Weather in Carmen

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:39 am (GMT+8)

Now · clear sky 85 °F

Feels like: 95 °F
Low / high: 80 / 87 °F
Rain: 84% · 0.13 in
Wind: 4 mph ESE

↗ 29.92 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in Carmen: light drizzle, 80 °F to 87 °F, with a 84% chance of rain (0.13 in) and a light breeze from the east-southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, showers, 78 °F to 83 °F and a 84% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 80°
Today
83° 78°
Fri 30
84° 77°
Sat 31
84° 77°
Sun 1
84° 78°
Mon 2
85° 77°
Tue 3
85° 78°
Wed 4
85° 79°
Thu 5
83° 78°
Fri 6
85° 77°
Sat 7
85° 78°
Sun 8
84° 78°
Mon 9
83° 77°
Tue 10
83° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	84% · 0.13 in	8 mph ENE	0.5 ft	1:08 pm · 11:39 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	78 / 83 °F	84% · 0.57 in	6 mph W	0.5 ft	2:02 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	77 / 84 °F	92% · 0.46 in	6 mph NNW	0.3 ft	12:19 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	85% · 0.08 in	5 mph SW	0.3 ft	1:06 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	42% · 0.05 in	6 mph ENE	0.2 ft	2:03 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	41% · 0.01 in	8 mph ENE	0.4 ft	3:27 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	78 / 85 °F	37%	6 mph ENE	0.5 ft	5:42 am · 8:34 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	43% · 0.04 in	4 mph E	0.4 ft	7:28 am · 8:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	51% · 0.15 in	5 mph NNE	0.6 ft	8:40 am · 8:52 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	56% · 0.09 in	8 mph ENE	1.6 ft	9:36 am · 9:14 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	66% · 0.09 in	6 mph ENE	1.1 ft	10:24 am · 9:37 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	79% · 0.21 in	7 mph ESE	1.3 ft	11:08 am · 10:01 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	78% · 0.40 in	7 mph ESE	1.4 ft	11:48 am · 10:26 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	86% · 0.28 in	6 mph ENE	1.1 ft	12:26 pm · 10:53 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast
Temperature	81°	80°	82°	87°	86°	84°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	22%	0%	0%	18%	70%	84%	78%	51%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 SSE	5 E	5 SE	4 NE	7 NNE	1 ENE	1 ENE	2 NW
Humidity	84%	89%	80%	69%	74%	80%	84%	90%
UV	0	0	0	7	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	83°	84°	84°	84°	85°	85°
AIFS	88°	86°	86°	86°	86°	88°	89°
GFS	91°	90°	90°	90°	89°	87°	88°
ICON	91°	86°	86°	88°	89°	87°	86°
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.13 in	0.57 in	0.46 in	0.08 in	0.05 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.22 in	0.43 in	0.39 in	0.31 in	0.19 in	0.07 in	0.08 in
GFS	0.05 in	0.07 in	0.43 in	0.13 in	0.10 in	0.09 in	0.08 in
ICON	0.38 in	0.57 in	0.61 in	0.20 in	0	0.22 in	0.14 in
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	815	615	613	511	613	814	615
AIFS	5	3	2	4	5	5	5
GFS	66	66	65	66	77	65	77
ICON	815	613	713	713	613	714	614
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	84%	84%	92%	85%	42%	41%	37%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	94%	87%	98%	94%	59%	88%	70%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit below −29%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −22%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −27%	84° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −31%	84° / 71°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	83° / 71°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −37%
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −60%
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −70%
February	Above +2.9 °F	Below −80%
March	Above +3.6 °F	Below −85%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Carmen climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carmen is from December to April: highs of 85 °F to 90 °F, about 20 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in February and in December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carmen, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rai, in December 2021.

85° 73°

JanJ
87° 73°

FebF
88° 74°

MarM
90° 75°

AprA
91° 76°

MayM
91° 76°

JunJ
90° 75°

JulJ
90° 75°

AugA
90° 75°

SepS
89° 75°

OctO
89° 74°

NovN
87° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	73°	20.83 in	24	4.8	81°	1.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	87°	73°	13.16 in	19	5.1	81°	1.0 ft	1
MarchMar	88°	74°	11.17 in	19	5.7	81°	0.8 ft	–
AprilApr	90°	75°	6.70 in	16	6.0	83°	0.7 ft	–
MayMay	91°	76°	8.06 in	19	5.4	84°	0.5 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	76°	7.79 in	20	4.6	85°	0.5 ft	–
JulyJul	90°	75°	8.60 in	21	4.4	85°	0.6 ft	–
AugustAug	90°	75°	7.87 in	18	4.6	85°	0.6 ft	–
SeptemberSep	90°	75°	7.07 in	18	4.2	85°	0.6 ft	–
OctoberOct	89°	75°	9.51 in	22	4.5	85°	0.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	89°	74°	11.65 in	22	5.2	84°	0.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	87°	74°	16.84 in	24	5.2	83°	0.8 ft	5

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	1.1 ft	–
Feb	81°	1.0 ft	1
Mar	81°	0.8 ft	–
Apr	83°	0.7 ft	–
May	84°	0.5 ft	–
Jun	85°	0.5 ft	–
Jul	85°	0.6 ft	–
Aug	85°	0.6 ft	–
Sep	85°	0.6 ft	–
Oct	85°	0.7 ft	1
Nov	84°	0.7 ft	–
Dec	83°	0.8 ft	5

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 129.24 in of rain on about 242 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now85 °Ffeels like 95 °F

Tomorrow78 / 83 °F

It's 85 °F now (feels like 95 °F). Today, 80 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 84% 0.13 in
Fri 30 84% 0.57 in
Sat 31 92% 0.46 in
Sun 1 85% 0.08 in
Mon 2 42% 0.05 in
Tue 3 41% 0.01 in
Wed 4 37%

Today the chance of rain reaches 84%, with 0.13 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 84% and 0.57 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.27 in; last 7 days, 1.63 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity71%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds16%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.85

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 15

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.08 in	5 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.05 in	8 mph WNW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.14 in	7 mph ENE
Sun 25	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.54 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	0.63 in	8 mph NNE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.18 in	8 mph ENE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	81 / 89 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.02 in	19 mph WNW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.04 in	17 mph WNW
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.30 in	7 mph NW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.09 in	7 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light showers	80 / 86 °F	0.24 in	7 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	0.58 in	5 mph NNW
Thu 15	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	0.67 in	4 mph SE
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	78 / 83 °F	0.44 in	5 mph NW
Tue 13	Showers	79 / 86 °F	0.70 in	5 mph NW
Mon 12	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.30 in	4 mph NNW
Sun 11	Showers	79 / 87 °F	0.73 in	5 mph S
Sat 10	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.45 in	5 mph ESE
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.31 in	9 mph N
Thu 8	Light showers	78 / 86 °F	0.54 in	8 mph WNW
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.40 in	12 mph WNW
Tue 6	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.13 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.04 in	8 mph SSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.01 in	15 mph WNW
Sat 3	Overcast	80 / 87 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.43 in	9 mph WNW
Thu 1	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.14 in	8 mph NNW
Wed 30	Overcast	79 / 87 °F	0	7 mph NE
Tue 29	Drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.37 in	5 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarmenQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carmen?

Light drizzle, from 80 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (4 mph) and a 84% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carmen?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 84% (0.57 in): showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and rising: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carmen?

The best time to visit Carmen is from December to April: highs of 85 °F to 90 °F, about 20 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carmen in October?

In October, Carmen normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 22 rainy days (9.51 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carmen?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is January (20.83 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Carmen?

Typhoon season: in February and in December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carmen, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rai, in December 2021.

More about Carmen today

Weather near Carmen

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:39 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from