TidePlanet

Weather in Elbląg

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:50 am (CET)
Now · overcast 46 °F
Feels like
43 °F
Low / high
45 / 55 °F
Rain
18% · 0.01 in
Wind
3 mph S
→ 30.26 inHg · steady

Today in Elbląg: overcast, 45 °F to 55 °F, with a 18% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light air from the south (3 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 44 °F to 54 °F and a 76% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 55 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave Model
Today · 29 Overcast 45 / 55 °F 18% · 0.01 in 6 mph W 2.2 ft ICON-EU
Fri 30 Overcast 44 / 54 °F 76% 9 mph WNW 3.3 ft ICON-EU
Sat 31 Light showers 41 / 51 °F 76% · 0.05 in 10 mph N 4.9 ft ICON-EU
Sun 1 Fog 38 / 44 °F 3% 3 mph SE 3.5 ft ICON-EU
Mon 2 Overcast 38 / 46 °F 27% 4 mph S 1.3 ft ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3 Drizzle 39 / 50 °F 33% · 0.12 in 13 mph NNW 5.8 ft ECMWF
Wed 4 Light drizzle 47 / 47 °F 35% · 0.01 in 15 mph N 7.5 ft ECMWF
Thu 5 Light drizzle 44 / 49 °F 37% · 0.07 in 10 mph NW 4.9 ft ECMWF
Fri 6 Light drizzle 47 / 52 °F 33% · 0.02 in 11 mph NNW 3.3 ft ECMWF
Sat 7 Light drizzle 44 / 49 °F 27% · 0.02 in 11 mph WNW 4.5 ft ECMWF
Sun 8 Overcast 39 / 46 °F 20% 10 mph SW 3.7 ft ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 39 / 49 °F 25% · 0.05 in 9 mph WNW 4.1 ft ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 37 / 45 °F 27% 8 mph SSE 2.4 ft ECMWF
Wed 11 Overcast 37 / 45 °F 24% 10 mph SE 2.2 ft ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastOvercastOvercastOvercastPartly cloudyPartly cloudyPartly cloudyOvercast
Temperature 45°46°47°49°54°55°48°49°
Chance of rain 3%14%6%1%1%0%0%2%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 3 S3 S3 WSW5 WNW6 NW2 WNW3 WSW5 W
Humidity 95%95%97%93%72%75%90%91%
UV 00001000
Model ICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 54°54°52°50°48°50°47°
AIFS 54°53°52°48°49°51°51°
GFS 56°55°53°52°49°48°51°
ICON 55°55°51°44°46°50°53°
ARPEGE 53°52°51°46°———
ICON-EU 55°54°51°44°46°——
Confidence highhighhighmediumhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.01 in0.03 in0.12 in000.12 in0.01 in
AIFS 0.03 in0.06 in0.08 in00.02 in0.09 in0.01 in
GFS 0.02 in0.01 in0.04 in0000
ICON 0.01 in00.06 in0000
ARPEGE 00.01 in0.02 in0———
ICON-EU 0.01 in00.05 in00——
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediumhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 6141021122462064213271534
AIFS 791177119
GFS 8189161219613579141119
ICON 61381610213648713513
ARPEGE 6129161325915———
ICON-EU 61291810203637——
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighmedium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 18%76%76%3%27%33%35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 23%10%29%13%17%26%28%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal 0.0 °F A bit above +23% A bit above +1.6 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal −0.5 °F A bit above +25% A bit above +1.3 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal +0.7 °F Normal A bit above +0.9 °F 44° / 40°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.1 °F Normal A bit above +0.9 °F 43° / 40°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +0.9 °F Normal A bit above +0.9 °F 41° / 39°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.1 °F Normal —
December Above +3.1 °F Normal —
January A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +24% —
February Normal +0.7 °F A bit above +36% —
March A bit above +1.3 °F Normal —

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Elbląg climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Elbląg is from June to August: highs of 71 °F to 74 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 34° 25° 1.57 in 9 0.8 40° 2.7 ft
FebruaryFeb 37° 27° 1.29 in 7 1.9 37° 2.3 ft
MarchMar 45° 32° 1.35 in 7 4.7 38° 2.1 ft
AprilApr 57° 40° 1.25 in 7 6.7 42° 1.8 ft
MayMay 66° 47° 1.94 in 8 8.3 50° 1.5 ft
JuneJun 71° 53° 2.80 in 10 9.4 58° 1.5 ft
JulyJul 74° 57° 3.33 in 10 7.8 64° 1.7 ft
AugustAug 74° 56° 3.00 in 9 7.4 66° 1.5 ft
SeptemberSep 66° 50° 2.56 in 8 5.6 62° 2.0 ft
OctoberOct 55° 42° 2.38 in 8 3.1 55° 2.4 ft
NovemberNov 44° 36° 1.84 in 8 0.8 49° 2.3 ft
DecemberDec 37° 29° 1.90 in 8 0.1 43° 2.8 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 40° 2.7 ft
Feb 37° 2.3 ft
Mar 38° 2.1 ft
Apr 42° 1.8 ft
May 50° 1.5 ft
Jun 58° 1.5 ft
Jul 64° 1.7 ft
Aug 66° 1.5 ft
Sep 62° 2.0 ft
Oct 55° 2.4 ft
Nov 49° 2.3 ft
Dec 43° 2.8 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 25.21 in of rain on about 99 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now46 °Ffeels like 43 °F
Tomorrow44 / 54 °F

It's 46 °F now (feels like 43 °F). Today, 45 °F to 55 °F; tomorrow, 44 °F to 54 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 18% 0.01 in
  • Fri 30 76%
  • Sat 31 76% 0.05 in
  • Sun 1 3%
  • Mon 2 27%
  • Tue 3 33% 0.12 in
  • Wed 4 35% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 18%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 76% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.01 in; last 7 days, 0.87 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity95%
Dew point44 °F

Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 44 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.3 migood
Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (8.3 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 48
PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Overcast40 / 51 °F012 mph S
Tue 27 Clear sky37 / 54 °F012 mph S
Mon 26 Overcast42 / 53 °F011 mph SW
Sun 25 Drizzle41 / 52 °F0.11 in20 mph S
Sat 24 Overcast46 / 57 °F013 mph SSE
Fri 23 Drizzle44 / 56 °F0.15 in11 mph SSW
Thu 22 Light rain50 / 57 °F0.60 in15 mph SSE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast54 / 61 °F016 mph SE
Tue 20 Light drizzle43 / 54 °F0.04 in13 mph ESE
Mon 19 Overcast39 / 46 °F09 mph ENE
Sun 18 Overcast45 / 54 °F011 mph NE
Sat 17 Overcast43 / 59 °F09 mph S
Fri 16 Overcast45 / 60 °F09 mph S
Thu 15 Light drizzle48 / 57 °F0.09 in9 mph WNW
Wed 14 Drizzle46 / 57 °F0.19 in14 mph WSW
Tue 13 Drizzle45 / 55 °F0.24 in9 mph WSW
Mon 12 Drizzle45 / 55 °F0.26 in10 mph WSW
Sun 11 Light drizzle46 / 55 °F0.01 in11 mph SSW
Sat 10 Light drizzle49 / 60 °F0.04 in13 mph SW
Fri 9 Drizzle48 / 56 °F0.07 in22 mph WSW
Thu 8 Light rain52 / 66 °F0.18 in12 mph S
Wed 7 Overcast47 / 63 °F08 mph S
Tue 6 Light drizzle55 / 63 °F0.01 in13 mph WSW
Mon 5 Overcast47 / 63 °F011 mph SW
Sun 4 Light drizzle52 / 65 °F0.05 in8 mph W
Sat 3 Overcast49 / 63 °F07 mph WSW
Fri 2 Clear sky51 / 69 °F011 mph SSE
Thu 1 Overcast54 / 67 °F012 mph SE
Wed 30 Overcast52 / 68 °F010 mph SE
Tue 29 Overcast53 / 70 °F010 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ElblągQuestions

What's the weather like today in Elbląg?

Overcast, from 45 °F to 55 °F, with a light air from the south (3 mph) and a 18% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Elbląg?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 76% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 55 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.26 inHg and steady: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Elbląg?

The best time to visit Elbląg is from June to August: highs of 71 °F to 74 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Elbląg in October?

In October, Elbląg normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 42 °F, with about 8 rainy days (2.38 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Elbląg?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 25 °F. The wettest is July (3.33 in) and the driest, April.

More about Elbląg today

Weather near Elbląg

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:50 am (local time).

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