Weather in Karlskrona

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:31 am (CET)

Now · partly cloudy 47 °F

Feels like: 44 °F
Low / high: 45 / 53 °F
Rain: 16% · 0.01 in
Wind: 4 mph WSW

→ 30.23 inHg · steady

Today in Karlskrona: light rain, 45 °F to 53 °F, with a 16% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 46 °F to 55 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 55 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

53° 45°
Today
55° 46°
Fri 30
48° 42°
Sat 31
49° 41°
Sun 1
49° 42°
Mon 2
48° 36°
Tue 3
48° 36°
Wed 4
48° 35°
Thu 5
51° 35°
Fri 6
48° 41°
Sat 7
48° 43°
Sun 8
44° 33°
Mon 9
48° 34°
Tue 10
46° 44°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	45 / 53 °F	16% · 0.01 in	8 mph W	1.5 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	46 / 55 °F	0%	6 mph NW	1.4 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	42 / 48 °F	0%	9 mph NNE	0.9 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Fog	41 / 49 °F	18%	4 mph N	1.2 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light rain	42 / 49 °F	25% · 0.04 in	10 mph NNW	1.2 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	36 / 48 °F	4%	9 mph NNW	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	36 / 48 °F	0%	8 mph NW	0.8 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	35 / 48 °F	0%	6 mph NNW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	35 / 51 °F	0%	8 mph NNW	0.8 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	41 / 48 °F	10%	6 mph W	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	43 / 48 °F	12%	10 mph W	3.9 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	33 / 44 °F	15%	6 mph N	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	34 / 48 °F	22%	9 mph ESE	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	44 / 46 °F	22% · 0.28 in	10 mph ESE	4.3 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light rain	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	45°	46°	47°	50°	52°	53°	49°	47°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	12%	5%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 W	3 WSW	4 SW	5 SW	6 WNW	6 W	6 W	5 W
Humidity	96%	97%	96%	95%	81%	77%	91%	95%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	54°	56°	52°	51°	49°	48°	48°
AIFS	53°	53°	48°	48°	48°	48°	50°
GFS	53°	55°	52°	49°	49°	46°	52°
ICON	53°	57°	49°	49°	48°	47°	52°
ARPEGE	52°	54°	51°	47°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	53°	55°	48°	49°	49°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0	0	0.00 in	0.36 in	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.13 in	0	0
GFS	0.02 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.06 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0	0
ARPEGE	0.01 in	0	0	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	low	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	817	816	714	626	1031	918	817
AIFS	9	9	7	8	13	11	10
GFS	1023	819	610	1318	1931	1228	824
ICON	718	614	820	39	616	615	613
ARPEGE	1217	1117	711	812	—	—	—
ICON-EU	815	611	917	49	36	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	16%	0%	0%	18%	25%	4%	0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	29%	0%	0%	30%	32%	1%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −2.5 °F	Below −80%	Normal +0.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	45° / 42°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +33%	A bit above +0.5 °F	44° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	42° / 40°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
January	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Karlskrona climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Karlskrona is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

37° 29°

JanJ
38° 29°

FebF
42° 31°

MarM
51° 36°

AprA
60° 44°

MayM
67° 51°

JunJ
71° 56°

JulJ
71° 55°

AugA
63° 50°

SepS
53° 43°

OctO
45° 37°

NovN
40° 32°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	37°	29°	1.80 in	8	0.9	39°	3.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	38°	29°	1.53 in	7	2.1	37°	3.2 ft
MarchMar	42°	31°	1.13 in	6	5.4	37°	2.7 ft
AprilApr	51°	36°	1.02 in	6	7.3	40°	2.2 ft
MayMay	60°	44°	1.34 in	7	9.1	47°	1.8 ft
JuneJun	67°	51°	1.85 in	9	9.6	56°	1.8 ft
JulyJul	71°	56°	2.37 in	10	8.6	62°	1.8 ft
AugustAug	71°	55°	2.29 in	10	7.6	64°	2.0 ft
SeptemberSep	63°	50°	2.16 in	8	5.2	59°	2.5 ft
OctoberOct	53°	43°	2.30 in	9	2.9	53°	3.2 ft
NovemberNov	45°	37°	2.36 in	11	0.7	47°	3.2 ft
DecemberDec	40°	32°	2.21 in	10	0.1	42°	3.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	39°	3.6 ft
Feb	37°	3.2 ft
Mar	37°	2.7 ft
Apr	40°	2.2 ft
May	47°	1.8 ft
Jun	56°	1.8 ft
Jul	62°	1.8 ft
Aug	64°	2.0 ft
Sep	59°	2.5 ft
Oct	53°	3.2 ft
Nov	47°	3.2 ft
Dec	42°	3.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 22.35 in of rain on about 102 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now47 °Ffeels like 44 °F

Tomorrow46 / 55 °F

It's 47 °F now (feels like 44 °F). Today, 45 °F to 53 °F; tomorrow, 46 °F to 55 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 16% 0.01 in
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 18%
Mon 2 25% 0.04 in
Tue 3 4%
Wed 4 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 16%, with 0.01 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.13 in; last 7 days, 1.20 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%

Dew point46 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 46 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now5.5 mimoderate

Clouds78%

Visibility is moderate now (5.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.42

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.19 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	42 / 53 °F	0.07 in	11 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	47 / 53 °F	0.03 in	13 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	48 / 53 °F	0.02 in	17 mph WSW
Sun 25	Light rain	47 / 51 °F	0.64 in	24 mph S
Sat 24	Drizzle	49 / 55 °F	0.18 in	15 mph SSE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	46 / 53 °F	0.06 in	10 mph S
Thu 22	Drizzle	49 / 54 °F	0.20 in	10 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light rain	53 / 56 °F	0.26 in	15 mph SE
Tue 20	Drizzle	42 / 53 °F	0.19 in	13 mph ENE
Mon 19	Overcast	37 / 54 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	38 / 53 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	45 / 54 °F	0.30 in	14 mph NNE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	52 / 58 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	40 / 56 °F	0	11 mph SW
Wed 14	Light rain	47 / 60 °F	0.21 in	16 mph W
Tue 13	Overcast	38 / 53 °F	0	16 mph S
Mon 12	Overcast	42 / 50 °F	0	11 mph NW
Sun 11	Drizzle	44 / 54 °F	0.15 in	7 mph WSW
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	49 / 57 °F	0.22 in	13 mph SW
Fri 9	Overcast	45 / 55 °F	0	18 mph W
Thu 8	Light rain	47 / 61 °F	0.37 in	15 mph S
Wed 7	Overcast	43 / 59 °F	0	8 mph SW
Tue 6	Overcast	49 / 62 °F	0	13 mph W
Mon 5	Overcast	50 / 63 °F	0	15 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	50 / 62 °F	0	11 mph W
Sat 3	Overcast	46 / 63 °F	0	7 mph W
Fri 2	Overcast	55 / 65 °F	0	9 mph SSE
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	56 / 65 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	55 / 65 °F	0.08 in	10 mph E
Tue 29	Light rain	53 / 69 °F	0.28 in	8 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in KarlskronaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Karlskrona?

Light rain, from 45 °F to 53 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph) and a 16% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Karlskrona?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 36 °F and a high of 55 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.23 inHg and steady: +0.18 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Karlskrona?

The best time to visit Karlskrona is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Karlskrona in October?

In October, Karlskrona normally sees highs of 53 °F and lows of 43 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.30 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Karlskrona?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 29 °F. The wettest is July (2.37 in) and the driest, April.

More about Karlskrona today

Weather near Karlskrona

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:31 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from