Weather in Vavaea

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:36 pm (GMT+11)

Now · light drizzle 79 °F

Feels like: 92 °F
Low / high: 77 / 89 °F
Rain: 92% · 0.37 in
Wind: 1 mph SSE

↗ 29.96 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in Vavaea: light showers, 77 °F to 89 °F, with a 92% chance of rain (0.37 in) and calm. Tomorrow, showers, 76 °F to 86 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 89 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Honiara/Henderson (AGGH), 6.1 mi away · 36 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature84 °F

WindCalm

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 77°
Today
86° 76°
Fri 30
86° 76°
Sat 31
84° 74°
Sun 1
83° 75°
Mon 2
87° 72°
Tue 3
84° 74°
Wed 4
87° 74°
Thu 5
87° 75°
Fri 6
85° 75°
Sat 7
83° 77°
Sun 8
85° 75°
Mon 9
87° 72°
Tue 10
85° 69°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light showers	77 / 89 °F	92% · 0.37 in	9 mph ESE	2.4 ft	4:46 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	76 / 86 °F	100% · 1.11 in	4 mph SE	2.2 ft	5:07 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Showers	76 / 86 °F	97% · 0.76 in	7 mph E	2.2 ft	5:26 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	74 / 84 °F	100% · 0.38 in	3 mph E	1.1 ft	5:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	75 / 83 °F	99% · 0.39 in	2 mph SSW	2.4 ft	5:41 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	83% · 0.05 in	3 mph SE	2.3 ft	5:25 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	92% · 0.05 in	5 mph ESE	2.8 ft	4:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	94% · 0.33 in	8 mph E	1.9 ft	3:51 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	92% · 0.12 in	6 mph ESE	1.8 ft	3:28 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Showers	75 / 85 °F	94% · 0.71 in	4 mph E	1.6 ft	3:23 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	96% · 0.21 in	2 mph E	2.5 ft	3:24 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	75 / 85 °F	92% · 0.17 in	6 mph ESE	2.6 ft	3:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	72 / 87 °F	88% · 0.19 in	4 mph NW	3.1 ft	3:42 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	69 / 85 °F	88% · 0.19 in	4 mph ESE	2.6 ft	4:00 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light showers	Heavy drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy
Temperature	78°	78°	79°	86°	87°	81°	80°	77°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	4%	28%	67%	92%	66%	20%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.06 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 SE	5 SE	3 SE	7 E	8 ENE	4 E	0 S	2 SE
Humidity	82%	81%	79%	70%	71%	93%	96%	94%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	89°	86°	86°	84°	83°	87°	84°
AIFS	87°	84°	83°	82°	83°	84°	83°
GFS	87°	86°	85°	84°	84°	85°	85°
ICON	87°	89°	87°	84°	88°	91°	89°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.37 in	1.11 in	0.76 in	0.38 in	0.39 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.24 in	0.78 in	0.69 in	0.94 in	0.19 in	0.09 in	0.50 in
GFS	0.33 in	0.50 in	0.44 in	0.41 in	0.14 in	0.11 in	0.05 in
ICON	0.04 in	0.34 in	0.63 in	0.15 in	0.01 in	0	0.07 in
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	923	416	720	314	215	320	520
AIFS	6	5	5	4	4	4	4
GFS	119	97	96	65	84	64	85
ICON	921	616	717	511	513	513	411
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	92%	100%	97%	100%	99%	83%	92%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	99%	100%	100%	100%	97%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −48%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −36%	86° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −37%	87° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −23%	86° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −61%
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −37%
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Vavaea climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Vavaea is from May to September: highs of 87 °F to 88 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Vavaea: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), Harold, in April 2020.

88° 74°

JanJ
87° 74°

FebF
87° 74°

MarM
88° 74°

AprA
87° 74°

MayM
87° 73°

JunJ
87° 72°

JulJ
87° 72°

AugA
88° 73°

SepS
88° 73°

OctO
88° 74°

NovN
89° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	88°	74°	13.35 in	19	6.7	86°	1.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	87°	74°	12.79 in	18	6.5	85°	1.9 ft
MarchMar	87°	74°	13.17 in	20	6.7	85°	1.6 ft
AprilApr	88°	74°	9.61 in	16	7.1	85°	1.4 ft
MayMay	87°	74°	7.23 in	15	7.4	85°	1.4 ft
JuneJun	87°	73°	5.69 in	13	7.1	84°	1.5 ft
JulyJul	87°	72°	6.37 in	13	7.3	83°	1.7 ft
AugustAug	87°	72°	7.37 in	13	6.8	83°	1.5 ft
SeptemberSep	88°	73°	9.48 in	12	7.1	83°	1.5 ft
OctoberOct	88°	73°	9.72 in	14	6.7	84°	1.3 ft
NovemberNov	88°	74°	9.50 in	14	6.6	85°	1.2 ft
DecemberDec	89°	74°	10.78 in	16	6.7	85°	1.4 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	86°	1.6 ft
Feb	85°	1.9 ft
Mar	85°	1.6 ft
Apr	85°	1.4 ft
May	85°	1.4 ft
Jun	84°	1.5 ft
Jul	83°	1.7 ft
Aug	83°	1.5 ft
Sep	83°	1.5 ft
Oct	84°	1.3 ft
Nov	85°	1.2 ft
Dec	85°	1.4 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 115.07 in of rain on about 181 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 92 °F

Tomorrow76 / 86 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 92 °F). Today, 77 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 92% 0.37 in
Fri 30 100% 1.11 in
Sat 31 97% 0.76 in
Sun 1 100% 0.38 in
Mon 2 99% 0.39 in
Tue 3 83% 0.05 in
Wed 4 92% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 92%, with 0.37 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 1.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.33 in; last 3 days, 0.77 in; last 7 days, 1.00 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity95%

Dew point78 °F

Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 78 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds77%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.90

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 5

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light showers	75 / 83 °F	0.38 in	10 mph ESE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	72 / 89 °F	0.06 in	5 mph NE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.04 in	6 mph E
Sun 25	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.17 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	72 / 89 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	69 / 87 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ENE
Thu 22	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	0.14 in	5 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	74 / 90 °F	0.07 in	7 mph E
Tue 20	Light drizzle	71 / 89 °F	0.09 in	5 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	72 / 89 °F	0.06 in	6 mph E
Sun 18	Overcast	70 / 89 °F	0	6 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	70 / 88 °F	0.05 in	6 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.06 in	4 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	69 / 87 °F	0.05 in	6 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.06 in	7 mph NW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	0.02 in	7 mph NNW
Mon 12	Drizzle	71 / 89 °F	0.14 in	5 mph ESE
Sun 11	Overcast	75 / 89 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Sat 10	Light showers	72 / 88 °F	0.34 in	7 mph SE
Fri 9	Drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.08 in	6 mph NE
Thu 8	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.13 in	3 mph ENE
Wed 7	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.51 in	4 mph E
Tue 6	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.20 in	3 mph SE
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.19 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light showers	75 / 84 °F	0.39 in	7 mph ENE
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.25 in	2 mph S
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.24 in	4 mph WNW
Thu 1	Light showers	73 / 86 °F	0.40 in	3 mph WSW
Wed 30	Drizzle	71 / 88 °F	0.19 in	4 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.08 in	5 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in VavaeaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Vavaea?

Light showers, from 77 °F to 89 °F, with calm and a 92% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Vavaea?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (1.11 in): showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and rising: +0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Vavaea?

The best time to visit Vavaea is from May to September: highs of 87 °F to 88 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Vavaea in October?

In October, Vavaea normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 14 rainy days (9.72 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Vavaea?

The warmest is December, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 72 °F. The wettest is January (13.35 in) and the driest, June.

More about Vavaea today

Weather near Vavaea

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:36 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from