Weather in Matatufu

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:43 pm (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 81 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 77 / 81 °F
Rain: 86% · 0.11 in
Wind: 13 mph ESE

↘ 29.98 inHg · falling UV 13 · extreme

Today in Matatufu: light drizzle, 77 °F to 81 °F, with a 86% chance of rain (0.11 in) and a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (13 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 76 °F to 82 °F and a 41% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 82 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

81° 77°
Today
82° 76°
Fri 30
82° 76°
Sat 31
82° 77°
Sun 1
81° 77°
Mon 2
82° 77°
Tue 3
81° 76°
Wed 4
79° 76°
Thu 5
79° 76°
Fri 6
81° 76°
Sat 7
80° 75°
Sun 8
81° 76°
Mon 9
82° 76°
Tue 10
81° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	86% · 0.11 in	14 mph ESE	6.8 ft	8:14 am · 8:38 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	41% · 0.06 in	11 mph ESE	5.2 ft	9:18 am · 9:42 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	64% · 0.09 in	10 mph ESE	4.0 ft	10:32 am · 10:54 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	77 / 82 °F	90% · 0.28 in	12 mph SE	5.1 ft	11:49 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	77 / 81 °F	92% · 0.38 in	15 mph ESE	6.3 ft	12:08 am · 12:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	81% · 0.17 in	13 mph ESE	8.1 ft	1:16 am · 1:57 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	92% · 0.43 in	14 mph ESE	8.1 ft	2:17 am · 2:48 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	76 / 79 °F	87% · 0.24 in	16 mph SE	8.1 ft	3:10 am · 3:33 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	76 / 79 °F	61% · 0.16 in	13 mph SE	7.8 ft	3:58 am · 4:14 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	71% · 0.17 in	13 mph SE	7.7 ft	4:42 am · 4:54 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	75 / 80 °F	71% · 0.54 in	14 mph SE	8.9 ft	5:22 am · 5:31 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	78% · 0.35 in	14 mph ESE	8.5 ft	6:01 am · 6:08 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light showers	76 / 82 °F	81% · 0.59 in	16 mph ESE	9.8 ft	6:38 am · 6:44 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	77 / 81 °F	86% · 0.52 in	15 mph ESE	10 ft	7:15 am · 7:21 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	78°	78°	78°	79°	80°	80°	79°	78°
Chance of rain	5%	0%	43%	84%	61%	32%	10%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 ESE	8 SE	10 SE	14 ESE	14 ESE	12 ESE	10 ESE	8 ESE
Humidity	84%	86%	87%	81%	76%	74%	75%	79%
UV	0	0	0	5	13	6	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	81°	82°	82°	82°	81°	82°	81°
AIFS	80°	80°	80°	81°	81°	81°	80°
GFS	77°	76°	77°	78°	77°	77°	77°
ICON	84°	84°	86°	86°	86°	85°	81°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.11 in	0.06 in	0.09 in	0.28 in	0.38 in	0.17 in	0.43 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.14 in	0.09 in	0.14 in	0.16 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.16 in	0.19 in	0.23 in	0.31 in
ICON	0.00 in	0	0	0.00 in	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1427	1122	1020	1224	1525	1326	1427
AIFS	14	11	12	14	18	18	18
GFS	1818	1716	1414	1920	2324	2324	2526
ICON	726	724	520	726	834	938	734
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	low	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	86%	41%	64%	90%	92%	81%	92%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	13%	3%	19%	42%	55%	65%	74%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, drier and a cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.1 °F	Below −79%	Below −2.3 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.7 °F	Below −53%	Below −2.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.5 °F	A bit below −45%	Below −2.0 °F	81° / 79°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit below −41%	Below −1.8 °F	81° / 79°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	A bit below −47%	Below −2.0 °F	82° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −44%	A bit below −1.6 °F
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −34%	A bit below −0.9 °F
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −28%	Normal −0.2 °F
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Matatufu climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Matatufu is from June to August and from December to March: highs of 83 °F to 86 °F, about 16 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Matatufu, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicky, in February 2020.

86° 75°

JanJ
86° 75°

FebF
86° 75°

MarM
85° 74°

AprA
84° 74°

MayM
83° 73°

JunJ
83° 73°

JulJ
83° 73°

AugA
83° 73°

SepS
84° 74°

OctO
85° 74°

NovN
85° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	86°	75°	17.99 in	22	5.2	84°	5.5 ft	3
FebruaryFeb	86°	75°	15.77 in	20	5.3	84°	5.6 ft	4
MarchMar	86°	75°	15.05 in	21	5.6	85°	5.5 ft	–
AprilApr	85°	74°	12.09 in	18	5.0	85°	5.5 ft	1
MayMay	84°	74°	12.19 in	16	4.4	84°	6.1 ft	–
JuneJun	83°	73°	8.37 in	12	4.2	83°	6.5 ft	–
JulyJul	83°	73°	8.39 in	10	3.5	82°	6.6 ft	–
AugustAug	83°	73°	8.52 in	10	4.3	82°	6.3 ft	–
SeptemberSep	83°	73°	9.77 in	13	4.1	82°	6.0 ft	–
OctoberOct	84°	74°	12.28 in	18	5.1	83°	5.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	85°	74°	10.80 in	21	5.2	84°	5.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	85°	74°	16.69 in	21	5.5	84°	5.5 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	84°	5.5 ft	3
Feb	84°	5.6 ft	4
Mar	85°	5.5 ft	–
Apr	85°	5.5 ft	1
May	84°	6.1 ft	–
Jun	83°	6.5 ft	–
Jul	82°	6.6 ft	–
Aug	82°	6.3 ft	–
Sep	82°	6.0 ft	–
Oct	83°	5.7 ft	–
Nov	84°	5.2 ft	–
Dec	84°	5.5 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 147.90 in of rain on about 202 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now81 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow76 / 82 °F

It's 81 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 77 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 86% 0.11 in
Fri 30 41% 0.06 in
Sat 31 64% 0.09 in
Sun 1 90% 0.28 in
Mon 2 92% 0.38 in
Tue 3 81% 0.17 in
Wed 4 92% 0.43 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 86%, with 0.11 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 41% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.13 in; last 3 days, 0.66 in; last 7 days, 1.32 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity75%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 75% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds94%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now12

Today's peak13extreme

Fri 30: 14 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 14

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.90

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.16 in	16 mph ESE
Tue 27	Drizzle	77 / 79 °F	0.28 in	12 mph ESE
Mon 26	Drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.30 in	16 mph ESE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.13 in	16 mph ESE
Sat 24	Drizzle	75 / 80 °F	0.28 in	16 mph ESE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.08 in	13 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	74 / 78 °F	0.09 in	16 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	74 / 78 °F	0.30 in	14 mph SE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.07 in	14 mph SSE
Mon 19	Drizzle	75 / 79 °F	0.22 in	17 mph SSE
Sun 18	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.24 in	12 mph S
Sat 17	Light drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.17 in	16 mph SSE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.15 in	14 mph SE
Thu 15	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.26 in	16 mph SE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0.15 in	16 mph ESE
Tue 13	Drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.31 in	15 mph ESE
Mon 12	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.25 in	19 mph ESE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.17 in	17 mph SE
Sat 10	Drizzle	75 / 80 °F	0.31 in	16 mph ESE
Fri 9	Drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0.15 in	16 mph ESE
Thu 8	Drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.24 in	16 mph ESE
Wed 7	Drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.19 in	15 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.11 in	12 mph ESE
Mon 5	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.15 in	14 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.07 in	12 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	77 / 80 °F	0.11 in	16 mph SE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.07 in	18 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0.13 in	18 mph SE
Wed 30	Drizzle	75 / 80 °F	0.32 in	18 mph SE
Tue 29	Drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.30 in	17 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MatatufuQuestions

What's the weather like today in Matatufu?

Light drizzle, from 77 °F to 81 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (13 mph) and a 86% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Matatufu?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 41% (0.06 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 13 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and falling: 0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Matatufu?

The best time to visit Matatufu is from June to August and from December to March: highs of 83 °F to 86 °F, about 16 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Matatufu in October?

In October, Matatufu normally sees highs of 84 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 18 rainy days (12.28 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Matatufu?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is January (17.99 in) and the driest, June.

When is cyclone season in Matatufu?

Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Matatufu, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicky, in February 2020.

More about Matatufu today

Weather near Matatufu

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:43 pm (local time).

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