Weather in Lifau

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:59 pm (GMT+9)

Now · clear sky 86 °F

Feels like: 93 °F
Low / high: 77 / 89 °F
Rain: 31% · 0.02 in
Wind: 10 mph W

→ 29.86 inHg · steady UV 11 · extreme

Today in Lifau: light drizzle, 77 °F to 89 °F, with a 31% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a gentle breeze from the west (10 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 79 °F to 89 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (100%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 77°
Today
89° 79°
Fri 30
88° 79°
Sat 31
86° 78°
Sun 1
88° 75°
Mon 2
88° 74°
Tue 3
88° 77°
Wed 4
89° 80°
Thu 5
88° 78°
Fri 6
88° 80°
Sat 7
89° 79°
Sun 8
89° 78°
Mon 9
89° 79°
Tue 10
87° 80°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	31% · 0.02 in	10 mph WNW	2.4 ft	1:06 am · 2:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	6% · 0.02 in	11 mph NW	1.6 ft	1:43 am · 2:56 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	79 / 88 °F	100% · 0.31 in	6 mph N	1.4 ft	2:23 am · 3:46 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	24% · 0.02 in	9 mph N	1.2 ft	3:09 am · 4:51 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	75 / 88 °F	12%	9 mph N	1.3 ft	4:07 am · 6:23 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	74 / 88 °F	4%	9 mph WNW	1.2 ft	5:36 am · 8:00 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	77 / 88 °F	4%	5 mph NNW	1.1 ft	7:40 am · 9:04 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	80 / 89 °F	4%	5 mph N	1.0 ft	9:19 am · 9:48 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	78 / 88 °F	8%	9 mph NW	1.0 ft	10:23 am · 10:24 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Clear sky	80 / 88 °F	40%	11 mph WNW	2.8 ft	11:12 am · 10:57 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Clear sky	79 / 89 °F	38%	8 mph ENE	2.8 ft	11:53 am · 11:27 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	78 / 89 °F	41%	9 mph NNW	2.7 ft	12:29 pm · 11:56 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	27% · 0.02 in	6 mph NW	2.6 ft	1:01 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	80 / 87 °F	23% · 0.21 in	5 mph NNW	2.1 ft	12:24 am · 1:32 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	83°	79°	77°	87°	88°	88°	86°	85°
Chance of rain	2%	0%	0%	0%	29%	27%	10%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 ENE	3 ENE	3 SSE	2 WNW	6 NNW	9 WNW	9 W	2 SE
Humidity	71%	89%	79%	54%	65%	63%	73%	70%
UV	0	0	0	4	11	6	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	89°	89°	88°	86°	88°	88°	88°
AIFS	87°	86°	85°	86°	86°	87°	87°
GFS	89°	87°	91°	89°	86°	87°	88°
ICON	93°	94°	91°	93°	94°	94°	94°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.31 in	0.02 in	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.09 in	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1022	1122	623	922	923	923	523
AIFS	4	5	4	4	3	4	4
GFS	1112	1010	1213	1213	1011	1010	810
ICON	1019	1027	1126	1120	918	1019	917
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	31%	6%	100%	24%	12%	4%	4%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	10%	25%	47%	18%	23%	16%	13%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, drier and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −85%	A bit below −0.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −75%	A bit below −0.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Below −61%	A bit below −0.5 °F	83° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Below −69%	A bit below −0.5 °F	83° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Below −67%	Normal +0.2 °F	84° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.7 °F	Below −84%	A bit below −0.7 °F
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −47%	A bit above +0.5 °F
January	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Lifau climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Lifau is from July to September: highs of 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in April. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Lifau, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Seroja, in April 2021.

87° 77°

JanJ
86° 75°

FebF
87° 75°

MarM
88° 74°

AprA
89° 74°

MayM
88° 72°

JunJ
87° 70°

JulJ
85° 69°

AugA
86° 70°

SepS
87° 73°

OctO
89° 78°

NovN
88° 78°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	87°	77°	10.79 in	22	5.6	85°	2.0 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	86°	75°	8.22 in	20	5.9	84°	1.6 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	75°	6.78 in	16	7.4	84°	1.4 ft	–
AprilApr	88°	74°	4.31 in	8	7.9	84°	1.1 ft	3
MayMay	89°	74°	2.09 in	4	8.2	84°	1.6 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	72°	0.35 in	2	8.5	83°	1.8 ft	–
JulyJul	87°	70°	0.18 in	1	9.0	81°	1.8 ft	–
AugustAug	85°	69°	0.14 in	0	9.7	80°	1.7 ft	–
SeptemberSep	86°	70°	0.06 in	1	10.0	81°	1.5 ft	–
OctoberOct	87°	73°	0.65 in	3	9.9	83°	1.4 ft	–
NovemberNov	89°	78°	2.13 in	10	9.6	85°	1.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	88°	78°	7.91 in	19	7.3	85°	1.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	85°	2.0 ft	–
Feb	84°	1.6 ft	–
Mar	84°	1.4 ft	–
Apr	84°	1.1 ft	3
May	84°	1.6 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.8 ft	–
Jul	81°	1.8 ft	–
Aug	80°	1.7 ft	–
Sep	81°	1.5 ft	–
Oct	83°	1.4 ft	–
Nov	85°	1.3 ft	–
Dec	85°	1.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.60 in of rain on about 104 days and about 3,000 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now86 °Ffeels like 93 °F

Tomorrow79 / 89 °F

It's 86 °F now (feels like 93 °F). Today, 77 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 79 °F to 89 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 31% 0.02 in
Fri 30 6% 0.02 in
Sat 31 100% 0.31 in
Sun 1 24% 0.02 in
Mon 2 12%
Tue 3 4%
Wed 4 4%

Today the chance of rain reaches 31%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 100% and 0.31 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.04 in; last 7 days, 0.04 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds15%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak11extreme

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 12

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.98

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 41

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	77 / 88 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Mon 26	Overcast	78 / 88 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Sun 25	Overcast	78 / 88 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Sat 24	Partly cloudy	77 / 88 °F	0	9 mph NW
Fri 23	Overcast	79 / 88 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Thu 22	Overcast	77 / 89 °F	0	10 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	76 / 89 °F	0	10 mph NNW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.04 in	9 mph NNW
Sun 18	Overcast	78 / 89 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sat 17	Mainly clear	76 / 87 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Fri 16	Mainly clear	76 / 88 °F	0	11 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.08 in	10 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.01 in	12 mph W
Tue 13	Overcast	77 / 88 °F	0	11 mph SW
Mon 12	Overcast	77 / 87 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sun 11	Overcast	74 / 88 °F	0	11 mph N
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	74 / 87 °F	0	9 mph NW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NNW
Thu 8	Overcast	76 / 87 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	75 / 87 °F	0	10 mph NW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.01 in	10 mph W
Mon 5	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	0.12 in	11 mph WNW
Sun 4	Overcast	75 / 87 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Sat 3	Overcast	76 / 86 °F	0	10 mph W
Fri 2	Overcast	74 / 85 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Thu 1	Mainly clear	73 / 86 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Wed 30	Mainly clear	74 / 87 °F	0	10 mph N
Tue 29	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in LifauQuestions

What's the weather like today in Lifau?

Light drizzle, from 77 °F to 89 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west (10 mph) and a 31% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Lifau?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 6% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.86 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Lifau?

The best time to visit Lifau is from July to September: highs of 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Lifau in October?

In October, Lifau normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 3 rainy days (0.65 in for the month) and 10 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Lifau?

The warmest is November, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is January (10.79 in) and the driest, September.

When is cyclone season in Lifau?

Cyclone season: in April. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Lifau, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Seroja, in April 2021.

More about Lifau today

Weather near Lifau

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:59 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from