Weather in Mabua

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:40 am (GMT+8)

Now · mainly clear 84 °F

Feels like: 93 °F
Low / high: 78 / 88 °F
Rain: 91% · 0.06 in
Wind: 6 mph E

↗ 29.93 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in Mabua: light drizzle, 78 °F to 88 °F, with a 91% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light breeze from the east (6 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 77 °F to 85 °F and a 87% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 88 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

88° 78°
Today
85° 77°
Fri 30
85° 77°
Sat 31
84° 76°
Sun 1
87° 78°
Mon 2
87° 78°
Tue 3
85° 78°
Wed 4
85° 79°
Thu 5
84° 77°
Fri 6
85° 76°
Sat 7
84° 77°
Sun 8
82° 77°
Mon 9
82° 77°
Tue 10
84° 76°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	91% · 0.06 in	7 mph E	0.9 ft	12:55 pm · 11:28 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	77 / 85 °F	87% · 0.47 in	7 mph ENE	0.7 ft	1:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	77 / 85 °F	94% · 0.51 in	7 mph N	0.7 ft	12:09 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	76 / 84 °F	94% · 0.48 in	6 mph NW	0.7 ft	12:55 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	74% · 0.11 in	7 mph ENE	0.9 ft	1:51 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	57% · 0.01 in	7 mph ENE	1.2 ft	3:13 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	67% · 0.01 in	6 mph ENE	1.0 ft	5:28 am · 8:27 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	74% · 0.17 in	9 mph NE	1.0 ft	7:18 am · 8:26 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	73% · 0.34 in	9 mph ENE	1.0 ft	8:31 am · 8:43 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	75% · 0.22 in	9 mph E	1.8 ft	9:28 am · 9:04 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	82% · 0.26 in	9 mph E	1.9 ft	10:16 am · 9:27 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	77 / 82 °F	82% · 0.30 in	9 mph E	1.8 ft	11:00 am · 9:51 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light showers	77 / 82 °F	88% · 0.54 in	9 mph E	1.6 ft	11:41 am · 10:16 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	90% · 0.30 in	9 mph ENE	2.0 ft	12:18 pm · 10:42 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast
Temperature	81°	80°	80°	86°	88°	86°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	39%	55%	40%	38%	56%	85%	78%	47%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 E	7 E	7 ESE	6 E	6 ENE	5 NE	5 E	4 E
Humidity	85%	90%	88%	77%	70%	73%	82%	91%
UV	0	0	0	5	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	88°	85°	85°	84°	87°	87°	85°
AIFS	88°	87°	86°	87°	86°	88°	88°
GFS	86°	86°	85°	86°	85°	84°	82°
ICON	86°	85°	86°	88°	88°	84°	83°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.47 in	0.51 in	0.48 in	0.11 in	0.01 in	0.01 in
AIFS	0.27 in	0.41 in	0.41 in	0.40 in	0.28 in	0.06 in	0.13 in
GFS	0.09 in	0.31 in	0.28 in	0.10 in	0.28 in	0.19 in	0.31 in
ICON	0.21 in	0.45 in	0.19 in	0.05 in	0	0.31 in	0.17 in
Confidence	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	717	716	717	614	715	716	616
AIFS	8	5	5	4	8	8	7
GFS	1112	99	1210	64	99	129	1010
ICON	815	510	612	611	411	613	511
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	91%	87%	94%	94%	74%	57%	67%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	74%	92%	97%	43%	58%	71%	75%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −39%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −36%	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −42%	A bit above +0.5 °F	84° / 81°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −36%	Normal +0.2 °F	84° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −36%	Normal +0.2 °F	84° / 81°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −42%	A bit above +1.3 °F
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −55%	A bit above +0.7 °F
January	A bit above +1.8 °F	Below −69%	A bit above +0.7 °F
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −76%	A bit above +0.9 °F
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −82%	A bit above +1.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Mabua climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

Any time of year is good for Mabua: highs range from 84 °F to 89 °F through the year.

Typhoon season: from June to July and from October to April, peaking in November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mabua, about 5 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

84° 75°

JanJ
85° 75°

FebF
86° 76°

MarM
88° 76°

AprA
89° 78°

MayM
89° 77°

JunJ
88° 78°

JulJ
88° 77°

AugA
88° 77°

SepS
87° 77°

OctO
87° 76°

NovN
85° 76°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	75°	25.56 in	27	4.5	81°	3.3 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	85°	75°	20.17 in	22	4.5	81°	3.1 ft	1
MarchMar	86°	76°	16.03 in	20	5.2	82°	2.7 ft	1
AprilApr	88°	76°	7.38 in	17	5.7	83°	2.1 ft	2
MayMay	89°	78°	6.64 in	17	5.4	84°	1.6 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	77°	6.37 in	20	4.7	85°	1.4 ft	1
JulyJul	88°	78°	7.29 in	22	4.4	84°	1.6 ft	1
AugustAug	88°	77°	6.50 in	18	4.6	84°	1.6 ft	–
SeptemberSep	88°	77°	6.59 in	19	4.0	84°	1.7 ft	–
OctoberOct	87°	77°	11.09 in	24	4.6	84°	2.0 ft	1
NovemberNov	87°	76°	17.69 in	26	4.7	84°	2.4 ft	4
DecemberDec	85°	76°	21.05 in	28	4.5	82°	2.8 ft	3

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.3 ft	1
Feb	81°	3.1 ft	1
Mar	82°	2.7 ft	1
Apr	83°	2.1 ft	2
May	84°	1.6 ft	–
Jun	85°	1.4 ft	1
Jul	84°	1.6 ft	1
Aug	84°	1.6 ft	–
Sep	84°	1.7 ft	–
Oct	84°	2.0 ft	1
Nov	84°	2.4 ft	4
Dec	82°	2.8 ft	3

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 152.37 in of rain on about 257 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now84 °Ffeels like 93 °F

Tomorrow77 / 85 °F

It's 84 °F now (feels like 93 °F). Today, 78 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 77 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 91% 0.06 in
Fri 30 87% 0.47 in
Sat 31 94% 0.51 in
Sun 1 94% 0.48 in
Mon 2 74% 0.11 in
Tue 3 57% 0.01 in
Wed 4 67% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 91%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 87% and 0.47 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.29 in; last 7 days, 1.44 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point77 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 77 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds31%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.85

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 11

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.08 in	6 mph ENE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.08 in	8 mph NE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.12 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 25	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.31 in	6 mph NE
Sat 24	Light showers	77 / 84 °F	0.65 in	6 mph SSW
Fri 23	Drizzle	79 / 90 °F	0.14 in	5 mph SW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	82 / 90 °F	0.04 in	10 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.08 in	13 mph WSW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.09 in	13 mph WSW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.15 in	7 mph NNW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.13 in	7 mph NE
Sat 17	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.18 in	6 mph NE
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.35 in	7 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 85 °F	0.47 in	6 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light showers	76 / 82 °F	0.54 in	6 mph WNW
Tue 13	Showers	78 / 86 °F	0.85 in	6 mph WSW
Mon 12	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.31 in	5 mph SW
Sun 11	Showers	78 / 90 °F	0.66 in	5 mph SSE
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.35 in	4 mph SW
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.27 in	7 mph W
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.43 in	8 mph WSW
Wed 7	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.45 in	10 mph WSW
Tue 6	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.40 in	10 mph WSW
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.45 in	12 mph WSW
Sun 4	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.17 in	11 mph WSW
Sat 3	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.12 in	9 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.33 in	10 mph WSW
Thu 1	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.20 in	6 mph WNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.07 in	6 mph NW
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.41 in	8 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MabuaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mabua?

Light drizzle, from 78 °F to 88 °F, with a light breeze from the east (6 mph) and a 91% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mabua?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 87% (0.47 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and rising: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mabua?

Any time of year is good for Mabua: highs range from 84 °F to 89 °F through the year.

What is the weather like in Mabua in October?

In October, Mabua normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 77 °F, with about 24 rainy days (11.09 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mabua?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 75 °F. The wettest is January (25.56 in) and the driest, June.

When is typhoon season in Mabua?

Typhoon season: from June to July and from October to April, peaking in November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mabua, about 5 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

More about Mabua today

Weather near Mabua

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:40 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from