Weather in El Porvenir

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:33 am (EST)

Now · overcast 83 °F

Feels like: 90 °F
Low / high: 80 / 84 °F
Rain: 85% · 0.17 in
Wind: 10 mph NNE

→ 29.85 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in El Porvenir: drizzle, 80 °F to 84 °F, with a 85% chance of rain (0.17 in) and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 79 °F to 83 °F and a 98% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 80°
Today
83° 79°
Fri 30
83° 78°
Sat 31
83° 77°
Sun 1
82° 77°
Mon 2
85° 76°
Tue 3
84° 78°
Wed 4
82° 78°
Thu 5
84° 78°
Fri 6
84° 78°
Sat 7
83° 80°
Sun 8
82° 80°
Mon 9
84° 79°
Tue 10
82° 79°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	85% · 0.17 in	13 mph N	1.5 ft	2:38 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	79 / 83 °F	98% · 0.69 in	14 mph NNW	1.8 ft	3:41 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	78 / 83 °F	93% · 0.40 in	12 mph NW	1.4 ft	6:23 am · 4:42 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	77 / 83 °F	90% · 0.67 in	12 mph W	1.2 ft	6:52 am · 5:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	77 / 82 °F	92% · 0.48 in	5 mph SW	1.0 ft	7:28 am · 6:33 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	86% · 0.52 in	11 mph SSW	1.0 ft	8:10 am · 7:26 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	82% · 0.50 in	6 mph SSW	0.6 ft	8:55 am · 8:24 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	78 / 82 °F	82% · 0.35 in	7 mph S	0.4 ft	9:41 am · 9:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	61% · 0.19 in	8 mph S	0.5 ft	10:27 am · 11:10 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	53% · 0.09 in	9 mph NNE	0.9 ft	11:10 am	ECMWF
Sun 8	Heavy drizzle	80 / 83 °F	67% · 0.69 in	11 mph N	1.8 ft	11:49 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	80 / 82 °F	76% · 0.60 in	10 mph NNW	2.4 ft	12:24 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	79 / 84 °F	78% · 0.42 in	9 mph N	2.4 ft	12:57 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	79 / 82 °F	82% · 0.57 in	11 mph N	2.8 ft	1:32 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Drizzle
Temperature	84°	83°	83°	83°	84°	84°	84°	82°
Chance of rain	12%	26%	22%	11%	23%	28%	41%	69%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.03 in
Wind (mph)	9 N	10 NNE	8 NNE	8 N	10 N	12 NNW	13 NNW	12 N
Humidity	74%	74%	73%	72%	73%	74%	73%	79%
UV	0	0	0	4	10	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	84°	83°	83°	83°	82°	85°	84°
AIFS	85°	83°	83°	82°	82°	83°	82°
GFS	88°	88°	89°	90°	88°	83°	88°
ICON	86°	85°	85°	87°	88°	86°	89°
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.17 in	0.69 in	0.40 in	0.67 in	0.48 in	0.52 in	0.50 in
AIFS	0.09 in	0.54 in	0.68 in	0.59 in	0.53 in	0.35 in	0.46 in
GFS	0.01 in	0.10 in	0.28 in	0.20 in	0.16 in	0.24 in	0.34 in
ICON	0.08 in	0.18 in	0.14 in	0.19 in	0.31 in	0	0.12 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1317	1419	1217	1215	515	1115	615
AIFS	10	9	7	5	4	6	6
GFS	816	817	413	57	79	66	45
ICON	918	817	613	614	310	817	817
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	85%	98%	93%	90%	92%	86%	82%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	46%	98%	94%	68%	85%	75%	88%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −31%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −36%	85° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −31%	85° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.1 °F	A bit below −41%	86° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −33%
December	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −41%
January	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −27%
February	Above +3.2 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

El Porvenir climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Porvenir is from February to March: highs of 87 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near El Porvenir: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), Otto, in November 2016.

85° 75°

JanJ
86° 76°

FebF
87° 77°

MarM
88° 78°

AprA
88° 77°

MayM
87° 76°

JunJ
87° 76°

JulJ
86° 76°

AugA
86° 74°

SepS
86° 74°

OctO
85° 74°

NovN
85° 75°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	85°	75°	1.41 in	6	7.7	81°	5.7 ft
FebruaryFeb	86°	76°	0.54 in	3	8.6	81°	5.7 ft
MarchMar	87°	77°	0.62 in	7	8.7	81°	5.3 ft
AprilApr	88°	78°	2.96 in	17	8.5	82°	4.0 ft
MayMay	88°	77°	9.95 in	26	6.6	83°	3.4 ft
JuneJun	87°	76°	9.32 in	27	6.9	84°	3.9 ft
JulyJul	87°	76°	10.31 in	29	6.5	83°	4.4 ft
AugustAug	86°	76°	9.49 in	28	6.5	83°	3.4 ft
SeptemberSep	86°	74°	8.09 in	27	6.5	84°	2.6 ft
OctoberOct	86°	74°	10.53 in	27	6.3	84°	2.3 ft
NovemberNov	85°	74°	12.47 in	26	6.2	83°	3.2 ft
DecemberDec	85°	75°	5.26 in	17	7.0	82°	5.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	81°	5.7 ft
Feb	81°	5.7 ft
Mar	81°	5.3 ft
Apr	82°	4.0 ft
May	83°	3.4 ft
Jun	84°	3.9 ft
Jul	83°	4.4 ft
Aug	83°	3.4 ft
Sep	84°	2.6 ft
Oct	84°	2.3 ft
Nov	83°	3.2 ft
Dec	82°	5.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 80.95 in of rain on about 239 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now83 °Ffeels like 90 °F

Tomorrow79 / 83 °F

It's 83 °F now (feels like 90 °F). Today, 80 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 79 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 85% 0.17 in
Fri 30 98% 0.69 in
Sat 31 93% 0.40 in
Sun 1 90% 0.67 in
Mon 2 92% 0.48 in
Tue 3 86% 0.52 in
Wed 4 82% 0.50 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 85%, with 0.17 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 98% and 0.69 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.54 in; last 7 days, 3.67 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds93%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.7029.8029.9030.00 29.74

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NNW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.06 in	13 mph NW
Mon 26	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.44 in	15 mph WNW
Sun 25	Showers	79 / 82 °F	1.14 in	14 mph WNW
Sat 24	Showers	78 / 81 °F	1.67 in	8 mph WSW
Fri 23	Light showers	81 / 85 °F	0.29 in	10 mph NNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.02 in	6 mph SW
Tue 20	Showers	79 / 82 °F	0.72 in	10 mph NW
Mon 19	Showers	79 / 84 °F	0.86 in	9 mph N
Sun 18	Drizzle	80 / 83 °F	0.10 in	11 mph E
Sat 17	Showers	79 / 84 °F	0.59 in	10 mph SSW
Fri 16	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.22 in	12 mph NW
Thu 15	Drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.10 in	9 mph NE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SE
Tue 13	Showers	78 / 84 °F	1.09 in	9 mph SSW
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.22 in	9 mph SW
Sun 11	Light showers	79 / 84 °F	0.54 in	11 mph NW
Sat 10	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.20 in	8 mph N
Fri 9	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.05 in	6 mph N
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.21 in	9 mph NE
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.19 in	7 mph NE
Tue 6	Showers	78 / 84 °F	0.48 in	8 mph NNW
Mon 5	Drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.03 in	9 mph N
Sun 4	Overcast	79 / 86 °F	0	10 mph ENE
Sat 3	Showers	78 / 82 °F	0.77 in	10 mph S
Fri 2	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.05 in	12 mph S
Thu 1	Drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.08 in	9 mph SSW
Wed 30	Showers	78 / 86 °F	1.12 in	9 mph SW
Tue 29	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.16 in	7 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El PorvenirQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Porvenir?

Drizzle, from 80 °F to 84 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph) and a 85% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Porvenir?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 98% (0.69 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.85 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Porvenir?

The best time to visit El Porvenir is from February to March: highs of 87 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Porvenir in October?

In October, El Porvenir normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 27 rainy days (10.53 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Porvenir?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest September, with lows of 74 °F. The wettest is November (12.47 in) and the driest, February.

More about El Porvenir today

Weather near El Porvenir

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:33 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from