Weather in Safotu
14-day forecast · updated today, Friday, October 30, at 12:08 am (GMT+13)- Feels like
- 87 °F
- Low / high
- 76 / 86 °F
- Rain
- 26%
- Wind
- 3 mph ENE
Today in Safotu: overcast, 76 °F to 86 °F, with a 26% chance of rain and a light air from the east-northeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 78 °F to 83 °F and a 71% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 87 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
- Thu 12
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 30 | 76 / 86 °F | 26% | 10 mph NE | 4.7 ft | 9:16 am · 9:38 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 78 / 83 °F | 71% · 0.18 in | 7 mph N | 4.2 ft | 10:24 am · 10:47 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 75 / 86 °F | 66% · 0.04 in | 6 mph NNE | 4.8 ft | 11:37 am · 11:59 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 80 / 85 °F | 73% · 0.09 in | 10 mph E | 5.1 ft | 12:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 78 / 87 °F | 53% · 0.07 in | 11 mph ENE | 5.1 ft | 1:09 am · 1:53 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 72 / 84 °F | 86% · 0.19 in | 5 mph NE | 6.0 ft | 2:12 am · 2:48 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 78 / 85 °F | 96% · 0.19 in | 7 mph ENE | 6.4 ft | 3:07 am · 3:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 77 / 82 °F | 100% · 0.39 in | 6 mph NE | 5.5 ft | 3:55 am · 4:19 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 77 / 83 °F | 83% · 0.26 in | 8 mph ENE | 5.2 ft | 4:39 am · 4:58 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 77 / 84 °F | 90% · 0.19 in | 8 mph E | — | 5:19 am · 5:35 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 79 / 81 °F | 78% · 0.36 in | 8 mph E | — | 5:58 am · 6:12 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 78 / 86 °F | 67% · 0.09 in | 10 mph E | — | 6:36 am · 6:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 79 / 86 °F | 82% · 0.07 in | 6 mph ENE | — | 7:15 am · 7:28 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 12 | 79 / 84 °F | 73% · 0.17 in | 12 mph E | — | 7:57 am · 8:09 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast |
| Temperature | 78° | 77° | 76° | 82° | 86° | 83° | 80° | 79° |
| Chance of rain | 26% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 2% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 3 ENE | 2 NNE | 2 NNE | 4 NE | 9 NE | 10 NE | 7 ENE | 6 ENE |
| Humidity | 90% | 90% | 92% | 75% | 64% | 74% | 85% | 85% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on wind on Sunday 1: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 86° | 83° | 86° | 85° | 87° | 84° | 85° |
| AIFS | 81° | 82° | 83° | 83° | 82° | 81° | 80° |
| GFS | 80° | 81° | 80° | 80° | 80° | 80° | 79° |
| ICON | 84° | 87° | 85° | 85° | 85° | 83° | 83° |
| Confidence | medium | medium | high | high | medium | high | medium |
| Rain | Today | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.18 in | 0.04 in | 0.09 in | 0.07 in | 0.19 in | 0.19 in |
| AIFS | 0.02 in | 0.05 in | 0.11 in | 0.14 in | 0.14 in | 0.28 in | 0.15 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | high | medium | medium | medium | medium | low | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1019 | 716 | 613 | 1021 | 1117 | 519 | 717 |
| AIFS | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| GFS | 1816 | 1911 | 2324 | 2730 | 2728 | 2730 | 2730 |
| ICON | 1023 | 1022 | 1123 | 1327 | 1226 | 1226 | 1226 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | low | low | low | low | low |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 26% | 71% | 66% | 73% | 53% | 86% | 96% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 3% | 65% | 84% | 90% | 91% | 90% | 84% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, drier and a cooler sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Normal −0.7 °F | Below −85% | Below −2.0 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal −0.4 °F | Below −59% | Below −2.3 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | Normal −0.2 °F | Below −53% | Below −2.0 °F | 82° / 78° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Normal +0.2 °F | Below −55% | A bit below −1.4 °F | 82° / 78° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal +0.5 °F | Below −56% | A bit below −1.6 °F | 82° / 79° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | Normal +0.7 °F | Below −63% | A bit below −1.4 °F |
| December | A bit above +1.6 °F | Below −53% | A bit below −0.5 °F |
| January | A bit above +2.2 °F | A bit below −50% | Normal +0.2 °F |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit below −29% | A bit above +0.9 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit below −27% | A bit above +1.1 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Safotu climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Safotu is from July to August: highs of 83 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Safotu, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicky, in February 2020.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 86° | 75° | 17.86 in | 22 | 5.6 | 84° | 5.2 ft | 3 |
| FebruaryFeb | 86° | 76° | 16.33 in | 20 | 5.7 | 85° | 5.4 ft | 4 |
| MarchMar | 86° | 75° | 12.98 in | 20 | 5.9 | 85° | 4.9 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 86° | 75° | 9.35 in | 18 | 5.2 | 85° | 4.7 ft | 1 |
| MayMay | 85° | 75° | 8.54 in | 16 | 5.1 | 85° | 5.0 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 84° | 74° | 6.98 in | 13 | 5.1 | 84° | 5.2 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 83° | 74° | 6.56 in | 11 | 4.5 | 83° | 5.3 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 83° | 74° | 4.94 in | 10 | 5.2 | 82° | 5.1 ft | – |
| SeptemberSep | 84° | 74° | 7.92 in | 13 | 5.4 | 83° | 5.0 ft | – |
| OctoberOct | 84° | 74° | 11.08 in | 19 | 6.4 | 83° | 4.8 ft | – |
| NovemberNov | 85° | 75° | 11.89 in | 21 | 6.0 | 84° | 4.5 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 85° | 75° | 17.30 in | 21 | 5.9 | 84° | 5.0 ft | 1 |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 84° | 5.2 ft | 3 |
| Feb | 85° | 5.4 ft | 4 |
| Mar | 85° | 4.9 ft | – |
| Apr | 85° | 4.7 ft | 1 |
| May | 85° | 5.0 ft | – |
| Jun | 84° | 5.2 ft | – |
| Jul | 83° | 5.3 ft | – |
| Aug | 82° | 5.1 ft | – |
| Sep | 83° | 5.0 ft | – |
| Oct | 83° | 4.8 ft | – |
| Nov | 84° | 4.5 ft | – |
| Dec | 84° | 5.0 ft | 1 |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 131.72 in of rain on about 203 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 78 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 76 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 83 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 26%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 71% and 0.18 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.19 in; last 3 days, 0.28 in; last 7 days, 0.38 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Sat 31: 12 · Sun 1: 14 · Mon 2: 14
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 29 | Drizzle | 78 / 85 °F | 0.19 in | 7 mph ENE |
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 80 / 87 °F | 0.05 in | 10 mph E |
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 78 / 86 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 77 / 85 °F | 0 | 13 mph E |
| Sun 25 | Light drizzle | 76 / 84 °F | 0.01 in | 11 mph E |
| Sat 24 | Light drizzle | 75 / 84 °F | 0.07 in | 11 mph E |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 75 / 84 °F | 0.01 in | 12 mph E |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 76 / 81 °F | 0.04 in | 8 mph E |
| Wed 21 | Drizzle | 77 / 81 °F | 0.29 in | 6 mph NE |
| Tue 20 | Drizzle | 75 / 81 °F | 0.22 in | 7 mph NNW |
| Mon 19 | Light rain | 75 / 79 °F | 0.63 in | 7 mph NNW |
| Sun 18 | Drizzle | 77 / 81 °F | 0.26 in | 9 mph N |
| Sat 17 | Drizzle | 77 / 83 °F | 0.24 in | 8 mph NNW |
| Fri 16 | Heavy drizzle | 76 / 80 °F | 0.39 in | 8 mph NW |
| Thu 15 | Light rain | 78 / 83 °F | 0.59 in | 6 mph ENE |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 77 / 86 °F | 0.01 in | 12 mph E |
| Tue 13 | Overcast | 74 / 84 °F | 0 | 8 mph E |
| Mon 12 | Overcast | 74 / 84 °F | 0 | 9 mph E |
| Sun 11 | Drizzle | 77 / 86 °F | 0.08 in | 6 mph E |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 72 / 84 °F | 0.08 in | 12 mph E |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 73 / 84 °F | 0.02 in | 13 mph E |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 76 / 85 °F | 0.06 in | 11 mph E |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 75 / 85 °F | 0.09 in | 10 mph E |
| Tue 6 | Overcast | 73 / 86 °F | 0 | 9 mph E |
| Mon 5 | Overcast | 78 / 86 °F | 0 | 11 mph E |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 76 / 86 °F | 0.01 in | 9 mph E |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 76 / 85 °F | 0.04 in | 11 mph ENE |
| Fri 2 | Overcast | 77 / 85 °F | 0 | 10 mph E |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 76 / 85 °F | 0.03 in | 11 mph E |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 78 / 87 °F | 0.03 in | 10 mph E |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in SafotuQuestions
What's the weather like today in Safotu?
Overcast, from 76 °F to 86 °F, with a light air from the east-northeast (3 mph) and a 26% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Safotu?
On Saturday 31 the chance of rain is 71% (0.18 in): drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 14 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.98 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Safotu?
The best time to visit Safotu is from July to August: highs of 83 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Safotu in October?
In October, Safotu normally sees highs of 84 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 19 rainy days (11.08 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Safotu?
The warmest is February, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 74 °F. The wettest is January (17.86 in) and the driest, August.
When is cyclone season in Safotu?
Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Safotu, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicky, in February 2020.
More about Safotu today
Weather near Safotu
- Salei’a 78 °F · overcast · 2.3 mi
- Asau 78 °F · overcast · 17 mi
- Saipipi 76 °F · partly cloudy · 18 mi
- Sagone 76 °F · overcast · 22 mi
- Fogasavai’i 76 °F · overcast · 22 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:08 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from