Weather in Ersnäs

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:21 am (CET)

Now · partly cloudy 39 °F

Feels like: 34 °F
Low / high: 38 / 42 °F
Rain: 25%
Wind: 5 mph SSW

→ 29.87 inHg · steady

Today in Ersnäs: overcast, 38 °F to 42 °F, with a 25% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 34 °F to 41 °F and a 10% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 43 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (55%).

Measured now at the airport

Luleå (ESPA), 9.5 mi away · 31 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature41 °F

Wind8 mph from the south

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

42° 38°
Today
41° 34°
Fri 30
43° 29°
Sat 31
42° 34°
Sun 1
38° 31°
Mon 2
39° 29°
Tue 3
37° 27°
Wed 4
41° 35°
Thu 5
51° 35°
Fri 6
43° 36°
Sat 7
44° 34°
Sun 8
35° 26°
Mon 9
30° 24°
Tue 10
33° 28°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	38 / 42 °F	25%	6 mph SSW	1.4 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	34 / 41 °F	10%	8 mph NNW	1.0 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Fog	29 / 43 °F	8%	6 mph SSW	1.1 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Light rain	34 / 42 °F	55% · 0.31 in	4 mph WNW	1.1 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	31 / 38 °F	11%	4 mph WNW	0.6 ft	ICON-EU
Tue 3	Light drizzle	29 / 39 °F	11% · 0.02 in	13 mph NW	1.4 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	27 / 37 °F	14%	7 mph WSW	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	35 / 41 °F	13%	10 mph WNW	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	35 / 51 °F	4%	12 mph W	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	36 / 43 °F	8%	11 mph WSW	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	34 / 44 °F	5% · 0.05 in	18 mph WNW	2.5 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	26 / 35 °F	20%	13 mph NNW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	24 / 30 °F	22%	5 mph SW	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	28 / 33 °F	23%	6 mph WSW	1.3 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Tuesday 3 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	40°	39°	39°	39°	42°	42°	41°	40°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	21%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 S	5 S	5 S	5 SSW	6 SSW	5 SSW	6 SSW	3 S
Humidity	91%	93%	93%	93%	89%	89%	88%	92%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	43°	42°	42°	42°	38°	39°	37°
AIFS	42°	42°	40°	43°	37°	39°	47°
GFS	43°	42°	42°	45°	39°	46°	49°
ICON	44°	42°	43°	43°	38°	38°	44°
ARPEGE	42°	40°	42°	43°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	42°	41°	43°	42°	38°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0	0	0.17 in	0.00 in	0.03 in	0
AIFS	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.31 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
GFS	0	0	0	0.31 in	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0.34 in	0	0	0.01 in
ARPEGE	0	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.08 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0	0.31 in	0	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	714	919	815	812	915	1327	718
AIFS	8	11	9	9	9	15	15
GFS	721	926	823	625	812	1036	1428
ICON	714	918	613	59	59	1329	918
ARPEGE	713	918	713	918	—	—	—
ICON-EU	614	818	613	49	48	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	25%	10%	8%	55%	11%	11%	14%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	3%	3%	11%	42%	10%	3%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.0 °F	Below −73%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.7 °F	Normal	29° / 26°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal	27° / 24°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	26° / 22°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ersnäs climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ersnäs is in July: highs of 69 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

24° 9°

JanJ
25° 8°

FebF
33° 16°

MarM
42° 27°

AprA
54° 37°

MayM
64° 48°

JunJ
69° 53°

JulJ
66° 50°

AugA
56° 41°

SepS
43° 32°

OctO
32° 22°

NovN
28° 14°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	24°	9°	1.71 in	8	1.9	33°	2.8 ft
FebruaryFeb	25°	8°	1.26 in	6	2.8	32°	2.3 ft
MarchMar	33°	16°	1.17 in	7	6.5	32°	2.4 ft
AprilApr	42°	27°	1.05 in	6	7.8	33°	1.1 ft
MayMay	54°	37°	1.46 in	7	8.8	38°	1.2 ft
JuneJun	64°	48°	2.09 in	8	10.0	48°	1.3 ft
JulyJul	69°	53°	2.46 in	10	8.4	58°	1.2 ft
AugustAug	66°	50°	2.52 in	9	6.5	59°	1.7 ft
SeptemberSep	56°	41°	1.91 in	8	4.6	53°	2.0 ft
OctoberOct	43°	32°	2.01 in	9	2.3	46°	2.1 ft
NovemberNov	32°	22°	2.00 in	10	1.6	40°	2.5 ft
DecemberDec	28°	14°	1.85 in	9	0.0	36°	2.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	33°	2.8 ft
Feb	32°	2.3 ft
Mar	32°	2.4 ft
Apr	33°	1.1 ft
May	38°	1.2 ft
Jun	48°	1.3 ft
Jul	58°	1.2 ft
Aug	59°	1.7 ft
Sep	53°	2.0 ft
Oct	46°	2.1 ft
Nov	40°	2.5 ft
Dec	36°	2.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 21.48 in of rain on about 97 days and about 1,850 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now39 °Ffeels like 34 °F

Tomorrow34 / 41 °F

It's 39 °F now (feels like 34 °F). Today, 38 °F to 42 °F; tomorrow, 34 °F to 41 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 25%
Fri 30 10%
Sat 31 8%
Sun 1 55% 0.31 in
Mon 2 11%
Tue 3 11% 0.02 in
Wed 4 14%

Today the chance of rain reaches 25%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 55% and 0.31 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.24 in; last 7 days, 0.57 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point37 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 37 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now3.8 mimoderate

Clouds75%

Visibility is moderate now (3.8 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak0low

Fri 30: 0 · Sat 31: 0 · Sun 1: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 30.38

Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.50 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	40 / 53 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Tue 27	Drizzle	42 / 48 °F	0.13 in	12 mph S
Mon 26	Drizzle	46 / 48 °F	0.25 in	14 mph SSE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	43 / 47 °F	0.04 in	13 mph SE
Sat 24	Drizzle	43 / 48 °F	0.15 in	8 mph SSE
Fri 23	Overcast	42 / 46 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Thu 22	Overcast	40 / 47 °F	0	7 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	34 / 43 °F	0	7 mph SSE
Tue 20	Clear sky	35 / 47 °F	0	9 mph SW
Mon 19	Overcast	31 / 47 °F	0	12 mph SW
Sun 18	Overcast	28 / 42 °F	0	9 mph W
Sat 17	Mainly clear	34 / 46 °F	0	10 mph W
Fri 16	Rain	38 / 53 °F	0.35 in	11 mph SW
Thu 15	Drizzle	31 / 48 °F	0.13 in	14 mph S
Wed 14	Drizzle	34 / 42 °F	0.20 in	11 mph SSW
Tue 13	Light snow	29 / 40 °F	0.01 in	9 mph ESE
Mon 12	Partly cloudy	24 / 38 °F	0	7 mph N
Sun 11	Overcast	26 / 37 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Sat 10	Overcast	31 / 39 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Fri 9	Overcast	34 / 43 °F	0	12 mph N
Thu 8	Overcast	33 / 47 °F	0	8 mph W
Wed 7	Mainly clear	40 / 53 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	47 / 56 °F	0.02 in	15 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	43 / 56 °F	0.04 in	13 mph SSW
Sun 4	Light rain	44 / 56 °F	0.19 in	9 mph W
Sat 3	Light drizzle	48 / 55 °F	0.09 in	7 mph SSW
Fri 2	Overcast	46 / 58 °F	0	8 mph SSW
Thu 1	Overcast	39 / 57 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	40 / 55 °F	0	10 mph W
Tue 29	Drizzle	48 / 59 °F	0.07 in	11 mph W

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ErsnäsQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ersnäs?

Overcast, from 38 °F to 42 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph) and a 25% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ersnäs?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 10% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 27 °F and a high of 43 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.87 inHg and steady: +0.17 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ersnäs?

The best time to visit Ersnäs is in July: highs of 69 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ersnäs in October?

In October, Ersnäs normally sees highs of 43 °F and lows of 32 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.01 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 46 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ersnäs?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 69 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 8 °F. The wettest is August (2.52 in) and the driest, April.

More about Ersnäs today

Weather near Ersnäs

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:21 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from