Weather in Jaffna

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:43 am (GMT+5:30)

Now · overcast 85 °F

Feels like: 91 °F
Low / high: 82 / 87 °F
Rain: 8%
Wind: 13 mph SSW

↗ 29.85 inHg · rising UV 9 · very high

Today in Jaffna: overcast, 82 °F to 87 °F, with a 8% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the south-southwest (13 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 80 °F to 88 °F and a 51% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 88 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Jaffna (VCCJ), 9.6 mi away · 1 h 3 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature82 °F

Wind6 mph from the southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 82°
Today
88° 80°
Fri 30
88° 77°
Sat 31
85° 77°
Sun 1
87° 77°
Mon 2
88° 77°
Tue 3
86° 78°
Wed 4
86° 77°
Thu 5
86° 77°
Fri 6
84° 75°
Sat 7
83° 77°
Sun 8
85° 76°
Mon 9
84° 76°
Tue 10
82° 76°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	82 / 87 °F	8%	15 mph SSW	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	51% · 0.04 in	11 mph SSW	2.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	77 / 88 °F	41%	5 mph E	1.1 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	56% · 0.05 in	5 mph NNW	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	51% · 0.08 in	8 mph SW	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	77 / 88 °F	55% · 0.09 in	8 mph SSW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	68% · 0.09 in	7 mph S	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	77% · 0.07 in	4 mph E	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	78% · 0.21 in	9 mph NE	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Heavy drizzle	75 / 84 °F	80% · 0.61 in	9 mph NNE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	82% · 0.33 in	8 mph NE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	88% · 0.47 in	10 mph NE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	86% · 0.47 in	9 mph NE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	83% · 0.38 in	7 mph NNE	0.6 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	83°	82°	83°	86°	87°	85°	83°	82°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	4%	7%	1%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	14 SSW	12 SW	12 SW	14 SSW	14 SW	13 SW	10 SSW	9 SSW
Humidity	79%	80%	79%	73%	71%	77%	83%	85%
UV	0	0	0	5	9	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	88°	88°	85°	87°	88°	86°
AIFS	88°	88°	87°	85°	86°	86°	85°
GFS	86°	87°	88°	86°	86°	86°	87°
ICON	89°	90°	91°	87°	87°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.04 in	0	0.05 in	0.08 in	0.09 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.14 in	0.26 in	0.24 in
GFS	0	0	0	0.08 in	0.10 in	0.32 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1526	1120	513	513	818	817	715
AIFS	17	12	9	7	7	7	8
GFS	1525	1219	610	68	911	914	814
ICON	1023	717	410	410	513	410	411
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	8%	51%	41%	56%	51%	55%	68%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	3%	10%	3%	29%	65%	42%	32%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −51%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	83° / 78°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	82° / 78°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	82° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
January	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −33%
February	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −48%
March	Above +3.1 °F	Below −62%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Jaffna climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Jaffna is from January to February: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from November to December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Jaffna, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ditwah, in November 2025.

84° 74°

JanJ
87° 74°

FebF
91° 76°

MarM
93° 79°

AprA
92° 81°

MayM
92° 81°

JunJ
91° 80°

JulJ
90° 79°

AugA
90° 79°

SepS
88° 77°

OctO
85° 76°

NovN
83° 75°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	74°	3.82 in	5	8.2	80°	1.4 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	87°	74°	1.14 in	4	8.9	81°	1.2 ft	–
MarchMar	91°	76°	1.72 in	4	9.0	84°	1.0 ft	–
AprilApr	93°	79°	3.53 in	10	8.4	87°	1.2 ft	–
MayMay	92°	81°	2.71 in	9	8.1	86°	2.5 ft	–
JuneJun	92°	81°	0.50 in	4	7.8	85°	3.0 ft	–
JulyJul	91°	80°	0.76 in	4	7.3	84°	2.5 ft	–
AugustAug	90°	79°	1.85 in	7	7.6	84°	2.5 ft	–
SeptemberSep	90°	79°	2.09 in	9	7.8	84°	2.4 ft	–
OctoberOct	88°	77°	10.83 in	20	6.7	84°	1.5 ft	–
NovemberNov	85°	76°	17.45 in	20	6.5	83°	1.3 ft	3
DecemberDec	83°	75°	11.76 in	15	7.2	81°	1.6 ft	3

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	1.4 ft	1
Feb	81°	1.2 ft	–
Mar	84°	1.0 ft	–
Apr	87°	1.2 ft	–
May	86°	2.5 ft	–
Jun	85°	3.0 ft	–
Jul	84°	2.5 ft	–
Aug	84°	2.5 ft	–
Sep	84°	2.4 ft	–
Oct	84°	1.5 ft	–
Nov	83°	1.3 ft	3
Dec	81°	1.6 ft	3

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 58.16 in of rain on about 110 days and about 2,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now85 °Ffeels like 91 °F

Tomorrow80 / 88 °F

It's 85 °F now (feels like 91 °F). Today, 82 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 80 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 8%
Fri 30 51% 0.04 in
Sat 31 41%
Sun 1 56% 0.05 in
Mon 2 51% 0.08 in
Tue 3 55% 0.09 in
Wed 4 68% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 8%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 51% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 1.96 in; last 7 days, 6.22 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity76%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 76% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds97%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now2

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.7029.8029.9030.00 29.95

Rising now (+0.07 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.11 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityPoor · 64

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	82 / 89 °F	0	16 mph SW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.02 in	15 mph WSW
Mon 26	Showers	77 / 79 °F	2.89 in	11 mph NW
Sun 25	Light showers	77 / 81 °F	1.28 in	14 mph SW
Sat 24	Showers	77 / 87 °F	0.89 in	11 mph SSW
Fri 23	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.58 in	9 mph SSW
Thu 22	Showers	78 / 85 °F	0.74 in	9 mph S

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.99 in	13 mph NE
Tue 20	Showers	79 / 85 °F	0.72 in	11 mph NNW
Mon 19	Drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.37 in	9 mph WSW
Sun 18	Showers	78 / 88 °F	0.83 in	10 mph WSW
Sat 17	Showers	78 / 88 °F	0.54 in	13 mph SW
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.31 in	12 mph SW
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	0.52 in	11 mph SSW
Wed 14	Showers	77 / 84 °F	0.81 in	6 mph ENE
Tue 13	Drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.18 in	14 mph NE
Mon 12	Drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.14 in	14 mph NE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	83 / 93 °F	0.01 in	14 mph NE
Sat 10	Drizzle	80 / 93 °F	0.20 in	10 mph NE
Fri 9	Drizzle	80 / 92 °F	0.15 in	10 mph ENE
Thu 8	Drizzle	82 / 92 °F	0.27 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	82 / 92 °F	0.28 in	9 mph E
Tue 6	Drizzle	82 / 94 °F	0.09 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 5	Drizzle	82 / 92 °F	0.13 in	8 mph S
Sun 4	Drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.12 in	9 mph SSE
Sat 3	Drizzle	81 / 92 °F	0.18 in	7 mph E
Fri 2	Drizzle	82 / 93 °F	0.11 in	10 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	83 / 94 °F	0.08 in	11 mph SSE
Wed 30	Drizzle	83 / 94 °F	0.07 in	13 mph SSW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	84 / 93 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in JaffnaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Jaffna?

Overcast, from 82 °F to 87 °F, with a moderate breeze from the south-southwest (13 mph) and a 8% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Jaffna?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 51% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.85 inHg and rising: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Jaffna?

The best time to visit Jaffna is from January to February: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Jaffna in October?

In October, Jaffna normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 77 °F, with about 20 rainy days (10.83 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Jaffna?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 74 °F. The wettest is November (17.45 in) and the driest, June.

When is cyclone season in Jaffna?

Cyclone season: from November to December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Jaffna, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ditwah, in November 2025.

More about Jaffna today

Weather near Jaffna

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:43 am (local time).

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