Weather in Aras-asan

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:58 am (GMT+8)

Now · light drizzle 82 °F

Feels like: 93 °F
Low / high: 78 / 86 °F
Rain: 57% · 0.11 in
Wind: 2 mph NW

↗ 29.93 inHg · rising UV 11 · very high

Today in Aras-asan: light drizzle, 78 °F to 86 °F, with a 57% chance of rain (0.11 in) and a light air from the northwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, showers, 77 °F to 84 °F and a 76% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 86 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 78°
Today
84° 77°
Fri 30
84° 75°
Sat 31
85° 74°
Sun 1
84° 76°
Mon 2
85° 75°
Tue 3
85° 77°
Wed 4
86° 77°
Thu 5
82° 77°
Fri 6
83° 76°
Sat 7
82° 76°
Sun 8
80° 77°
Mon 9
79° 76°
Tue 10
84° 75°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	57% · 0.11 in	7 mph N	2.6 ft	7:41 am · 7:09 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	77 / 84 °F	76% · 0.50 in	8 mph NW	2.7 ft	8:31 am · 7:52 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	75 / 84 °F	74% · 0.44 in	7 mph WNW	3.1 ft	9:30 am · 8:44 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	74 / 85 °F	76%	7 mph W	3.8 ft	10:45 am · 9:54 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	45% · 0.13 in	8 mph WNW	3.9 ft	12:14 pm · 11:36 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	35% · 0.01 in	9 mph NW	5.2 ft	1:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	29% · 0.05 in	8 mph NNW	4.9 ft	1:23 am · 2:26 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	39% · 0.06 in	9 mph NNW	4.1 ft	2:42 am · 3:07 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	77 / 82 °F	57% · 0.20 in	9 mph NNW	3.8 ft	3:40 am · 3:43 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	56% · 0.12 in	8 mph N	4.4 ft	4:26 am · 4:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	59% · 0.24 in	7 mph N	4.7 ft	5:07 am · 4:46 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	77 / 80 °F	59% · 0.39 in	4 mph NW	4.9 ft	5:44 am · 5:15 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	76 / 79 °F	67% · 0.45 in	2 mph W	4.9 ft	6:19 am · 5:44 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	75 / 84 °F	76% · 0.34 in	6 mph NNW	4.7 ft	6:52 am · 6:12 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	80°	78°	80°	84°	86°	84°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	32%	41%	43%	19%	25%	21%	20%	44%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
Wind (mph)	5 WSW	5 WSW	3 NW	2 NNE	7 NE	5 NE	1 NE	1 W
Humidity	91%	91%	88%	78%	74%	79%	84%	88%
UV	0	0	0	7	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Sunday 1: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	84°	84°	85°	84°	85°	85°
AIFS	87°	86°	85°	86°	85°	87°	87°
GFS	87°	88°	87°	87°	86°	86°	87°
ICON	89°	86°	88°	89°	87°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.11 in	0.50 in	0.44 in	0	0.13 in	0.01 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.17 in	0.35 in	0.40 in	0.25 in	0.18 in	0.08 in	0.08 in
GFS	0.31 in	0.21 in	0	0.00 in	0.14 in	0.06 in	0.15 in
ICON	0.09 in	0.41 in	0.78 in	0.07 in	0.24 in	0.53 in	0.26 in
Confidence	medium	high	medium	low	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	715	816	717	715	820	921	819
AIFS	5	4	4	3	8	6	6
GFS	67	69	810	87	78	55	911
ICON	615	514	515	516	515	514	618
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	57%	76%	74%	76%	45%	35%	29%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	97%	77%	78%	81%	87%	79%	81%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit below −33%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −24%	84° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	84° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	83° / 74°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −21%
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −39%
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −58%
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −66%
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −67%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Aras-asan climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Aras-asan is from November to April and from July to August: highs of 85 °F to 90 °F, about 22 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in October and from December to February, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Aras-asan, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rai, in December 2021.

85° 74°

JanJ
85° 74°

FebF
87° 74°

MarM
89° 75°

AprA
90° 76°

MayM
90° 76°

JunJ
89° 76°

JulJ
90° 76°

AugA
90° 76°

SepS
89° 75°

OctO
87° 75°

NovN
87° 75°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	74°	38.13 in	26	4.5	82°	7.0 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	85°	74°	25.74 in	21	4.8	82°	6.5 ft	1
MarchMar	87°	74°	20.98 in	21	5.0	82°	5.5 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	75°	13.32 in	18	5.4	84°	4.3 ft	–
MayMay	90°	76°	10.64 in	23	5.4	85°	3.2 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	76°	8.67 in	25	4.3	85°	2.7 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	76°	7.13 in	27	4.6	85°	2.8 ft	–
AugustAug	90°	76°	6.53 in	23	5.0	85°	2.9 ft	–
SeptemberSep	90°	76°	7.47 in	23	4.1	85°	3.2 ft	–
OctoberOct	89°	75°	10.19 in	26	4.3	85°	4.4 ft	1
NovemberNov	87°	75°	18.19 in	25	4.8	84°	5.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	87°	75°	26.76 in	27	4.8	83°	6.3 ft	5

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	7.0 ft	1
Feb	82°	6.5 ft	1
Mar	82°	5.5 ft	–
Apr	84°	4.3 ft	–
May	85°	3.2 ft	–
Jun	85°	2.7 ft	–
Jul	85°	2.8 ft	–
Aug	85°	2.9 ft	–
Sep	85°	3.2 ft	–
Oct	85°	4.4 ft	1
Nov	84°	5.2 ft	–
Dec	83°	6.3 ft	5

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 193.75 in of rain on about 284 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now82 °Ffeels like 93 °F

Tomorrow77 / 84 °F

It's 82 °F now (feels like 93 °F). Today, 78 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 77 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 57% 0.11 in
Fri 30 76% 0.50 in
Sat 31 74% 0.44 in
Sun 1 76%
Mon 2 45% 0.13 in
Tue 3 35% 0.01 in
Wed 4 29% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 57%, with 0.11 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 76% and 0.50 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.14 in; last 7 days, 0.94 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds42%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak11very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.85

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 11

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.04 in	7 mph N
Tue 27	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.01 in	7 mph NNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.07 in	7 mph NNW
Sun 25	Drizzle	77 / 85 °F	0.15 in	6 mph N
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.32 in	8 mph SW
Fri 23	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.13 in	9 mph S
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.19 in	8 mph S

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.01 in	8 mph WSW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.05 in	6 mph SSW
Mon 19	Drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.21 in	9 mph NNW
Sun 18	Overcast	76 / 87 °F	0	7 mph NW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.07 in	8 mph NW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.05 in	9 mph NW
Thu 15	Drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.37 in	5 mph W
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.39 in	4 mph NW
Tue 13	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.21 in	6 mph SW
Mon 12	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.39 in	8 mph W
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	76 / 84 °F	0.33 in	6 mph S
Sat 10	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.15 in	7 mph S
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.21 in	7 mph W
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 84 °F	0.87 in	5 mph WSW
Wed 7	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.71 in	5 mph WSW
Tue 6	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.19 in	4 mph WSW
Mon 5	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.47 in	5 mph WSW
Sun 4	Drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.09 in	6 mph WSW
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.13 in	5 mph SW
Fri 2	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.25 in	5 mph WSW
Thu 1	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	0.30 in	7 mph WNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WSW
Tue 29	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.31 in	5 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Aras-asanQuestions

What's the weather like today in Aras-asan?

Light drizzle, from 78 °F to 86 °F, with a light air from the northwest (2 mph) and a 57% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Aras-asan?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 76% (0.50 in): showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and rising: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Aras-asan?

The best time to visit Aras-asan is from November to April and from July to August: highs of 85 °F to 90 °F, about 22 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Aras-asan in October?

In October, Aras-asan normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 26 rainy days (10.19 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Aras-asan?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 74 °F. The wettest is January (38.13 in) and the driest, August.

When is typhoon season in Aras-asan?

Typhoon season: in October and from December to February, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Aras-asan, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rai, in December 2021.

More about Aras-asan today

Weather near Aras-asan

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:58 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from