENE	1.6 ft	9:38 am · 9:13 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	78 / 88 °F	95% · 0.26 in	7 mph E	1.5 ft	10:49 am · 10:33 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Heavy drizzle	79 / 87 °F	96% · 0.26 in	7 mph E	1.2 ft	11:52 am · 11:52 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	79 / 83 °F	97% · 0.33 in	7 mph E	1.3 ft	12:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	78 / 83 °F	94% · 0.24 in	7 mph E	1.3 ft	1:03 am · 1:25 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	88% · 0.12 in	7 mph E	2.8 ft	2:02 am · 2:01 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	60% · 0.02 in	9 mph ENE	3.1 ft	2:51 am · 2:35 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	64% · 0.14 in	9 mph ENE	3.0 ft	3:33 am · 3:07 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	79 / 86 °F	53% · 0.14 in	8 mph ENE	2.7 ft	4:12 am · 3:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	67% · 0.09 in	7 mph E	2.2 ft	4:48 am · 4:11 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	68% · 0.07 in	9 mph E	3.2 ft	5:24 am · 4:45 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	79°	78°	79°	82°	85°	86°	83°	80°
Chance of rain	6%	14%	17%	39%	92%	97%	58%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 E	7 E	7 E	9 E	8 ESE	6 ESE	7 E	8 ENE
Humidity	96%	95%	92%	81%	73%	70%	77%	87%
UV	0	0	0	4	7	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	88°	86°	86°	88°	87°	83°
AIFS	83°	84°	84°	84°	85°	84°	84°
GFS	90°	90°	86°	85°	89°	92°	91°
ICON	89°	92°	92°	90°	90°	92°	91°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.11 in	0.13 in	0.22 in	0.24 in	0.26 in	0.26 in	0.33 in
AIFS	0.37 in	0.27 in	0.24 in	0.21 in	0.17 in	0.17 in	0.18 in
GFS	0.05 in	0.30 in	0.89 in	0.60 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.02 in
ICON	0.04 in	0.04 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.09 in	0.05 in	0.04 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1021	717	822	821	721	718	719
AIFS	15	12	12	12	12	12	11
GFS	716	715	612	713	714	511	812
ICON	925	718	720	721	820	819	821
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	98%	92%	100%	100%	95%	96%	97%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	50%	77%	77%	45%	39%	39%	44%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −33%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −52%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −40%	A bit above +0.5 °F	84° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −40%	A bit above +0.5 °F	84° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −47%	A bit above +0.7 °F	84° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −38%	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −47%	Above +1.8 °F
January	Above +3.1 °F	A bit below −49%	Above +2.2 °F
February	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −41%	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +3.4 °F	A bit below −31%	Above +2.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Carenage climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carenage is from February to April: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carenage, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Bret, in June 2017.

85° 71°

JanJ
85° 71°

FebF
86° 72°

MarM
87° 74°

AprA
87° 75°

MayM
86° 74°

JunJ
86° 74°

JulJ
87° 73°

AugA
88° 74°

SepS
87° 74°

OctO
87° 73°

NovN
85° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	71°	5.53 in	10	6.0	80°	1.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	85°	71°	2.45 in	7	6.9	80°	1.5 ft	–
MarchMar	86°	72°	2.24 in	5	7.1	80°	1.4 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	74°	1.91 in	6	7.2	81°	1.3 ft	–
MayMay	87°	75°	3.90 in	12	6.5	82°	1.3 ft	–
JuneJun	86°	74°	7.84 in	20	5.7	82°	1.3 ft	1
JulyJul	86°	74°	8.64 in	21	6.2	82°	1.1 ft	1
AugustAug	87°	73°	10.00 in	21	6.5	84°	1.0 ft	1
SeptemberSep	88°	74°	7.82 in	17	6.9	84°	1.0 ft	1
OctoberOct	87°	74°	7.48 in	18	6.6	84°	1.0 ft	1
NovemberNov	87°	73°	10.04 in	20	6.2	83°	1.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	85°	72°	7.02 in	16	5.4	81°	1.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	1.4 ft	–
Feb	80°	1.5 ft	–
Mar	80°	1.4 ft	–
Apr	81°	1.3 ft	–
May	82°	1.3 ft	–
Jun	82°	1.3 ft	1
Jul	82°	1.1 ft	1
Aug	84°	1.0 ft	1
Sep	84°	1.0 ft	1
Oct	84°	1.0 ft	1
Nov	83°	1.1 ft	–
Dec	81°	1.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 74.88 in of rain on about 173 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow79 / 88 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 78 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 79 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 98% 0.11 in
Fri 30 92% 0.13 in
Sat 31 100% 0.22 in
Sun 1 100% 0.24 in
Mon 2 95% 0.26 in
Tue 3 96% 0.26 in
Wed 4 97% 0.33 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 98%, with 0.11 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 92% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.28 in; last 3 days, 0.51 in; last 7 days, 0.66 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity95%

Dew point77 °F

Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 77 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds55%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.81

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 16

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light showers	78 / 89 °F	0.28 in	11 mph ENE
Tue 27	Drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.13 in	11 mph E
Mon 26	Drizzle	81 / 90 °F	0.09 in	9 mph ESE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.01 in	9 mph E
Sat 24	Drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.14 in	10 mph ENE
Fri 23	Overcast	77 / 90 °F	0	11 mph E
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	78 / 92 °F	0	6 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.02 in	8 mph E
Tue 20	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.06 in	6 mph ESE
Mon 19	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.13 in	12 mph ENE
Sun 18	Drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.12 in	11 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.05 in	9 mph ENE
Fri 16	Mainly clear	78 / 90 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Thu 15	Drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.13 in	7 mph E
Wed 14	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.11 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.04 in	9 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.09 in	11 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.06 in	14 mph ENE
Sat 10	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.20 in	12 mph E
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.32 in	8 mph E
Thu 8	Drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.08 in	9 mph E
Wed 7	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.06 in	9 mph E
Tue 6	Overcast	78 / 91 °F	0	10 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light showers	78 / 86 °F	0.37 in	10 mph E
Sun 4	Light showers	77 / 82 °F	0.24 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 3	Showers	79 / 84 °F	0.51 in	10 mph E
Fri 2	Light showers	79 / 87 °F	0.28 in	10 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.08 in	11 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.28 in	9 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.11 in	11 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarenageQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carenage?

Drizzle, from 78 °F to 86 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east (8 mph) and a 98% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carenage?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 92% (0.13 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and falling: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carenage?

The best time to visit Carenage is from February to April: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carenage in October?

In October, Carenage normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 18 rainy days (7.48 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carenage?

The warmest is September, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 71 °F. The wettest is November (10.04 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Carenage?

Hurricane season: from June to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carenage, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Bret, in June 2017.

More about Carenage today

Weather near Carenage

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:05 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from