Weather in Medina

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:21 pm (GMT+8)

Now · light drizzle 86 °F

Feels like: 98 °F
Low / high: 80 / 87 °F
Rain: 65% · 0.09 in
Wind: 5 mph NNW

↘ 29.86 inHg · falling UV 10 · very high

Today in Medina: light drizzle, 80 °F to 87 °F, with a 65% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a light breeze from the north-northwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 78 °F to 84 °F and a 86% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 80°
Today
84° 78°
Fri 30
84° 77°
Sat 31
84° 77°
Sun 1
85° 78°
Mon 2
85° 78°
Tue 3
85° 78°
Wed 4
85° 79°
Thu 5
83° 78°
Fri 6
85° 77°
Sat 7
85° 78°
Sun 8
84° 78°
Mon 9
83° 77°
Tue 10
83° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	65% · 0.09 in	8 mph ENE	0.6 ft	1:09 pm · 11:40 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	86% · 0.28 in	8 mph N	0.4 ft	2:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	94% · 0.19 in	6 mph NE	0.4 ft	12:20 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	92% · 0.14 in	5 mph SSE	0.4 ft	1:07 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	45% · 0.07 in	6 mph ENE	0.5 ft	2:04 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	78 / 85 °F	48%	7 mph NE	0.9 ft	3:28 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	78 / 85 °F	37%	6 mph NE	0.7 ft	5:43 am · 8:35 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	43% · 0.04 in	4 mph E	1.4 ft	7:29 am · 8:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	51% · 0.15 in	5 mph NNE	1.4 ft	8:40 am · 8:53 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	56% · 0.09 in	8 mph ENE	1.4 ft	9:37 am · 9:15 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	66% · 0.09 in	6 mph ENE	1.2 ft	10:25 am · 9:38 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	79% · 0.21 in	7 mph ESE	1.4 ft	11:09 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	78% · 0.40 in	7 mph ESE	1.4 ft	11:49 am · 10:27 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	86% · 0.28 in	6 mph ENE	1.0 ft	12:26 pm · 10:53 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	81°	80°	81°	85°	86°	85°	82°	81°
Chance of rain	22%	0%	0%	20%	65%	58%	55%	51%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	5 SSE	5 E	5 ESE	3 NE	6 NNE	3 WNW	2 SE	1 NE
Humidity	82%	85%	83%	73%	76%	74%	87%	90%
UV	0	0	0	7	9	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	84°	84°	84°	85°	85°	85°
AIFS	89°	86°	86°	87°	87°	88°	89°
GFS	92°	92°	91°	91°	90°	87°	89°
ICON	91°	86°	86°	88°	89°	87°	86°
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.09 in	0.28 in	0.19 in	0.14 in	0.07 in	0	0
AIFS	0.15 in	0.34 in	0.41 in	0.31 in	0.17 in	0.08 in	0.04 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.08 in	0.33 in	0.50 in	0.23 in	0.01 in	0.17 in
ICON	0.38 in	0.57 in	0.61 in	0.20 in	0	0.22 in	0.14 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	814	814	613	511	613	714	615
AIFS	5	3	3	4	6	4	5
GFS	66	66	511	66	68	55	69
ICON	815	613	713	713	613	714	614
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	65%	86%	94%	92%	45%	48%	37%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	97%	100%	93%	74%	81%	78%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −31%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −30%	84° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −35%	84° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −27%	84° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −35%
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −65%
January	Above +2.7 °F	Below −77%
February	Above +3.2 °F	Below −86%
March	Above +4.1 °F	Below −92%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Medina climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Medina is from March to April: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Medina, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rai, in December 2021.

83° 70°

JanJ
83° 69°

FebF
85° 70°

MarM
87° 71°

AprA
88° 73°

MayM
87° 72°

JunJ
87° 72°

JulJ
87° 72°

AugA
87° 72°

SepS
86° 72°

OctO
85° 71°

NovN
84° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	83°	70°	12.45 in	17	4.7	81°	1.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	83°	69°	8.43 in	13	5.1	81°	1.4 ft	1
MarchMar	85°	70°	7.18 in	12	5.7	82°	1.2 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	71°	5.11 in	11	6.3	83°	1.0 ft	–
MayMay	88°	73°	8.08 in	18	5.5	84°	0.6 ft	–
JuneJun	87°	72°	9.64 in	22	4.6	85°	0.6 ft	–
JulyJul	87°	72°	10.57 in	23	4.2	85°	0.8 ft	–
AugustAug	87°	72°	8.94 in	20	4.3	85°	0.8 ft	–
SeptemberSep	87°	72°	8.00 in	21	4.0	85°	0.9 ft	–
OctoberOct	86°	72°	9.87 in	23	4.5	85°	0.9 ft	–
NovemberNov	85°	71°	9.98 in	19	5.2	84°	1.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	84°	71°	11.88 in	18	5.3	83°	1.2 ft	5

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	1.5 ft	–
Feb	81°	1.4 ft	1
Mar	82°	1.2 ft	–
Apr	83°	1.0 ft	–
May	84°	0.6 ft	–
Jun	85°	0.6 ft	–
Jul	85°	0.8 ft	–
Aug	85°	0.8 ft	–
Sep	85°	0.9 ft	–
Oct	85°	0.9 ft	–
Nov	84°	1.0 ft	–
Dec	83°	1.2 ft	5

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 110.14 in of rain on about 217 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now86 °Ffeels like 98 °F

Tomorrow78 / 84 °F

It's 86 °F now (feels like 98 °F). Today, 80 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 65% 0.09 in
Fri 30 86% 0.28 in
Sat 31 94% 0.19 in
Sun 1 92% 0.14 in
Mon 2 45% 0.07 in
Tue 3 48%
Wed 4 37%

Today the chance of rain reaches 65%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 86% and 0.28 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.30 in; last 7 days, 1.67 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity72%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 72% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds14%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now6

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.97

Falling now (−0.06 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 16

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.08 in	5 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.05 in	8 mph WNW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.14 in	7 mph ENE
Sun 25	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.54 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	0.63 in	8 mph NNE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.18 in	8 mph ENE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	81 / 89 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.02 in	19 mph WNW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.04 in	17 mph WNW
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.30 in	7 mph NW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.09 in	7 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light showers	80 / 86 °F	0.24 in	7 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	0.58 in	5 mph NNW
Thu 15	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	0.67 in	4 mph SE
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	78 / 83 °F	0.44 in	5 mph NW
Tue 13	Showers	79 / 86 °F	0.70 in	5 mph NW
Mon 12	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.30 in	4 mph NNW
Sun 11	Showers	79 / 87 °F	0.73 in	5 mph S
Sat 10	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.45 in	5 mph ESE
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.31 in	9 mph N
Thu 8	Light showers	78 / 86 °F	0.54 in	8 mph WNW
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.40 in	12 mph WNW
Tue 6	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.13 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.04 in	8 mph SSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.01 in	15 mph WNW
Sat 3	Overcast	80 / 87 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.43 in	9 mph WNW
Thu 1	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.14 in	8 mph NNW
Wed 30	Overcast	79 / 87 °F	0	7 mph NE
Tue 29	Drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.37 in	5 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MedinaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Medina?

Light drizzle, from 80 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (5 mph) and a 65% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Medina?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 86% (0.28 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.86 inHg and falling: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Medina?

The best time to visit Medina is from March to April: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Medina in October?

In October, Medina normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 23 rainy days (9.87 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Medina?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is January (12.45 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Medina?

Typhoon season: in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Medina, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rai, in December 2021.

More about Medina today

Weather near Medina

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 17 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:21 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from