TidePlanet

Weather in Máncora

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:55 pm (GMT-5)
Now · drizzle 80 °F
Feels like
88 °F
Low / high
78 / 91 °F
Rain
99% · 0.47 in
Wind
10 mph SSW
↗ 29.83 inHg · rising UV 12 · extreme

Today in Máncora: light showers, 78 °F to 91 °F, with a 99% chance of rain (0.47 in) and a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (10 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 78 °F to 93 °F and a 88% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 94 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Light showers 78 / 91 °F 99% · 0.47 in 11 mph SSW 3.7 ft 4:43 am · 5:25 pm ECMWF
Thu 29 Light showers 78 / 93 °F 88% · 0.28 in 13 mph SSE 3.9 ft 5:27 am · 6:12 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Heavy drizzle 77 / 91 °F 91% · 0.26 in 13 mph SSE 4.3 ft 6:15 am · 7:05 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Light drizzle 77 / 89 °F 86% · 0.12 in 11 mph SSW 4.6 ft 7:09 am · 8:06 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Heavy drizzle 78 / 92 °F 88% · 0.27 in 13 mph S 5.2 ft 8:12 am · 9:15 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 77 / 90 °F 65% · 0.06 in 14 mph S 4.9 ft 9:30 am · 10:30 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 77 / 94 °F 41% · 0.02 in 16 mph S 5.1 ft 10:56 am · 11:39 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Drizzle 77 / 90 °F 50% · 0.15 in 13 mph S 4.3 ft 12:14 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Drizzle 76 / 88 °F 56% · 0.09 in 9 mph S 3.9 ft 12:39 am · 1:16 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Light drizzle 78 / 87 °F 73% · 0.02 in 9 mph SW 3.2 ft 1:28 am · 2:08 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Light drizzle 78 / 91 °F 69% · 0.03 in 12 mph SSW 2.6 ft 2:12 am · 2:52 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Light showers 77 / 92 °F 80% · 0.71 in 13 mph S 3.0 ft 2:51 am · 3:32 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 77 / 89 °F 78% · 0.17 in 13 mph SSW 2.8 ft 3:28 am · 4:09 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 78 / 90 °F 74% · 0.35 in 12 mph SSW 3.1 ft 4:02 am · 4:44 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastOvercastOvercastLight drizzleDrizzleLight showersDrizzleDrizzle
Temperature 79°79°78°85°91°85°80°79°
Chance of rain 9%38%38%20%71%99%88%47%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.03 in0.06 in0.04 in0.03 in
Wind (mph) 5 SSW5 SSE3 SE5 SE3 W9 SW10 SSW8 SSW
Humidity 94%89%91%71%57%74%94%97%
UV 000512500
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 91°93°91°89°92°90°94°
AIFS 90°92°91°93°90°89°90°
GFS 85°87°86°84°84°84°83°
ICON 89°91°96°93°95°95°93°
Confidence mediumhighmediummediumlowlowlow
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0.47 in0.28 in0.26 in0.12 in0.27 in0.06 in0.02 in
AIFS 0.29 in0.20 in0.18 in0.17 in0.27 in0.29 in0.17 in
GFS 0.20 in0.03 in0.05 in0.12 in0.14 in0.02 in0.09 in
ICON 0.12 in0.02 in00000
Confidence mediumlowmediummediummediumlowmedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 1120132313241122131814201629
AIFS 5786668
GFS 1314131519221518141614161216
ICON 101691713211321193219311930
Confidence mediumhighmediummediummediummediummedium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 99%88%91%86%88%65%41%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%71%32%32%30%53%65%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and much wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +7.6 °F Well above +100% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Well above +7.9 °F Well above +100% 89° / 75°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Well above +7.6 °F Well above +100% 89° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Well above +7.2 °F Well above +100% 90° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Well above +7.0 °F Well above +100% 90° / 76°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November Well above +7.0 °F Well above +2072%
December Well above +5.4 °F Well above +1431%
January Above +4.3 °F Well above +1233%
February Above +3.6 °F Well above +755%
March Above +3.8 °F Well above +681%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Máncora climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Máncora is from May to October: highs of 78 °F to 85 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 86° 70° 0.43 in 5 3.3 75° 4.7 ft
FebruaryFeb 87° 72° 1.19 in 10 3.4 77° 4.8 ft
MarchMar 87° 73° 1.62 in 11 3.5 77° 5.1 ft
AprilApr 87° 71° 0.23 in 6 4.7 74° 5.5 ft
MayMay 85° 68° 0.09 in 2 3.6 74° 6.0 ft
JuneJun 81° 64° 0.02 in 0 3.9 72° 6.2 ft
JulyJul 79° 62° 0.01 in 0 4.3 71° 6.2 ft
AugustAug 78° 61° 0.02 in 0 4.5 70° 6.1 ft
SeptemberSep 78° 61° 0.01 in 0 4.0 71° 6.0 ft
OctoberOct 79° 62° 0.02 in 1 3.3 71° 5.8 ft
NovemberNov 80° 63° 0.00 in 1 4.0 72° 5.6 ft
DecemberDec 84° 66° 0.03 in 2 3.6 73° 5.1 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 75° 4.7 ft
Feb 77° 4.8 ft
Mar 77° 5.1 ft
Apr 74° 5.5 ft
May 74° 6.0 ft
Jun 72° 6.2 ft
Jul 71° 6.2 ft
Aug 70° 6.1 ft
Sep 71° 6.0 ft
Oct 71° 5.8 ft
Nov 72° 5.6 ft
Dec 73° 5.1 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 3.68 in of rain on about 36 days and about 1,400 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 88 °F
Tomorrow78 / 93 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 88 °F). Today, 78 °F to 91 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 93 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 99% 0.47 in
  • Thu 29 88% 0.28 in
  • Fri 30 91% 0.26 in
  • Sat 31 86% 0.12 in
  • Sun 1 88% 0.27 in
  • Mon 2 65% 0.06 in
  • Tue 3 41% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 99%, with 0.47 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 88% and 0.28 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.31 in; last 3 days, 0.91 in; last 7 days, 1.63 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%
Dew point78 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 78 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak12extreme

Thu 29: 13 · Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 12

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Heavy drizzle77 / 91 °F0.20 in9 mph NW
Mon 26 Drizzle78 / 89 °F0.26 in11 mph SSW
Sun 25 Light showers78 / 89 °F0.43 in10 mph WSW
Sat 24 Drizzle79 / 97 °F0.14 in13 mph SSE
Fri 23 Overcast77 / 94 °F015 mph S
Thu 22 Light drizzle77 / 90 °F0.07 in11 mph S
Wed 21 Heavy drizzle78 / 91 °F0.44 in9 mph SSW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Light drizzle77 / 87 °F0.11 in15 mph S
Mon 19 Light drizzle76 / 91 °F0.08 in12 mph SSW
Sun 18 Light drizzle77 / 94 °F0.05 in16 mph SSW
Sat 17 Light drizzle79 / 89 °F0.02 in14 mph NW
Fri 16 Overcast76 / 97 °F016 mph S
Thu 15 Mainly clear77 / 98 °F020 mph S
Wed 14 Overcast78 / 98 °F019 mph S
Tue 13 Overcast77 / 93 °F011 mph WSW
Mon 12 Overcast76 / 97 °F013 mph SSW
Sun 11 Overcast76 / 98 °F021 mph S
Sat 10 Overcast77 / 98 °F019 mph S
Fri 9 Light drizzle78 / 97 °F0.02 in15 mph S
Thu 8 Light drizzle76 / 96 °F0.02 in15 mph S
Wed 7 Overcast77 / 96 °F018 mph S
Tue 6 Overcast78 / 95 °F013 mph SSW
Mon 5 Light drizzle77 / 98 °F0.04 in17 mph S
Sun 4 Light drizzle78 / 94 °F0.02 in16 mph S
Sat 3 Light drizzle78 / 91 °F0.06 in9 mph WSW
Fri 2 Drizzle77 / 93 °F0.09 in13 mph SSW
Thu 1 Overcast76 / 95 °F016 mph SSW
Wed 30 Light drizzle75 / 97 °F0.04 in14 mph S
Tue 29 Overcast75 / 93 °F018 mph S
Mon 28 Light drizzle76 / 96 °F0.04 in15 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MáncoraQuestions

What's the weather like today in Máncora?

Light showers, from 78 °F to 91 °F, with a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (10 mph) and a 99% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Máncora?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 88% (0.28 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 94 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.83 inHg and rising: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Máncora?

The best time to visit Máncora is from May to October: highs of 78 °F to 85 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Máncora in October?

In October, Máncora normally sees highs of 79 °F and lows of 62 °F, with about 1 rainy days (0.02 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 71 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Máncora?

The warmest is March, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 61 °F. The wettest is March (1.62 in) and the driest, November.

More about Máncora today

Weather near Máncora

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:55 pm (local time).

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