Weather in Corcovado

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:31 pm (AST)

Now · mainly clear 78 °F

Feels like: 88 °F
Low / high: 77 / 86 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.33 in
Wind: 3 mph SSE

→ 29.98 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in Corcovado: light showers, 77 °F to 86 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.33 in) and a light air from the south-southeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 75 °F to 85 °F and a 85% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 86 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 77°
Today
85° 75°
Thu 29
85° 75°
Fri 30
85° 73°
Sat 31
83° 78°
Sun 1
84° 76°
Mon 2
84° 76°
Tue 3
80° 76°
Wed 4
79° 76°
Thu 5
83° 76°
Fri 6
84° 75°
Sat 7
83° 77°
Sun 8
83° 76°
Mon 9
82° 75°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	100% · 0.33 in	8 mph W	4.9 ft	10:02 am · 9:41 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	85% · 0.13 in	5 mph SE	4.5 ft	10:55 am · 10:31 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	75 / 85 °F	73% · 0.18 in	7 mph ESE	3.7 ft	11:51 am · 11:29 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	86% · 0.14 in	11 mph E	3.7 ft	12:50 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	78 / 83 °F	77% · 0.14 in	12 mph E	3.7 ft	12:38 am · 1:50 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Showers	76 / 84 °F	84% · 0.38 in	13 mph E	3.8 ft	1:54 am · 2:49 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	80% · 0.11 in	6 mph E	3.9 ft	3:10 am · 3:46 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	76 / 80 °F	92% · 0.50 in	3 mph SSW	3.8 ft	4:21 am · 4:38 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	76 / 79 °F	86% · 0.35 in	3 mph S	3.2 ft	5:24 am · 5:28 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	77% · 0.09 in	4 mph SW	3.0 ft	6:19 am · 6:14 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	75 / 84 °F	68% · 0.02 in	10 mph E	3.5 ft	7:07 am · 6:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	66% · 0.19 in	8 mph ESE	3.2 ft	7:51 am · 7:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	67% · 0.14 in	7 mph ESE	2.7 ft	8:32 am · 8:19 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	68% · 0.07 in	8 mph ESE	2.6 ft	9:11 am · 8:57 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Drizzle	Light showers	Light drizzle	Mainly clear
Temperature	81°	78°	78°	81°	84°	84°	78°	78°
Chance of rain	20%	36%	1%	5%	48%	100%	82%	20%
Rain	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	0 N	4 S	5 SSW	3 WNW	8 NW	5 NW	1 N	3 SSE
Humidity	83%	91%	89%	81%	74%	70%	88%	91%
UV	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	86°	85°	85°	85°	83°	84°	84°
AIFS	84°	86°	85°	83°	83°	85°	86°
GFS	90°	87°	88°	86°	84°	81°	86°
ICON	89°	89°	87°	87°	86°	88°	88°
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.33 in	0.13 in	0.18 in	0.14 in	0.14 in	0.38 in	0.11 in
AIFS	0.38 in	0.19 in	0.20 in	0.31 in	0.45 in	0.33 in	0.25 in
GFS	0.32 in	0.60 in	0.22 in	0.23 in	0.22 in	0.27 in	0.06 in
ICON	0.19 in	0.09 in	0.13 in	0.11 in	0.07 in	0.18 in	0.01 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	814	511	719	1118	1224	1319	615
AIFS	3	4	6	8	8	7	4
GFS	1312	119	1311	1318	1321	1113	67
ICON	817	815	1118	1322	1321	1221	1423
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	85%	73%	86%	77%	84%	80%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	77%	84%	84%	87%	87%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +44%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −35%	87° / 72°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	86° / 72°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	85° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	85° / 71°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	Above +2.9 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +23%
February	Above +3.1 °F	Normal
March	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +49%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Corcovado climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Corcovado is from January to March: highs of 87 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Corcovado, about 7 every 10 years; 11 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

85° 62°

JanJ
86° 62°

FebF
87° 63°

MarM
87° 65°

AprA
89° 67°

MayM
91° 69°

JunJ
91° 69°

JulJ
91° 69°

AugA
91° 69°

SepS
90° 68°

OctO
88° 67°

NovN
86° 64°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	62°	4.19 in	10	6.3	80°	6.0 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	86°	62°	2.70 in	8	6.8	79°	6.0 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	63°	3.96 in	10	7.5	79°	5.8 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	65°	6.02 in	12	7.5	80°	5.0 ft	–
MayMay	89°	67°	7.34 in	18	7.2	81°	4.4 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	69°	6.70 in	17	7.8	83°	4.0 ft	–
JulyJul	91°	69°	5.43 in	18	7.8	83°	4.4 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	69°	7.17 in	22	7.5	84°	4.2 ft	10
SeptemberSep	91°	69°	8.48 in	24	6.9	84°	4.4 ft	7
OctoberOct	90°	68°	6.75 in	21	6.9	84°	4.6 ft	1
NovemberNov	88°	67°	7.23 in	19	6.1	83°	5.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	64°	5.11 in	12	6.0	81°	6.0 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	6.0 ft	–
Feb	79°	6.0 ft	–
Mar	79°	5.8 ft	–
Apr	80°	5.0 ft	–
May	81°	4.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	4.0 ft	–
Jul	83°	4.4 ft	1
Aug	84°	4.2 ft	10
Sep	84°	4.4 ft	7
Oct	84°	4.6 ft	1
Nov	83°	5.3 ft	–
Dec	81°	6.0 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 71.08 in of rain on about 191 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 88 °F

Tomorrow75 / 85 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 88 °F). Today, 77 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.33 in
Thu 29 85% 0.13 in
Fri 30 73% 0.18 in
Sat 31 86% 0.14 in
Sun 1 77% 0.14 in
Mon 2 84% 0.38 in
Tue 3 80% 0.11 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.33 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 85% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.33 in; last 3 days, 0.47 in; last 7 days, 0.71 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds34%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8high

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.90

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 12

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.08 in	6 mph SE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SE
Sat 24	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.15 in	7 mph ESE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.02 in	7 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.05 in	11 mph W
Wed 21	Light drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.01 in	8 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	0.04 in	4 mph SW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.13 in	6 mph ESE
Sun 18	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	0.08 in	6 mph ESE
Sat 17	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.14 in	12 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.05 in	15 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.13 in	12 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.05 in	11 mph E
Tue 13	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.07 in	8 mph E
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.12 in	12 mph E
Sun 11	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.06 in	16 mph E
Sat 10	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.26 in	17 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.02 in	17 mph E
Thu 8	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.13 in	11 mph E
Wed 7	Showers	78 / 87 °F	0.33 in	11 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.06 in	15 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.07 in	8 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.06 in	8 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.04 in	13 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.18 in	14 mph E
Thu 1	Light showers	78 / 88 °F	0.32 in	14 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.05 in	18 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.01 in	16 mph E
Mon 28	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.02 in	14 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CorcovadoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Corcovado?

Light showers, from 77 °F to 86 °F, with a light air from the south-southeast (3 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Corcovado?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 85% (0.13 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: +0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Corcovado?

The best time to visit Corcovado is from January to March: highs of 87 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Corcovado in October?

In October, Corcovado normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 21 rainy days (6.75 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Corcovado?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is September (8.48 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Corcovado?

Hurricane season: from August to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Corcovado, about 7 every 10 years; 11 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

More about Corcovado today

Weather near Corcovado

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:31 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from