Weather in Jarosławiec

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:15 am (CET)

Now · overcast 50 °F

Feels like: 45 °F
Low / high: 49 / 52 °F
Rain: 28% · 0.01 in
Wind: 9 mph SW

→ 30.34 inHg · steady

Today in Jarosławiec: light rain, 49 °F to 52 °F, with a 28% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a gentle breeze from the southwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 50 °F to 54 °F and a 4% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 54 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (21%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

52° 49°
Today
54° 50°
Fri 30
52° 47°
Sat 31
50° 41°
Sun 1
47° 40°
Mon 2
51° 41°
Tue 3
49° 41°
Wed 4
48° 38°
Thu 5
50° 41°
Fri 6
51° 46°
Sat 7
50° 37°
Sun 8
46° 30°
Mon 9
46° 37°
Tue 10
45° 35°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	49 / 52 °F	28% · 0.01 in	10 mph WSW	2.2 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	50 / 54 °F	4%	9 mph NW	2.4 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	47 / 52 °F	20% · 0.01 in	11 mph NNE	3.9 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Overcast	41 / 50 °F	6%	4 mph SSE	3.7 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	40 / 47 °F	38%	8 mph SSW	1.9 ft	ICON-EU
Tue 3	Light drizzle	41 / 51 °F	21% · 0.05 in	10 mph WNW	3.7 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	41 / 49 °F	12%	11 mph N	4.9 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	38 / 48 °F	10% · 0.02 in	8 mph W	3.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	41 / 50 °F	11% · 0.01 in	10 mph W	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	46 / 51 °F	22% · 0.12 in	13 mph W	5.0 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	37 / 50 °F	16% · 0.05 in	8 mph NW	4.2 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	30 / 46 °F	26%	5 mph ESE	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	37 / 46 °F	35% · 0.02 in	9 mph S	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	35 / 45 °F	39% · 0.17 in	13 mph SW	6.4 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Tuesday 3 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Friday 13 4:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear
Temperature	51°	50°	49°	49°	50°	50°	51°	51°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	18%	28%	7%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 WNW	4 W	4 SW	8 SW	9 SW	10 WSW	5 WNW	5 W
Humidity	94%	91%	94%	94%	89%	92%	90%	85%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	53°	53°	52°	48°	49°	51°	49°
AIFS	52°	52°	52°	49°	49°	49°	50°
GFS	52°	53°	52°	52°	50°	50°	51°
ICON	51°	54°	52°	49°	46°	49°	49°
ARPEGE	49°	54°	53°	48°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	52°	54°	52°	50°	47°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.03 in	0	0	0.05 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.07 in	0	0	0.15 in	0.02 in	0
GFS	0.01 in	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0.05 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0
ARPEGE	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0	0	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1019	920	1223	619	637	1020	1122
AIFS	12	11	12	10	11	13	14
GFS	1519	1218	1114	911	1820	1517	1318
ICON	918	917	1121	48	816	1121	1020
ARPEGE	1218	1118	1523	713	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1018	918	1121	48	815	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	28%	4%	20%	6%	38%	21%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	6%	0%	1%	13%	16%	16%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.2 °F	Below −51%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.5 °F	A bit above +21%	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +22%	A bit above +0.5 °F	45° / 42°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	44° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	43° / 41°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +33%	A bit above +1.3 °F
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Jarosławiec climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Jarosławiec is from June to August: highs of 67 °F to 71 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

37° 29°

JanJ
38° 29°

FebF
42° 32°

MarM
52° 38°

AprA
61° 46°

MayM
67° 53°

JunJ
71° 57°

JulJ
71° 57°

AugA
63° 51°

SepS
55° 45°

OctO
45° 37°

NovN
39° 32°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	37°	29°	1.70 in	10	0.6	39°	3.9 ft
FebruaryFeb	38°	29°	1.30 in	8	2.0	37°	3.4 ft
MarchMar	42°	32°	1.36 in	8	4.6	38°	2.9 ft
AprilApr	52°	38°	0.97 in	6	7.1	41°	2.5 ft
MayMay	61°	46°	1.73 in	7	8.9	48°	2.1 ft
JuneJun	67°	53°	2.61 in	9	9.7	56°	2.1 ft
JulyJul	71°	57°	3.16 in	10	8.6	63°	2.4 ft
AugustAug	71°	57°	2.72 in	11	7.5	65°	2.1 ft
SeptemberSep	63°	51°	2.33 in	9	5.5	61°	2.8 ft
OctoberOct	55°	45°	2.35 in	11	2.9	55°	3.3 ft
NovemberNov	45°	37°	1.94 in	10	0.9	48°	3.2 ft
DecemberDec	39°	32°	2.02 in	11	0.1	43°	4.1 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	39°	3.9 ft
Feb	37°	3.4 ft
Mar	38°	2.9 ft
Apr	41°	2.5 ft
May	48°	2.1 ft
Jun	56°	2.1 ft
Jul	63°	2.4 ft
Aug	65°	2.1 ft
Sep	61°	2.8 ft
Oct	55°	3.3 ft
Nov	48°	3.2 ft
Dec	43°	4.1 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 24.19 in of rain on about 110 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now50 °Ffeels like 45 °F

Tomorrow50 / 54 °F

It's 50 °F now (feels like 45 °F). Today, 49 °F to 52 °F; tomorrow, 50 °F to 54 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 28% 0.01 in
Fri 30 4%
Sat 31 20% 0.01 in
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 38%
Tue 3 21% 0.05 in
Wed 4 12%

Today the chance of rain reaches 28%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 21% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.06 in; last 7 days, 0.56 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point47 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 47 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds95%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.3030.4030.50 30.43

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.09 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	47 / 52 °F	0	12 mph SSW
Tue 27	Overcast	41 / 56 °F	0	12 mph S
Mon 26	Light drizzle	44 / 52 °F	0.01 in	16 mph SW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	44 / 48 °F	0.19 in	21 mph S
Sat 24	Overcast	46 / 55 °F	0	13 mph S
Fri 23	Overcast	43 / 57 °F	0	11 mph S
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	47 / 55 °F	0.47 in	11 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	53 / 62 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SE
Tue 20	Drizzle	45 / 54 °F	0.14 in	13 mph ESE
Mon 19	Overcast	42 / 53 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	50 / 55 °F	0.06 in	14 mph NE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	44 / 58 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ESE
Fri 16	Overcast	47 / 63 °F	0	9 mph S
Thu 15	Overcast	50 / 57 °F	0	12 mph W
Wed 14	Drizzle	49 / 56 °F	0.27 in	18 mph W
Tue 13	Light drizzle	48 / 55 °F	0.02 in	13 mph W
Mon 12	Light drizzle	46 / 52 °F	0.22 in	12 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	46 / 53 °F	0.09 in	14 mph SW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	50 / 58 °F	0.07 in	16 mph SW
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	48 / 56 °F	0.35 in	24 mph WSW
Thu 8	Drizzle	50 / 65 °F	0.19 in	17 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	52 / 65 °F	0.02 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	56 / 61 °F	0.05 in	14 mph WSW
Mon 5	Overcast	49 / 62 °F	0	15 mph WSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	51 / 62 °F	0.05 in	12 mph WSW
Sat 3	Overcast	54 / 63 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Fri 2	Overcast	53 / 69 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Thu 1	Overcast	55 / 69 °F	0	12 mph SE
Wed 30	Overcast	52 / 68 °F	0	10 mph SE
Tue 29	Overcast	55 / 72 °F	0	9 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in JarosławiecQuestions

What's the weather like today in Jarosławiec?

Light rain, from 49 °F to 52 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (9 mph) and a 28% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Jarosławiec?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 4% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 40 °F and a high of 54 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.34 inHg and steady: +0.18 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Jarosławiec?

The best time to visit Jarosławiec is from June to August: highs of 67 °F to 71 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Jarosławiec in October?

In October, Jarosławiec normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 45 °F, with about 11 rainy days (2.35 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Jarosławiec?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 29 °F. The wettest is July (3.16 in) and the driest, April.

More about Jarosławiec today

Weather near Jarosławiec

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:15 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from