TidePlanet

Weather in Lavrentiya

14-day forecast · updated today, Friday, October 30, at 2:04 am (GMT+12)
Now · partly cloudy 32 °F
Feels like
26 °F
Low / high
29 / 34 °F
Rain
100% · 0.23 in
Wind
2 mph S
→ 29.59 inHg · steady

Today in Lavrentiya: snow, 29 °F to 34 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.23 in) and a light air from the south (2 mph). Tomorrow, snow, 22 °F to 29 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 5, at 36 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave Model
Today · 30 Snow 29 / 34 °F 100% · 0.23 in 20 mph NNE 4.6 ft ECMWF
Sat 31 Snow 22 / 29 °F 100% · 0.05 in 20 mph NNW 4.7 ft ECMWF
Sun 1 Overcast 11 / 21 °F 1% 11 mph NW 2.9 ft ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 10 / 21 °F 25% · 0.02 in 6 mph NNE 2.8 ft ECMWF
Tue 3 Snow 21 / 33 °F 34% · 0.19 in 17 mph NE 6.9 ft ECMWF
Wed 4 Heavy drizzle 32 / 34 °F 43% · 0.43 in 15 mph NE 7.5 ft ECMWF
Thu 5 Drizzle 33 / 36 °F 39% · 0.43 in 15 mph ESE 6.0 ft ECMWF
Fri 6 Overcast 29 / 33 °F 37% 17 mph N 4.5 ft ECMWF
Sat 7 Overcast 27 / 30 °F 27% 17 mph N 4.7 ft ECMWF
Sun 8 Overcast 29 / 31 °F 27% 11 mph N 3.3 ft ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 28 / 29 °F 20% 18 mph N 3.7 ft ECMWF
Tue 10 Light snow 30 / 35 °F 19% · 0.09 in 19 mph NNE 3.5 ft ECMWF
Wed 11 Overcast 30 / 33 °F 23% 18 mph NNW 3.2 ft ECMWF
Thu 12 Light drizzle 26 / 30 °F 27% · 0.04 in 19 mph N 3.3 ft ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastPartly cloudyOvercastLight drizzleLight drizzleDrizzleSnowSnow
Temperature 31°32°31°34°34°33°32°32°
Chance of rain 0%2%33%73%100%96%92%98%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.01 in0.02 in0.01 in0.02 in
Wind (mph) 6 SW2 SE5 NE7 NE10 NNE9 NNE14 N18 N
Humidity 80%77%86%91%91%95%89%89%
UV 00000000
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodaySat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5
ECMWF 34°29°21°21°33°34°36°
AIFS 33°29°21°19°30°33°33°
GFS 34°29°19°21°31°31°24°
ICON 34°30°27°28°29°29°31°
Confidence highhighmediummediumhighhighlow
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodaySat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5
ECMWF 0.23 in0.05 in00.02 in0.19 in0.43 in0.43 in
AIFS 0.25 in0.08 in000.04 in0.09 in0.05 in
GFS 0.22 in0.00 in00000
ICON 0.11 in000000
Confidence highmediumhighhighmediumlowlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodaySat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5
ECMWF 203620371121618174315351529
AIFS 2122115141412
GFS 223728421081010233216231111
ICON 2946304810151421243831503457
Confidence mediummediumhighmediummediumlowlow

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodaySat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%100%1%25%34%43%39%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 94%94%0%18%26%32%23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Above +4.7 °F Above +91% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +0.9 °F A bit below −29% —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal −0.5 °F A bit below −27% 19° / 15°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal −0.5 °F A bit below −26% 16° / 12°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit below −2.0 °F A bit below −28% 12° / 8°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +2.3 °F Normal
December A bit below −1.6 °F A bit below −27%
January A bit below −1.3 °F A bit below −36%
February Normal +0.2 °F Normal
March A bit above +1.6 °F A bit below −22%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Lavrentiya climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Lavrentiya is from March to July: highs of 7 °F to 53 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water
JanuaryJan 5° -8° 0.81 in 7 2.9 30°
FebruaryFeb 4° -5° 1.00 in 7 2.7 30°
MarchMar 7° -4° 0.81 in 5 6.0 30°
AprilApr 19° 8° 0.52 in 5 6.4 30°
MayMay 33° 25° 0.53 in 7 5.1 32°
JuneJun 47° 36° 0.57 in 6 7.2 37°
JulyJul 53° 41° 1.45 in 9 4.5 43°
AugustAug 51° 41° 2.05 in 10 3.4 43°
SeptemberSep 44° 37° 1.40 in 8 3.2 40°
OctoberOct 34° 28° 1.37 in 8 2.3 36°
NovemberNov 25° 16° 1.10 in 8 2.6 33°
DecemberDec 12° 3° 1.13 in 7 0.0 31°
Month Water
Jan 30°
Feb 30°
Mar 30°
Apr 30°
May 32°
Jun 37°
Jul 43°
Aug 43°
Sep 40°
Oct 36°
Nov 33°
Dec 31°

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 12.75 in of rain on about 87 days and about 1,400 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now32 °Ffeels like 26 °F
Tomorrow22 / 29 °F

It's 32 °F now (feels like 26 °F). Today, 29 °F to 34 °F; tomorrow, 22 °F to 29 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 100% 0.23 in
  • Sat 31 100% 0.05 in
  • Sun 1 1%
  • Mon 2 25% 0.02 in
  • Tue 3 34% 0.19 in
  • Wed 4 43% 0.43 in
  • Thu 5 39% 0.43 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.23 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 100% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.48 in; last 7 days, 2.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%
Dew point25 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 25 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now5.7 mimoderate
Clouds58%

Visibility is moderate now (5.7 mi). There may be fog today at 5:00 am, 6:00 am, 7:00 am, 8:00 am.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak0low

Sat 31: 0 · Sun 1: 0 · Mon 2: 0

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.21 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Thu 29 Light drizzle32 / 37 °F0.09 in9 mph SSW
Wed 28 Light rain37 / 40 °F0.19 in22 mph S
Tue 27 Light rain31 / 39 °F0.20 in20 mph E
Mon 26 Light drizzle34 / 37 °F0.11 in14 mph S
Sun 25 Drizzle37 / 38 °F0.35 in18 mph SSE
Sat 24 Light rain35 / 38 °F1.02 in24 mph SE
Fri 23 Light drizzle31 / 35 °F0.06 in19 mph SSE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Thu 22 Overcast23 / 31 °F012 mph SW
Wed 21 Overcast22 / 30 °F08 mph WNW
Tue 20 Light snow24 / 31 °F0.04 in7 mph N
Mon 19 Drizzle29 / 35 °F0.11 in7 mph NNE
Sun 18 Snow19 / 32 °F0.07 in9 mph S
Sat 17 Partly cloudy22 / 28 °F012 mph NW
Fri 16 Partly cloudy27 / 32 °F017 mph N
Thu 15 Overcast28 / 31 °F018 mph NNE
Wed 14 Light snow31 / 32 °F0.00 in18 mph N
Tue 13 Light snow31 / 38 °F0.16 in21 mph N
Mon 12 Light drizzle37 / 40 °F0.19 in10 mph NNE
Sun 11 Heavy drizzle38 / 41 °F0.60 in8 mph ESE
Sat 10 Light drizzle38 / 40 °F0.08 in15 mph SE
Fri 9 Heavy drizzle36 / 40 °F0.28 in23 mph SE
Thu 8 Overcast29 / 37 °F017 mph SSE
Wed 7 Partly cloudy29 / 36 °F07 mph NW
Tue 6 Overcast31 / 38 °F017 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast29 / 38 °F017 mph NNE
Sun 4 Light drizzle30 / 38 °F0.02 in13 mph E
Sat 3 Light snow31 / 37 °F0.04 in10 mph SSW
Fri 2 Light drizzle24 / 35 °F0.01 in10 mph SSW
Thu 1 Overcast24 / 34 °F08 mph NNW
Wed 30 Overcast25 / 30 °F010 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in LavrentiyaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Lavrentiya?

Snow, from 29 °F to 34 °F, with a light air from the south (2 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Lavrentiya?

On Saturday 31 the chance of rain is 100% (0.05 in): snow.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 10 °F and a high of 36 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 5.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.59 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Lavrentiya?

The best time to visit Lavrentiya is from March to July: highs of 7 °F to 53 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Lavrentiya in October?

In October, Lavrentiya normally sees highs of 34 °F and lows of 28 °F, with about 8 rainy days (1.37 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 36 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Lavrentiya?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 53 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of -8 °F. The wettest is August (2.05 in) and the driest, April.

More about Lavrentiya today

Weather near Lavrentiya

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:04 am (local time).

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