Weather in Urzelina

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:18 pm (GMT-1)

Now · partly cloudy 67 °F

Feels like: 69 °F
Low / high: 67 / 71 °F
Rain: 100% · 1.32 in
Wind: 8 mph NW

→ 29.82 inHg · steady

Today in Urzelina: rain, 67 °F to 71 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.32 in) and a gentle breeze from the northwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 61 °F to 67 °F and a 71% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 71 °F.

Measured now at the airport

São Jorge (LPSJ), 2.5 mi away · 18 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature66 °F

Wind10 mph from the north

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

71° 67°
Today
67° 61°
Thu 29
61° 59°
Fri 30
63° 60°
Sat 31
69° 62°
Sun 1
69° 65°
Mon 2
69° 65°
Tue 3
68° 62°
Wed 4
62° 57°
Thu 5
62° 57°
Fri 6
61° 58°
Sat 7
64° 61°
Sun 8
66° 62°
Mon 9
67° 62°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Rain	67 / 71 °F	100% · 1.32 in	13 mph SSW	5.8 ft	2:07 am · 2:24 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	61 / 67 °F	71% · 0.07 in	18 mph NNW	7.9 ft	2:54 am · 3:14 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	59 / 61 °F	58% · 0.12 in	12 mph N	7.7 ft	3:46 am · 4:12 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	60 / 63 °F	51% · 0.08 in	17 mph NNE	8.9 ft	4:48 am · 5:21 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	62 / 69 °F	67% · 0.17 in	15 mph NNE	8.8 ft	6:03 am · 6:45 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	65 / 69 °F	33% · 0.08 in	9 mph ESE	4.6 ft	7:25 am · 8:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	65 / 69 °F	59% · 0.08 in	5 mph N	5.7 ft	8:40 am · 9:22 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	62 / 68 °F	73% · 0.17 in	7 mph WNW	5.5 ft	9:41 am · 10:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Rain	57 / 62 °F	63% · 1.75 in	13 mph NNW	7.8 ft	10:31 am · 11:00 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light rain	57 / 62 °F	69% · 1.25 in	24 mph NW	13 ft	11:14 am · 11:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	58 / 61 °F	65% · 1.23 in	18 mph WNW	14 ft	11:53 am	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	61 / 64 °F	78% · 2.48 in	18 mph NNW	11 ft	12:15 am · 12:29 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	62 / 66 °F	75% · 0.26 in	15 mph N	11 ft	12:49 am · 1:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	62 / 67 °F	61% · 0.02 in	11 mph WSW	5.4 ft	1:22 am · 1:37 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light rain	Rain	Rain	Light rain	Light drizzle
Temperature	67°	68°	67°	69°	71°	70°	69°	68°
Chance of rain	0%	11%	59%	100%	100%	100%	100%	90%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.15 in	0.13 in	0.07 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 S	10 S	10 S	13 SSW	13 S	13 SSW	7 WSW	12 NW
Humidity	67%	74%	92%	93%	93%	94%	94%	94%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 5 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	71°	67°	61°	63°	69°	69°	69°
AIFS	74°	72°	66°	67°	71°	71°	70°
GFS	72°	68°	63°	65°	69°	69°	67°
ICON	70°	65°	60°	63°	65°	69°	66°
ARPEGE	72°	68°	65°	67°	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1.32 in	0.07 in	0.12 in	0.08 in	0.17 in	0.08 in	0.08 in
AIFS	0.66 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.12 in	0.02 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.34 in	0.04 in	0.06 in	0.04 in	0.14 in	0.19 in	0.87 in
ICON	0.39 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.19 in
ARPEGE	0.61 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	—	—	—
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1332	1833	1223	1732	1529	921	512
AIFS	22	21	16	26	26	15	11
GFS	2627	3230	1918	2729	3236	2325	3133
ICON	1741	2347	1528	1837	1730	511	512
ARPEGE	2338	1931	1524	2640	—	—	—
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	low	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	71%	58%	51%	67%	33%	59%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	71%	23%	16%	35%	52%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +41%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +21%	A bit above +1.1 °F	66° / 64°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +43%	A bit above +0.9 °F	65° / 64°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +22%	A bit above +0.5 °F	64° / 63°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +49%	Normal +0.4 °F	64° / 62°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +24%	A bit above +0.9 °F
February	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +29%	A bit above +0.9 °F
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Urzelina climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Urzelina is from June to August: highs of 72 °F to 78 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in January and from September to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Urzelina, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Patty, in November 2024.

64° 55°

JanJ
63° 54°

FebF
64° 54°

MarM
65° 55°

AprA
67° 58°

MayM
72° 61°

JunJ
76° 65°

JulJ
78° 67°

AugA
77° 66°

SepS
72° 62°

OctO
68° 58°

NovN
65° 56°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	64°	55°	5.94 in	10	3.3	62°	5.8 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	63°	54°	3.85 in	10	4.3	61°	5.8 ft	–
MarchMar	64°	54°	4.77 in	10	5.4	61°	5.5 ft	–
AprilApr	65°	55°	3.53 in	8	5.9	61°	5.0 ft	–
MayMay	67°	58°	3.43 in	7	7.0	63°	4.2 ft	–
JuneJun	72°	61°	2.35 in	6	7.1	67°	3.3 ft	–
JulyJul	76°	65°	1.69 in	4	8.4	71°	2.7 ft	–
AugustAug	78°	67°	2.05 in	5	8.1	74°	3.0 ft	–
SeptemberSep	77°	66°	3.37 in	9	7.2	73°	4.0 ft	3
OctoberOct	72°	62°	5.19 in	12	4.8	70°	5.2 ft	1
NovemberNov	68°	58°	4.21 in	9	3.7	66°	5.4 ft	1
DecemberDec	65°	56°	6.38 in	13	2.9	63°	6.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	62°	5.8 ft	1
Feb	61°	5.8 ft	–
Mar	61°	5.5 ft	–
Apr	61°	5.0 ft	–
May	63°	4.2 ft	–
Jun	67°	3.3 ft	–
Jul	71°	2.7 ft	–
Aug	74°	3.0 ft	–
Sep	73°	4.0 ft	3
Oct	70°	5.2 ft	1
Nov	66°	5.4 ft	1
Dec	63°	6.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.75 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now67 °Ffeels like 69 °F

Tomorrow61 / 67 °F

It's 67 °F now (feels like 69 °F). Today, 67 °F to 71 °F; tomorrow, 61 °F to 67 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 1.32 in
Thu 29 71% 0.07 in
Fri 30 58% 0.12 in
Sat 31 51% 0.08 in
Sun 1 67% 0.17 in
Mon 2 33% 0.08 in
Tue 3 59% 0.08 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.32 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 71% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.32 in; last 3 days, 1.91 in; last 7 days, 2.20 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point64 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 64 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds72%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 30.35

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.52 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 35

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	63 / 67 °F	0	13 mph SE
Mon 26	Rain	64 / 70 °F	0.59 in	19 mph NW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	68 / 73 °F	0.14 in	15 mph SSW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.04 in	4 mph S
Fri 23	Light drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.04 in	5 mph ENE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.07 in	4 mph WNW
Wed 21	Light drizzle	64 / 69 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light rain	65 / 68 °F	0.37 in	9 mph NE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	67 / 71 °F	0.05 in	8 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	68 / 73 °F	0.06 in	6 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	68 / 75 °F	0.02 in	10 mph SSE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	69 / 73 °F	0.04 in	9 mph S
Thu 15	Drizzle	69 / 74 °F	0.33 in	7 mph SSW
Wed 14	Light rain	68 / 73 °F	0.63 in	7 mph S
Tue 13	Partly cloudy	64 / 71 °F	0	11 mph S
Mon 12	Rain	65 / 71 °F	0.75 in	14 mph WNW
Sun 11	Drizzle	69 / 74 °F	0.20 in	14 mph SSW
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	66 / 74 °F	0	8 mph SSW
Fri 9	Mainly clear	64 / 70 °F	0	6 mph SE
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	66 / 70 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Wed 7	Overcast	66 / 71 °F	0	8 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	67 / 71 °F	0.02 in	9 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	68 / 72 °F	0.08 in	11 mph SE
Sun 4	Light rain	70 / 71 °F	1.00 in	16 mph SE
Sat 3	Drizzle	70 / 73 °F	0.11 in	14 mph ESE
Fri 2	Rain	70 / 74 °F	0.54 in	4 mph SSE
Thu 1	Light rain	65 / 71 °F	0.33 in	11 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	65 / 68 °F	0.06 in	10 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	65 / 68 °F	0.05 in	17 mph NW
Mon 28	Rain	67 / 74 °F	1.63 in	24 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in UrzelinaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Urzelina?

Rain, from 67 °F to 71 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northwest (8 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Urzelina?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 71% (0.07 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 59 °F and a high of 71 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.82 inHg and steady: −0.27 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Urzelina?

The best time to visit Urzelina is from June to August: highs of 72 °F to 78 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Urzelina in October?

In October, Urzelina normally sees highs of 72 °F and lows of 62 °F, with about 12 rainy days (5.19 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 70 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Urzelina?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 78 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 54 °F. The wettest is December (6.38 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Urzelina?

Hurricane season: in January and from September to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Urzelina, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Patty, in November 2024.

More about Urzelina today

Weather near Urzelina

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:18 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from