Weather in Rabaul

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:16 pm (GMT+10)

Now · overcast 82 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 77 / 84 °F
Rain: 0% · 0.01 in
Wind: 12 mph SSE

↗ 29.90 inHg · rising UV 12 · extreme

Today in Rabaul: light drizzle, 77 °F to 84 °F, with a 0% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a moderate breeze from the south-southeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 80 °F to 85 °F and a 22% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 85 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (97%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 77°
Today
85° 80°
Fri 30
83° 80°
Sat 31
83° 79°
Sun 1
82° 78°
Mon 2
82° 78°
Tue 3
83° 78°
Wed 4
82° 79°
Thu 5
83° 78°
Fri 6
81° 78°
Sat 7
82° 80°
Sun 8
82° 80°
Mon 9
84° 80°
Tue 10
83° 79°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	0% · 0.01 in	14 mph SSE	0.9 ft	3:13 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	80 / 85 °F	22% · 0.03 in	14 mph SSE	0.7 ft	3:18 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	35% · 0.03 in	11 mph SSE	0.7 ft	3:25 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	79 / 83 °F	33% · 0.02 in	6 mph SE	0.6 ft	3:32 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	78 / 82 °F	97% · 0.28 in	7 mph SSE	0.5 ft	3:38 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	78 / 82 °F	100% · 0.33 in	11 mph SSE	0.4 ft	3:40 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	76% · 0.06 in	12 mph SSE	0.5 ft	1:14 am · 3:31 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	67% · 0.09 in	11 mph SE	0.5 ft	2:23 am · 3:09 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	49% · 0.12 in	11 mph SE	0.6 ft	3:31 am · 2:47 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	78 / 81 °F	45% · 0.07 in	12 mph SSE	0.9 ft	2:30 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	80 / 82 °F	45%	9 mph SSE	0.6 ft	2:18 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	80 / 82 °F	63% · 0.09 in	11 mph SSE	0.9 ft	2:14 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	80 / 84 °F	69% · 0.09 in	10 mph SSE	0.9 ft	2:19 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	79 / 83 °F	55% · 0.14 in	10 mph S	1.0 ft	2:33 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	80°	77°	78°	82°	84°	83°	82°	82°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	10 S	8 SSW	7 SSW	9 SE	12 ESE	14 SE	12 SSE	12 SSE
Humidity	81%	90%	84%	77%	77%	78%	81%	83%
UV	0	0	0	7	12	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	84°	85°	83°	83°	82°	82°	83°
AIFS	84°	84°	82°	83°	82°	82°	83°
GFS	89°	89°	88°	88°	86°	87°	86°
ICON	96°	97°	94°	91°	90°	92°	91°
Confidence	low	low	low	medium	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.28 in	0.33 in	0.06 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.17 in	0.22 in	0.31 in	0.37 in	0.11 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.01 in	0.23 in	0.20 in	0.08 in
ICON	0	0	0.01 in	0.11 in	0.37 in	0	0.13 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	low	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1419	1419	1115	610	713	1117	1217
AIFS	11	11	10	3	5	8	10
GFS	107	107	97	109	77	76	67
ICON	715	816	916	715	517	510	312
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	22%	35%	33%	97%	100%	76%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	97%	100%	100%	96%	94%	100%	96%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F	85° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	85° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	85° / 81°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +31%	A bit above +1.1 °F
January	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +39%	A bit above +0.7 °F
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +46%	A bit above +0.7 °F
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +47%	A bit above +0.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Rabaul climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Rabaul is from May to October: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 19 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

86° 74°

JanJ
86° 74°

FebF
86° 74°

MarM
86° 74°

AprA
86° 75°

MayM
86° 74°

JunJ
85° 74°

JulJ
85° 74°

AugA
87° 74°

SepS
87° 74°

OctO
87° 74°

NovN
87° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	86°	74°	11.16 in	23	4.8	85°	2.3 ft
FebruaryFeb	86°	74°	10.48 in	22	5.4	85°	2.4 ft
MarchMar	86°	74°	13.02 in	24	5.9	85°	2.1 ft
AprilApr	86°	74°	9.11 in	22	6.2	85°	1.5 ft
MayMay	86°	75°	6.92 in	19	7.0	86°	1.2 ft
JuneJun	86°	74°	5.37 in	19	7.0	85°	1.3 ft
JulyJul	85°	74°	5.97 in	20	6.2	84°	1.6 ft
AugustAug	85°	74°	6.48 in	18	6.5	84°	1.6 ft
SeptemberSep	87°	74°	6.39 in	17	6.3	84°	1.5 ft
OctoberOct	87°	74°	6.00 in	18	6.7	85°	1.3 ft
NovemberNov	87°	74°	7.78 in	19	6.2	86°	1.3 ft
DecemberDec	87°	74°	11.84 in	22	5.7	86°	1.8 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	85°	2.3 ft
Feb	85°	2.4 ft
Mar	85°	2.1 ft
Apr	85°	1.5 ft
May	86°	1.2 ft
Jun	85°	1.3 ft
Jul	84°	1.6 ft
Aug	84°	1.6 ft
Sep	84°	1.5 ft
Oct	85°	1.3 ft
Nov	86°	1.3 ft
Dec	86°	1.8 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 100.52 in of rain on about 242 days and about 2,250 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now82 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow80 / 85 °F

It's 82 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 77 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 80 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0% 0.01 in
Fri 30 22% 0.03 in
Sat 31 35% 0.03 in
Sun 1 33% 0.02 in
Mon 2 97% 0.28 in
Tue 3 100% 0.33 in
Wed 4 76% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 97% and 0.28 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.01 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds80%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak12extreme

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 13 · Sun 1: 14

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 44

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	80 / 84 °F	0	19 mph SSE
Tue 27	Overcast	80 / 84 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Mon 26	Mainly clear	80 / 84 °F	0	13 mph SSE
Sun 25	Clear sky	80 / 84 °F	0	13 mph SSE
Sat 24	Overcast	80 / 83 °F	0	15 mph SSE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SSE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SSE
Tue 20	Overcast	79 / 83 °F	0	18 mph SSE
Mon 19	Overcast	79 / 83 °F	0	18 mph SSE
Sun 18	Overcast	78 / 84 °F	0	19 mph SSE
Sat 17	Overcast	78 / 82 °F	0	20 mph SSE
Fri 16	Overcast	77 / 82 °F	0	21 mph SSE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	79 / 83 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SSE
Wed 14	Overcast	78 / 83 °F	0	22 mph SSE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.01 in	18 mph SSE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.06 in	22 mph SSE
Sun 11	Overcast	79 / 83 °F	0	20 mph SSE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.05 in	16 mph SSE
Thu 8	Overcast	77 / 81 °F	0	16 mph SSE
Wed 7	Overcast	78 / 81 °F	0	16 mph SSE
Tue 6	Clear sky	78 / 82 °F	0	20 mph SSE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.01 in	21 mph SSE
Sun 4	Overcast	78 / 81 °F	0	21 mph SSE
Sat 3	Overcast	77 / 82 °F	0	23 mph SSE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.02 in	25 mph SSE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.00 in	23 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.02 in	21 mph SSE
Tue 29	Overcast	78 / 82 °F	0	24 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in RabaulQuestions

What's the weather like today in Rabaul?

Light drizzle, from 77 °F to 84 °F, with a moderate breeze from the south-southeast (12 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Rabaul?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 22% (0.03 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Rabaul?

The best time to visit Rabaul is from May to October: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 19 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Rabaul in October?

In October, Rabaul normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 18 rainy days (6.00 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Rabaul?

The warmest is November, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 74 °F. The wettest is March (13.02 in) and the driest, June.

More about Rabaul today

Weather near Rabaul

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:16 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from