Weather in Carmen

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:25 am (GMT+8)

Now · light drizzle 82 °F

Feels like: 90 °F
Low / high: 78 / 85 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.09 in
Wind: 9 mph NE

↗ 29.96 inHg · rising UV 9 · very high

Today in Carmen: light drizzle, 78 °F to 85 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a gentle breeze from the northeast (9 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 79 °F to 85 °F and a 59% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 78°
Today
85° 79°
Fri 30
84° 78°
Sat 31
84° 76°
Sun 1
85° 77°
Mon 2
85° 78°
Tue 3
83° 78°
Wed 4
84° 78°
Thu 5
84° 79°
Fri 6
85° 79°
Sat 7
85° 78°
Sun 8
86° 77°
Mon 9
85° 77°
Tue 10
84° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	100% · 0.09 in	12 mph NE	2.7 ft	1:30 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	59% · 0.01 in	9 mph NNE	0.7 ft	12:22 am · 2:21 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	61% · 0.17 in	11 mph NE	1.2 ft	1:02 am · 3:29 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	90% · 0.22 in	9 mph ENE	0.7 ft	1:47 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	78% · 0.09 in	9 mph NE	0.5 ft	2:44 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	71% · 0.09 in	11 mph NE	1.0 ft	4:07 am · 8:54 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	55% · 0.19 in	10 mph NE	1.2 ft	6:06 am · 8:45 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	25% · 0.12 in	10 mph NE	1.4 ft	7:50 am · 9:03 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	79 / 84 °F	29%	11 mph NE	1.2 ft	9:03 am · 9:26 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	79 / 85 °F	33%	10 mph ENE	1.2 ft	10:00 am · 9:50 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	67% · 0.02 in	12 mph NE	—	10:48 am · 10:14 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	75% · 0.06 in	14 mph NE	—	11:31 am · 10:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	78% · 0.22 in	12 mph NE	—	12:09 pm · 11:04 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	80% · 0.15 in	13 mph NE	—	12:45 pm · 11:31 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	78°	79°	79°	82°	85°	85°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	100%	92%	72%	77%	64%	24%	2%	5%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	11 NE	12 NE	9 NE	8 NE	9 NE	8 NNE	8 NNE	10 NE
Humidity	94%	90%	91%	83%	71%	73%	81%	85%
UV	0	0	0	5	9	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	85°	84°	84°	85°	85°	83°
AIFS	87°	87°	86°	85°	87°	87°	86°
GFS	83°	83°	83°	84°	84°	84°	82°
ICON	83°	84°	83°	82°	84°	85°	82°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.09 in	0.01 in	0.17 in	0.22 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.19 in
AIFS	0.15 in	0.13 in	0.22 in	0.41 in	0.19 in	0.12 in	0.13 in
GFS	0.24 in	0.02 in	0.44 in	0.22 in	0.35 in	0.23 in	0
ICON	0.48 in	0.59 in	0.44 in	0.58 in	0.56 in	0.31 in	0.22 in
Confidence	medium	low	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1223	917	1121	917	919	1121	1022
AIFS	14	9	9	6	9	11	11
GFS	1620	1013	1518	1111	912	2022	1821
ICON	1022	817	1018	615	1018	1120	1119
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	59%	61%	90%	78%	71%	55%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	68%	100%	88%	82%	76%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Below −56%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −30%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −42%	A bit above +1.1 °F	84° / 81°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −35%	A bit above +1.1 °F	84° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −45%	A bit above +1.1 °F	84° / 81°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −30%	Above +2.0 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −57%	Above +2.0 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −53%	Above +2.2 °F
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −61%	Above +2.2 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Below −71%	Above +2.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Carmen climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carmen is from February to April: highs of 83 °F to 88 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: from May to July and from September to December, peaking in November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 34 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carmen, one or two a year; 19 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Bualoi, in September 2025.

83° 73°

JanJ
83° 73°

FebF
85° 74°

MarM
88° 76°

AprA
89° 76°

MayM
88° 76°

JunJ
86° 75°

JulJ
85° 76°

AugA
86° 75°

SepS
86° 75°

OctO
85° 74°

NovN
84° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	83°	73°	4.57 in	8	3.8	80°	2.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	83°	73°	2.73 in	6	4.7	80°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	85°	74°	2.22 in	6	5.8	81°	1.7 ft	1
AprilApr	88°	76°	2.21 in	6	7.1	83°	1.2 ft	1
MayMay	89°	76°	7.13 in	15	5.8	85°	0.9 ft	3
JuneJun	88°	76°	10.20 in	23	4.9	86°	1.4 ft	3
JulyJul	86°	75°	14.57 in	25	3.8	85°	1.9 ft	3
AugustAug	85°	76°	10.62 in	24	4.1	84°	2.3 ft	–
SeptemberSep	86°	75°	10.89 in	23	3.6	84°	1.7 ft	3
OctoberOct	86°	75°	12.52 in	23	4.4	84°	1.5 ft	4
NovemberNov	85°	74°	9.22 in	18	4.3	83°	1.8 ft	9
DecemberDec	84°	74°	11.22 in	16	3.5	82°	2.1 ft	7

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	2.4 ft	–
Feb	80°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	81°	1.7 ft	1
Apr	83°	1.2 ft	1
May	85°	0.9 ft	3
Jun	86°	1.4 ft	3
Jul	85°	1.9 ft	3
Aug	84°	2.3 ft	–
Sep	84°	1.7 ft	3
Oct	84°	1.5 ft	4
Nov	83°	1.8 ft	9
Dec	82°	2.1 ft	7

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 98.11 in of rain on about 193 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now82 °Ffeels like 90 °F

Tomorrow79 / 85 °F

It's 82 °F now (feels like 90 °F). Today, 78 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 79 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.09 in
Fri 30 59% 0.01 in
Sat 31 61% 0.17 in
Sun 1 90% 0.22 in
Mon 2 78% 0.09 in
Tue 3 71% 0.09 in
Wed 4 55% 0.19 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 59% and 0.01 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.28 in; last 3 days, 0.78 in; last 7 days, 1.04 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds80%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now6

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.89

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.58 in	15 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.11 in	13 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.05 in	9 mph NE
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.25 in	9 mph S
Sat 24	Overcast	80 / 85 °F	0	12 mph SSW
Fri 23	Overcast	81 / 86 °F	0	17 mph SW
Thu 22	Overcast	81 / 85 °F	0	18 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WNW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.08 in	11 mph N
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.38 in	11 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.53 in	11 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.25 in	12 mph NE
Fri 16	Showers	77 / 86 °F	0.40 in	10 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light showers	76 / 83 °F	0.72 in	11 mph NE
Wed 14	Light showers	77 / 85 °F	0.80 in	11 mph NNE
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.46 in	8 mph NNE
Mon 12	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.80 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 11	Showers	78 / 84 °F	0.79 in	7 mph NE
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.47 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 9	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.43 in	10 mph N
Thu 8	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.28 in	12 mph NNE
Wed 7	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.28 in	5 mph N
Tue 6	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.25 in	8 mph SSW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.14 in	8 mph W
Sun 4	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.08 in	9 mph WSW
Sat 3	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.17 in	9 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.11 in	9 mph WNW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.12 in	8 mph NNE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.07 in	4 mph NE
Tue 29	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.19 in	9 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarmenQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carmen?

Light drizzle, from 78 °F to 85 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (9 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carmen?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 59% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carmen?

The best time to visit Carmen is from February to April: highs of 83 °F to 88 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carmen in October?

In October, Carmen normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 23 rainy days (12.52 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carmen?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is July (14.57 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Carmen?

Typhoon season: from May to July and from September to December, peaking in November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 34 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carmen, one or two a year; 19 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Bualoi, in September 2025.

More about Carmen today

Weather near Carmen

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:25 am (local time).

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