Weather in Öregrund

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:10 pm (CET)

Now · overcast 48 °F

Feels like: 43 °F
Low / high: 42 / 48 °F
Rain: 6%
Wind: 8 mph SW

→ 30.09 inHg · steady

Today in Öregrund: overcast, 42 °F to 48 °F, with a 6% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 45 °F to 51 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 51 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (35%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

48° 42°
Today
51° 45°
Fri 30
46° 41°
Sat 31
44° 39°
Sun 1
46° 42°
Mon 2
51° 36°
Tue 3
42° 40°
Wed 4
49° 38°
Thu 5
44° 33°
Fri 6
44° 37°
Sat 7
41° 32°
Sun 8
41° 34°
Mon 9
44° 38°
Tue 10
41° 37°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	42 / 48 °F	6%	10 mph SW	0.9 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Light rain	45 / 51 °F	0% · 0.01 in	14 mph NW	2.2 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	41 / 46 °F	0%	6 mph NE	1.6 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Light rain	39 / 44 °F	24% · 0.01 in	9 mph SW	1.2 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light rain	42 / 46 °F	35% · 0.17 in	12 mph N	1.8 ft	ICON-EU
Tue 3	Light rain	36 / 51 °F	6% · 0.02 in	19 mph NW	3.5 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	40 / 42 °F	5%	17 mph NNW	2.7 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	38 / 49 °F	6%	16 mph NW	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	33 / 44 °F	1%	10 mph W	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	37 / 44 °F	5% · 0.02 in	11 mph NW	5.5 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	32 / 41 °F	7%	8 mph W	4.6 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	34 / 41 °F	22%	8 mph WSW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	38 / 44 °F	24%	12 mph SW	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	37 / 41 °F	21% · 0.14 in	12 mph SSW	2.1 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Tuesday 3 8:00 am; then ECMWF until Friday 13 4:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	44°	43°	42°	44°	47°	48°	46°	44°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	4%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 SW	7 SW	8 SSW	8 SSW	7 SW	5 SSW	6 SW	6 W
Humidity	94%	96%	96%	96%	94%	89%	95%	93%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	49°	52°	47°	46°	47°	51°	42°
AIFS	50°	50°	46°	45°	46°	48°	48°
GFS	49°	50°	47°	45°	45°	46°	49°
ICON	48°	51°	46°	43°	46°	48°	49°
ARPEGE	49°	50°	48°	48°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	48°	51°	46°	44°	46°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.03 in	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0.06 in	0.02 in	0	0
ICON	0.03 in	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0.17 in	0.02 in	0
ARPEGE	0	0	0	0.02 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0.17 in	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1021	1327	714	1021	1142	1939	1731
AIFS	11	14	9	12	13	17	12
GFS	925	1130	817	720	1223	724	724
ICON	918	1325	59	817	1223	1223	919
ARPEGE	1320	2131	1219	1926	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1019	1426	611	917	1222	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	6%	0%	0%	24%	35%	6%	5%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	6%	3%	0%	23%	33%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.4 °F	Below −71%	A bit above +1.3 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +32%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	40° / 38°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +23%	A bit above +0.9 °F	39° / 37°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	38° / 36°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Above +2.7 °F
December	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Öregrund climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Öregrund is in July: highs of 71 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

34° 24°

JanJ
34° 23°

FebF
38° 26°

MarM
46° 32°

AprA
57° 39°

MayM
66° 48°

JunJ
71° 54°

JulJ
69° 53°

AugA
60° 46°

SepS
49° 39°

OctO
41° 33°

NovN
36° 27°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	34°	24°	1.49 in	7	0.9	35°	2.2 ft
FebruaryFeb	34°	23°	1.23 in	6	2.1	33°	2.0 ft
MarchMar	38°	26°	1.13 in	6	6.1	34°	1.8 ft
AprilApr	46°	32°	1.12 in	6	7.8	36°	1.5 ft
MayMay	57°	39°	1.58 in	7	9.1	42°	1.2 ft
JuneJun	66°	48°	2.28 in	8	10.1	51°	1.2 ft
JulyJul	71°	54°	2.42 in	8	9.8	60°	1.2 ft
AugustAug	69°	53°	2.76 in	9	7.9	62°	1.3 ft
SeptemberSep	60°	46°	1.80 in	8	5.9	56°	1.6 ft
OctoberOct	49°	39°	2.17 in	10	2.9	49°	2.0 ft
NovemberNov	41°	33°	2.09 in	9	1.0	43°	2.0 ft
DecemberDec	36°	27°	1.85 in	9	0.6	38°	2.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	35°	2.2 ft
Feb	33°	2.0 ft
Mar	34°	1.8 ft
Apr	36°	1.5 ft
May	42°	1.2 ft
Jun	51°	1.2 ft
Jul	60°	1.2 ft
Aug	62°	1.3 ft
Sep	56°	1.6 ft
Oct	49°	2.0 ft
Nov	43°	2.0 ft
Dec	38°	2.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 21.93 in of rain on about 91 days and about 1,950 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now48 °Ffeels like 43 °F

Tomorrow45 / 51 °F

It's 48 °F now (feels like 43 °F). Today, 42 °F to 48 °F; tomorrow, 45 °F to 51 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 6%
Fri 30 0% 0.01 in
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 24% 0.01 in
Mon 2 35% 0.17 in
Tue 3 6% 0.02 in
Wed 4 5%

Today the chance of rain reaches 6%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 35% and 0.17 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.33 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity90%

Dew point45 °F

Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 45 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak0low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.50

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.40 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 16

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	44 / 55 °F	0	12 mph SSW
Tue 27	Overcast	44 / 52 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	47 / 52 °F	0.02 in	15 mph S
Sun 25	Drizzle	46 / 52 °F	0.09 in	21 mph SSE
Sat 24	Overcast	42 / 53 °F	0	13 mph SSE
Fri 23	Drizzle	42 / 53 °F	0.21 in	13 mph S
Thu 22	Overcast	53 / 54 °F	0	15 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	49 / 55 °F	0	13 mph SE
Tue 20	Overcast	29 / 50 °F	0	9 mph SE
Mon 19	Overcast	31 / 49 °F	0	6 mph SW
Sun 18	Overcast	37 / 49 °F	0	9 mph NW
Sat 17	Light rain	40 / 50 °F	0.22 in	15 mph N
Fri 16	Light rain	51 / 59 °F	0.27 in	14 mph SW
Thu 15	Overcast	38 / 54 °F	0	14 mph SSW
Wed 14	Drizzle	44 / 49 °F	0.21 in	13 mph W
Tue 13	Light drizzle	44 / 48 °F	0.02 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light rain	46 / 47 °F	0.80 in	16 mph NE
Sun 11	Light rain	44 / 47 °F	0.56 in	16 mph ENE
Sat 10	Drizzle	44 / 49 °F	0.14 in	15 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light rain	47 / 54 °F	1.07 in	22 mph N
Thu 8	Light rain	43 / 54 °F	0.63 in	11 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	42 / 57 °F	0	10 mph W
Tue 6	Overcast	51 / 61 °F	0	17 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	51 / 63 °F	0.04 in	18 mph SW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	52 / 59 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Sat 3	Overcast	53 / 63 °F	0	11 mph SW
Fri 2	Overcast	53 / 65 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Thu 1	Overcast	55 / 64 °F	0	10 mph SE
Wed 30	Overcast	51 / 59 °F	0	8 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	49 / 59 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ÖregrundQuestions

What's the weather like today in Öregrund?

Overcast, from 42 °F to 48 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph) and a 6% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Öregrund?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.01 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 36 °F and a high of 51 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and steady: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Öregrund?

The best time to visit Öregrund is in July: highs of 71 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Öregrund in October?

In October, Öregrund normally sees highs of 49 °F and lows of 39 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.17 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 49 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Öregrund?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 23 °F. The wettest is August (2.76 in) and the driest, April.

More about Öregrund today

Weather near Öregrund

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:10 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from