Weather in El Toro

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:38 am (CET)

Now · mainly clear 57 °F

Feels like: 59 °F
Low / high: 57 / 72 °F
Rain: 31%
Wind: 0 mph N

→ 30.21 inHg · steady

Today in El Toro: overcast, 57 °F to 72 °F, with a 31% chance of rain and calm. Tomorrow, overcast, 62 °F to 72 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 72 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (39%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

72° 57°
Today
72° 62°
Fri 30
71° 62°
Sat 31
70° 60°
Sun 1
67° 58°
Mon 2
63° 56°
Tue 3
68° 56°
Wed 4
63° 61°
Thu 5
71° 59°
Fri 6
69° 63°
Sat 7
71° 63°
Sun 8
73° 62°
Mon 9
71° 64°
Tue 10
72° 62°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	57 / 72 °F	31%	7 mph W	0.9 ft	AROME
Fri 30	Overcast	62 / 72 °F	14%	6 mph E	0.7 ft	AROME + ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	62 / 71 °F	14%	10 mph ENE	1.6 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	60 / 70 °F	12%	11 mph NW	1.7 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	58 / 67 °F	18%	11 mph ENE	2.2 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	56 / 63 °F	39% · 0.17 in	12 mph NE	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	56 / 68 °F	29% · 0.09 in	11 mph ENE	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Rain	61 / 63 °F	32% · 1.66 in	13 mph ENE	1.5 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	59 / 71 °F	34% · 0.13 in	12 mph NE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	63 / 69 °F	29% · 0.17 in	13 mph ENE	2.2 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	63 / 71 °F	22% · 0.05 in	13 mph E	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	62 / 73 °F	25%	8 mph E	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	64 / 71 °F	20% · 0.06 in	11 mph S	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	62 / 72 °F	18% · 0.39 in	11 mph WSW	2.7 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: AROME until Friday 30 11:00 pm; then ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear	Overcast
Temperature	58°	57°	57°	63°	72°	72°	68°	61°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	1%	24%	27%	11%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	0 NE	0 NNW	1 NE	2 NW	7 WSW	7 W	4 WNW	1 NE
Humidity	91%	92%	94%	91%	68%	67%	77%	92%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0
Model	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 7 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	71°	73°	71°	70°	67°	63°	68°
AIFS	72°	72°	70°	69°	66°	59°	64°
GFS	72°	71°	72°	69°	69°	63°	59°
ICON	72°	73°	72°	71°	68°	64°	66°
ARPEGE	73°	73°	73°	73°	—	—	—
AROME	72°	72°	—	—	—	—	—
ICON-EU	72°	72°	71°	70°	67°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.05 in	0	0	0.01 in	0	0.17 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.86 in	0.06 in
GFS	0.03 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0.08 in	0
ARPEGE	0.00 in	0	0	0	—	—	—
AROME	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.00 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	—	—
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	915	813	1221	1022	1618	1222	1119
AIFS	8	6	9	9	14	13	11
GFS	89	89	1316	99	1213	1012	1115
ICON	818	512	715	1022	513	1123	715
ARPEGE	916	815	1526	1019	—	—	—
AROME	717	614	—	—	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1016	59	1017	1119	815	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	31%	14%	14%	12%	18%	39%	29%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	41%	71%	52%	3%	13%	26%	29%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −30%	Above +2.0 °F	65° / 63°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −34%	Above +1.8 °F	63° / 61°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	62° / 60°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +25%	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −24%	A bit above +1.6 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −23%	A bit above +1.4 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

El Toro climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Toro is from May to August: highs of 74 °F to 87 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 11 hours of sunshine a day.

59° 42°

JanJ
59° 42°

FebF
63° 45°

MarM
67° 49°

AprA
74° 55°

MayM
81° 62°

JunJ
86° 67°

JulJ
87° 68°

AugA
81° 63°

SepS
74° 58°

OctO
66° 50°

NovN
62° 45°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	59°	42°	1.56 in	6	4.7	58°	3.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	59°	42°	1.52 in	5	5.6	57°	3.5 ft
MarchMar	63°	45°	0.92 in	4	6.6	58°	3.2 ft
AprilApr	67°	49°	1.35 in	5	7.7	60°	2.5 ft
MayMay	74°	55°	0.86 in	4	9.6	65°	2.0 ft
JuneJun	81°	62°	0.51 in	2	10.7	71°	1.6 ft
JulyJul	86°	67°	0.13 in	1	11.6	77°	1.6 ft
AugustAug	87°	68°	0.50 in	3	10.6	79°	1.6 ft
SeptemberSep	81°	63°	2.30 in	7	7.5	77°	1.9 ft
OctoberOct	74°	58°	2.52 in	8	6.1	72°	2.4 ft
NovemberNov	66°	50°	2.54 in	7	4.8	66°	3.4 ft
DecemberDec	62°	45°	1.91 in	6	4.3	61°	3.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	58°	3.5 ft
Feb	57°	3.5 ft
Mar	58°	3.2 ft
Apr	60°	2.5 ft
May	65°	2.0 ft
Jun	71°	1.6 ft
Jul	77°	1.6 ft
Aug	79°	1.6 ft
Sep	77°	1.9 ft
Oct	72°	2.4 ft
Nov	66°	3.4 ft
Dec	61°	3.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 16.61 in of rain on about 57 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now57 °Ffeels like 59 °F

Tomorrow62 / 72 °F

It's 57 °F now (feels like 59 °F). Today, 57 °F to 72 °F; tomorrow, 62 °F to 72 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 31%
Fri 30 14%
Sat 31 14%
Sun 1 12%
Mon 2 18%
Tue 3 39% 0.17 in
Wed 4 29% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 31%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 39% and 0.17 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%

Dew point55 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 55 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now16 migood

Clouds21%

Visibility is good now (16 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.20 30.08

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.10 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 29

PollenLow · mugwortToday, at most low (mugwort).

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	61 / 74 °F	14 mph NE
Tue 27	Overcast	61 / 74 °F	7 mph S
Mon 26	Overcast	61 / 75 °F	5 mph SSW
Sun 25	Overcast	64 / 73 °F	8 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	59 / 70 °F	9 mph NW
Fri 23	Overcast	63 / 75 °F	13 mph W
Thu 22	Overcast	55 / 73 °F	5 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	64 / 74 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WNW
Tue 20	Light rain	65 / 69 °F	0.53 in	10 mph WNW
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	64 / 73 °F	0.38 in	18 mph E
Sun 18	Rain	65 / 71 °F	0.60 in	19 mph ENE
Sat 17	Overcast	64 / 77 °F	0	12 mph NE
Fri 16	Overcast	64 / 77 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Thu 15	Overcast	64 / 76 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Wed 14	Overcast	65 / 79 °F	0	6 mph NE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	66 / 76 °F	0.07 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 12	Overcast	65 / 78 °F	0	6 mph S
Sun 11	Overcast	68 / 75 °F	0	10 mph SW
Sat 10	Overcast	56 / 75 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Fri 9	Overcast	62 / 70 °F	0	13 mph NE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	64 / 75 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NNW
Wed 7	Thunderstorm with hail	70 / 75 °F	1.36 in	11 mph SW
Tue 6	Overcast	67 / 78 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NNW
Sun 4	Drizzle	66 / 80 °F	0.17 in	8 mph NE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.06 in	12 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.07 in	11 mph ENE
Wed 30	Overcast	72 / 85 °F	0	8 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.07 in	8 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El ToroQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Toro?

Overcast, from 57 °F to 72 °F, with calm and a 31% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Toro?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 14% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 56 °F and a high of 72 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.21 inHg and steady: +0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Toro?

The best time to visit El Toro is from May to August: highs of 74 °F to 87 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 11 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Toro in October?

In October, El Toro normally sees highs of 74 °F and lows of 58 °F, with about 8 rainy days (2.52 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 72 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Toro?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 42 °F. The wettest is November (2.54 in) and the driest, July.

More about El Toro today

Weather near El Toro

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:38 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from