Weather in Boca Chica

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:41 am (EST)

Now · clear 73 °F

Feels like: 79 °F
Low / high: 72 / 87 °F
Rain: 30%
Wind: 3 mph NNW

↘ 29.81 inHg · falling UV 11 · extreme

Today in Boca Chica: overcast, 72 °F to 87 °F, with a 30% chance of rain and a light air from the north-northwest (3 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 73 °F to 86 °F and a 54% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 72°
Today
86° 73°
Fri 30
85° 73°
Sat 31
83° 75°
Sun 1
83° 74°
Mon 2
81° 73°
Tue 3
78° 74°
Wed 4
78° 74°
Thu 5
78° 74°
Fri 6
86° 74°
Sat 7
86° 76°
Sun 8
84° 76°
Mon 9
85° 76°
Tue 10
86° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	72 / 87 °F	30%	7 mph W	2.5 ft	5:27 am · 6:02 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	54% · 0.05 in	8 mph W	2.4 ft	6:16 am · 6:53 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	73 / 85 °F	96% · 0.31 in	7 mph E	2.8 ft	7:09 am · 7:48 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	75 / 83 °F	100% · 0.40 in	6 mph WNW	3.0 ft	8:07 am · 8:49 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	99% · 0.58 in	6 mph N	3.0 ft	9:14 am · 10:01 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Heavy drizzle	73 / 81 °F	100% · 0.28 in	5 mph NW	2.9 ft	10:34 am · 11:16 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light showers	74 / 78 °F	100% · 1.05 in	6 mph WNW	3.1 ft	11:52 am	ECMWF
Thu 5	Showers	74 / 78 °F	96% · 1.28 in	7 mph NW	3.3 ft	12:23 am · 12:56 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light showers	74 / 78 °F	89% · 1.21 in	6 mph NW	3.2 ft	1:18 am · 1:49 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	82% · 0.24 in	5 mph ENE	—	2:05 am · 2:35 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	71% · 0.07 in	7 mph WNW	—	2:47 am · 3:16 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	80% · 0.19 in	4 mph E	—	3:26 am · 3:56 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	82% · 0.09 in	6 mph S	—	4:03 am · 4:34 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	88% · 0.07 in	6 mph WNW	—	4:41 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	75°	73°	72°	82°	87°	86°	83°	80°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	19%	30%	10%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 NNW	3 NNW	3 NNE	1 ESE	6 SSW	6 SW	5 WSW	3 NW
Humidity	82%	88%	93%	72%	68%	73%	81%	89%
UV	0	0	0	5	11	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	86°	85°	83°	83°	81°	78°
AIFS	89°	89°	87°	85°	84°	83°	83°
GFS	86°	86°	85°	85°	85°	82°	83°
ICON	88°	90°	87°	87°	85°	82°	85°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.05 in	0.31 in	0.40 in	0.58 in	0.28 in	1.05 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.30 in	0.51 in	0.69 in	0.80 in	0.50 in
GFS	0	0.03 in	0.30 in	0.42 in	0.56 in	0.46 in	0.33 in
ICON	0	0	0.03 in	0.14 in	0.28 in	0.91 in	0.43 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	716	818	717	618	617	518	618
AIFS	5	4	4	3	3	3	4
GFS	96	107	86	65	86	77	66
ICON	612	612	714	715	713	510	814
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	30%	54%	96%	100%	99%	100%	100%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	39%	39%	88%	100%	93%	95%	97%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −35%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.4 °F	A bit below −45%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.4 °F	Below −56%	86° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.6 °F	Below −58%	86° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.6 °F	Below −61%	87° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +4.0 °F	Below −57%
December	Above +4.1 °F	Below −66%
January	Above +4.3 °F	Normal
February	Above +4.1 °F	Above +78%
March	Above +4.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Boca Chica climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Boca Chica is from January to March: highs of 88 °F to 91 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

88° 71°

JanJ
89° 72°

FebF
91° 74°

MarM
90° 75°

AprA
89° 75°

MayM
87° 74°

JunJ
87° 74°

JulJ
87° 74°

AugA
86° 73°

SepS
86° 73°

OctO
85° 73°

NovN
87° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	88°	71°	1.96 in	5	7.8	84°	2.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	89°	72°	1.01 in	3	8.5	84°	2.2 ft
MarchMar	91°	74°	1.07 in	4	8.4	85°	2.4 ft
AprilApr	90°	75°	5.99 in	10	7.6	85°	2.7 ft
MayMay	89°	75°	13.32 in	19	6.6	84°	3.1 ft
JuneJun	87°	74°	12.45 in	20	6.7	84°	3.2 ft
JulyJul	87°	74°	9.35 in	20	6.8	84°	3.2 ft
AugustAug	87°	74°	13.54 in	21	6.3	84°	3.2 ft
SeptemberSep	86°	73°	12.02 in	21	6.3	83°	3.2 ft
OctoberOct	86°	73°	12.83 in	21	6.1	83°	3.3 ft
NovemberNov	85°	73°	11.06 in	19	6.0	82°	3.1 ft
DecemberDec	87°	72°	5.76 in	11	7.3	83°	2.5 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	84°	2.1 ft
Feb	84°	2.2 ft
Mar	85°	2.4 ft
Apr	85°	2.7 ft
May	84°	3.1 ft
Jun	84°	3.2 ft
Jul	84°	3.2 ft
Aug	84°	3.2 ft
Sep	83°	3.2 ft
Oct	83°	3.3 ft
Nov	82°	3.1 ft
Dec	83°	2.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 100.35 in of rain on about 172 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now73 °Ffeels like 79 °F

Tomorrow73 / 86 °F

It's 73 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 72 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 30%
Fri 30 54% 0.05 in
Sat 31 96% 0.31 in
Sun 1 100% 0.40 in
Mon 2 99% 0.58 in
Tue 3 100% 0.28 in
Wed 4 100% 1.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 30%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 54% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.74 in; last 7 days, 2.07 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds13%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak11extreme

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.7029.8029.9030.00 29.88

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	73 / 87 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Tue 27	Light showers	74 / 80 °F	0.59 in	5 mph N
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.17 in	6 mph ENE
Sun 25	Light showers	75 / 87 °F	0.30 in	10 mph WNW
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.39 in	6 mph NW
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.39 in	6 mph NW
Thu 22	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.22 in	7 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light showers	75 / 84 °F	0.66 in	8 mph NNW
Tue 20	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.71 in	6 mph NNW
Mon 19	Showers	75 / 86 °F	0.47 in	7 mph NNW
Sun 18	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.65 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	75 / 83 °F	0.47 in	7 mph SW
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.35 in	7 mph WNW
Thu 15	Drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.07 in	6 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.07 in	6 mph E
Tue 13	Rain	73 / 86 °F	0.53 in	7 mph WNW
Mon 12	Heavy showers	75 / 85 °F	2.99 in	7 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.38 in	6 mph NW
Sat 10	Drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.15 in	5 mph NE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.07 in	6 mph NNW
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.24 in	6 mph ENE
Wed 7	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.31 in	4 mph NNW
Tue 6	Showers	76 / 87 °F	1.12 in	7 mph NW
Mon 5	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.42 in	6 mph NW
Sun 4	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.41 in	5 mph NW
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.24 in	5 mph E
Fri 2	Showers	75 / 87 °F	1.44 in	8 mph WNW
Thu 1	Showers	76 / 84 °F	0.62 in	5 mph W
Wed 30	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.16 in	7 mph NW
Tue 29	Light showers	75 / 87 °F	0.30 in	6 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Boca ChicaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Boca Chica?

Overcast, from 72 °F to 87 °F, with a light air from the north-northwest (3 mph) and a 30% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Boca Chica?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 54% (0.05 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.81 inHg and falling: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Boca Chica?

The best time to visit Boca Chica is from January to March: highs of 88 °F to 91 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Boca Chica in October?

In October, Boca Chica normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 21 rainy days (12.83 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Boca Chica?

The warmest is March, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 71 °F. The wettest is August (13.54 in) and the driest, February.

More about Boca Chica today

Weather near Boca Chica

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:41 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from