Weather in Shikotan

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:02 pm (GMT+11)

Now · partly cloudy 44 °F

Feels like: 34 °F
Low / high: 40 / 48 °F
Rain: 99% · 0.07 in
Wind: 13 mph W

→ 30.24 inHg · steady

Today in Shikotan: light drizzle, 40 °F to 48 °F, with a 99% chance of rain (0.07 in) and a moderate breeze from the west (13 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 49 °F to 55 °F and a 98% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 56 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

48° 40°
Today
55° 49°
Fri 30
56° 48°
Sat 31
47° 41°
Sun 1
45° 40°
Mon 2
46° 42°
Tue 3
45° 41°
Wed 4
49° 38°
Thu 5
53° 46°
Fri 6
45° 39°
Sat 7
42° 38°
Sun 8
40° 36°
Mon 9
40° 36°
Tue 10
39° 36°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	40 / 48 °F	99% · 0.07 in	28 mph W	11 ft	7:41 am · 5:18 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	49 / 55 °F	98% · 0.25 in	24 mph SSW	7.3 ft	8:38 am · 5:52 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	48 / 56 °F	61% · 0.26 in	20 mph WSW	7.2 ft	9:46 am · 6:29 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	41 / 47 °F	76% · 0.12 in	32 mph WNW	10 ft	7:13 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	40 / 45 °F	35% · 0.07 in	23 mph W	8.7 ft	8:10 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	42 / 46 °F	51% · 0.21 in	21 mph NNW	6.4 ft	1:31 pm · 9:57 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	41 / 45 °F	43% · 0.01 in	22 mph WNW	6.2 ft	1:47 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	38 / 49 °F	16%	18 mph SSE	4.9 ft	12:40 am · 2:06 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	46 / 53 °F	51% · 0.21 in	23 mph SSW	7.0 ft	2:34 am · 2:27 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	39 / 45 °F	52% · 0.05 in	23 mph WNW	7.3 ft	3:46 am · 2:50 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	38 / 42 °F	27%	23 mph W	—	4:42 am · 3:14 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy snow	36 / 40 °F	29% · 0.66 in	20 mph NNW	—	5:29 am · 3:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Snow	36 / 40 °F	31% · 0.28 in	21 mph WSW	—	6:11 am · 4:05 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light snow	36 / 39 °F	36% · 0.17 in	22 mph WNW	—	6:52 am · 4:32 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Clear
Temperature	41°	41°	40°	41°	42°	44°	45°	46°
Chance of rain	97%	92%	72%	73%	59%	7%	0%	0%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	28 NW	27 WNW	23 WNW	20 WNW	19 W	15 W	11 WSW	18 SSW
Humidity	78%	78%	65%	67%	64%	55%	55%	62%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	48°	55°	56°	47°	45°	46°	45°
AIFS	50°	53°	53°	50°	44°	45°	46°
GFS	47°	55°	56°	44°	48°	51°	42°
ICON	47°	57°	56°	48°	42°	46°	42°
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.07 in	0.25 in	0.26 in	0.12 in	0.07 in	0.21 in	0.01 in
AIFS	0.09 in	0.28 in	0.24 in	0.14 in	0.09 in	0.19 in	0.09 in
GFS	0.08 in	1.08 in	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.48 in	0.23 in	0.05 in
ICON	0	0.21 in	0.17 in	0	0.33 in	0.06 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2844	2438	2031	3254	2336	2132	2238
AIFS	32	25	13	34	25	18	24
GFS	2836	2136	3339	4262	2938	2132	1925
ICON	2246	1838	1938	2553	1735	1634	1940
Confidence	medium	high	low	low	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	99%	98%	61%	76%	35%	51%	43%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	89%	32%	82%	52%	50%	35%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler, normal rain and a cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Below −3.6 °F	Normal	Below −2.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.3 °F	Normal	Below −2.2 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal	Below −2.0 °F	42° / 40°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal	Below −1.8 °F	40° / 38°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.7 °F	Normal	Below −1.8 °F	38° / 35°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.7 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
March	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Shikotan climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Shikotan is in August: highs of 67 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shikotan, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kirogi, in August 2012.

27° 20°

JanJ
26° 19°

FebF
31° 23°

MarM
40° 30°

AprA
49° 38°

MayM
55° 44°

JunJ
61° 52°

JulJ
67° 57°

AugA
63° 53°

SepS
55° 45°

OctO
44° 35°

NovN
33° 26°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	27°	20°	2.48 in	7	5.0	36°	6.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	26°	19°	1.84 in	6	7.1	33°	5.4 ft	–
MarchMar	31°	23°	2.76 in	8	7.6	32°	4.7 ft	–
AprilApr	40°	30°	3.00 in	9	6.7	35°	4.4 ft	–
MayMay	49°	38°	3.59 in	10	5.8	38°	3.6 ft	–
JuneJun	55°	44°	3.42 in	9	5.3	45°	3.2 ft	–
JulyJul	61°	52°	4.70 in	11	4.8	52°	2.8 ft	–
AugustAug	67°	57°	4.41 in	12	4.9	58°	3.3 ft	1
SeptemberSep	63°	53°	6.20 in	11	5.2	59°	3.9 ft	5
OctoberOct	55°	45°	5.75 in	11	5.0	55°	5.2 ft	–
NovemberNov	44°	35°	4.04 in	11	4.2	48°	5.8 ft	–
DecemberDec	33°	26°	3.22 in	10	3.8	41°	6.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	36°	6.3 ft	–
Feb	33°	5.4 ft	–
Mar	32°	4.7 ft	–
Apr	35°	4.4 ft	–
May	38°	3.6 ft	–
Jun	45°	3.2 ft	–
Jul	52°	2.8 ft	–
Aug	58°	3.3 ft	1
Sep	59°	3.9 ft	5
Oct	55°	5.2 ft	–
Nov	48°	5.8 ft	–
Dec	41°	6.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 45.42 in of rain on about 116 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now44 °Ffeels like 34 °F

Tomorrow49 / 55 °F

It's 44 °F now (feels like 34 °F). Today, 40 °F to 48 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 55 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 99% 0.07 in
Fri 30 98% 0.25 in
Sat 31 61% 0.26 in
Sun 1 76% 0.12 in
Mon 2 35% 0.07 in
Tue 3 51% 0.21 in
Wed 4 43% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 99%, with 0.07 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 98% and 0.25 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.17 in; last 3 days, 0.69 in; last 7 days, 0.74 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity53%

Dew point28 °F

Humidity is 53% now and the dew point is 28 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds77%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.5030.00 29.51

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.74 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light rain	41 / 49 °F	0.57 in	35 mph WNW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	46 / 49 °F	0.05 in	16 mph SE
Mon 26	Overcast	46 / 51 °F	0	23 mph NW
Sun 25	Overcast	52 / 58 °F	0	18 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	50 / 56 °F	0	19 mph SW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	45 / 53 °F	0.01 in	21 mph W
Thu 22	Light drizzle	45 / 59 °F	0.08 in	26 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light rain	52 / 60 °F	0.50 in	26 mph S
Tue 20	Overcast	52 / 57 °F	0	20 mph NW
Mon 19	Rain	49 / 60 °F	0.69 in	23 mph SSW
Sun 18	Overcast	47 / 51 °F	0	21 mph NW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	49 / 54 °F	0.04 in	22 mph WNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	54 / 59 °F	0.01 in	21 mph W
Thu 15	Light drizzle	54 / 60 °F	0.04 in	21 mph WSW
Wed 14	Drizzle	58 / 63 °F	0.18 in	25 mph S
Tue 13	Overcast	55 / 59 °F	0	10 mph ESE
Mon 12	Overcast	54 / 57 °F	0	12 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	57 / 61 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SSW
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	54 / 61 °F	0	6 mph ESE
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	55 / 62 °F	0	9 mph W
Thu 8	Clear sky	54 / 63 °F	0	16 mph W
Wed 7	Overcast	56 / 60 °F	0	21 mph NNW
Tue 6	Light rain	59 / 63 °F	0.34 in	19 mph SSE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	52 / 60 °F	0.01 in	16 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	52 / 57 °F	0.04 in	9 mph W
Sat 3	Light drizzle	53 / 57 °F	0.08 in	26 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	56 / 59 °F	0.05 in	26 mph W
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.21 in	25 mph S
Wed 30	Partly cloudy	56 / 60 °F	0	19 mph NW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	61 / 67 °F	0.01 in	24 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ShikotanQuestions

What's the weather like today in Shikotan?

Light drizzle, from 40 °F to 48 °F, with a moderate breeze from the west (13 mph) and a 99% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Shikotan?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 98% (0.25 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 40 °F and a high of 56 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.24 inHg and steady: +0.88 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Shikotan?

The best time to visit Shikotan is in August: highs of 67 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Shikotan in October?

In October, Shikotan normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 45 °F, with about 11 rainy days (5.75 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Shikotan?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 67 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 19 °F. The wettest is September (6.20 in) and the driest, February.

When is typhoon season in Shikotan?

Typhoon season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shikotan, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kirogi, in August 2012.

More about Shikotan today

Weather near Shikotan

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:02 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from