Weather in Alofi

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 12:58 pm (GMT-11)

Now · mainly clear 75 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 74 / 76 °F
Rain: 12%
Wind: 14 mph ESE

↘ 30.03 inHg · falling UV 14 · extreme

Today in Alofi: partly cloudy, 74 °F to 76 °F, with a 12% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (14 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 77 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 77 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (29%).

Measured now at the airport

Niue/Hanan (NIUE), 1.8 mi away · 28 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature81 °F

Wind14 mph from the east-southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

76° 74°
Today
77° 74°
Thu 29
76° 75°
Fri 30
76° 75°
Sat 31
77° 75°
Sun 1
76° 75°
Mon 2
76° 74°
Tue 3
76° 74°
Wed 4
76° 74°
Thu 5
76° 74°
Fri 6
76° 75°
Sat 7
77° 76°
Sun 8
77° 75°
Mon 9
76° 74°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Partly cloudy	74 / 76 °F	12%	17 mph ESE	5.6 ft	9:31 am · 9:50 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 77 °F	6% · 0.02 in	13 mph E	4.2 ft	10:28 am · 10:46 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	75 / 76 °F	6% · 0.01 in	11 mph ESE	3.5 ft	11:27 am · 11:44 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	75 / 76 °F	6%	21 mph ESE	4.9 ft	12:25 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 77 °F	13% · 0.01 in	24 mph ESE	8.3 ft	12:43 am · 1:22 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	75 / 76 °F	29% · 0.23 in	28 mph ESE	9.4 ft	1:43 am · 2:18 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 76 °F	25% · 0.08 in	26 mph ESE	9.3 ft	2:43 am · 3:13 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	74 / 76 °F	10%	24 mph ESE	7.3 ft	3:43 am · 4:07 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 76 °F	20% · 0.04 in	24 mph ESE	6.9 ft	4:41 am · 4:59 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 76 °F	32% · 0.06 in	24 mph ESE	6.9 ft	5:37 am · 5:51 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	75 / 76 °F	38% · 0.02 in	25 mph ESE	5.1 ft	6:28 am · 6:39 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	76 / 77 °F	25% · 0.05 in	24 mph ESE	5.1 ft	7:17 am · 7:25 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	75 / 77 °F	14% · 0.02 in	27 mph E	5.6 ft	8:03 am · 8:09 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	74 / 76 °F	14% · 0.02 in	27 mph ESE	5.6 ft	8:47 am · 8:51 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	75°	75°	75°	75°	75°	75°	75°	75°
Chance of rain	4%	9%	12%	10%	5%	1%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	17 ESE	17 ESE	15 ESE	14 ESE	14 ESE	14 ESE	12 ESE	12 ESE
Humidity	71%	71%	71%	70%	69%	68%	68%	70%
UV	0	0	0	6	14	6	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	76°	77°	76°	76°	77°	76°	76°
AIFS	76°	76°	76°	76°	76°	75°	74°
GFS	75°	76°	77°	76°	75°	74°	74°
ICON	76°	76°	77°	76°	75°	76°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0.23 in	0.08 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.06 in	0.04 in
GFS	0.04 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0.07 in	0.03 in
ICON	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.05 in	0.06 in	0
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1725	1317	1115	2127	2427	2834	2636
AIFS	17	14	12	21	26	26	24
GFS	1919	1416	1012	2126	2629	2628	2628
ICON	1722	1520	1114	2128	2534	2941	2334
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	12%	6%	6%	6%	13%	29%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	58%	8%	3%	3%	16%	52%	41%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler, drier and a cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Below −2.7 °F	Below −76%	Below −2.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.2 °F	Below −66%	Below −2.7 °F	76° / 75°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit below −2.0 °F	Below −65%	Below −2.5 °F	77° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit below −2.0 °F	Below −67%	Below −2.3 °F	77° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.8 °F	Below −68%	Below −2.3 °F	78° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit below −1.6 °F	Below −75%	Below −2.5 °F
December	Normal −0.5 °F	Below −66%	A bit below −1.3 °F
January	Normal +0.2 °F	Below −65%	A bit below −0.9 °F
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Below −53%	A bit below −0.5 °F
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −39%	Normal 0.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Alofi climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Alofi is from June to September: highs of 79 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in April and from December to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Alofi, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Pita, in January 2025.

85° 74°

JanJ
86° 75°

FebF
85° 75°

MarM
84° 74°

AprA
82° 72°

MayM
80° 70°

JunJ
79° 69°

JulJ
79° 69°

AugA
80° 70°

SepS
81° 71°

OctO
83° 72°

NovN
84° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	74°	14.79 in	18	5.2	82°	6.7 ft	3
FebruaryFeb	86°	75°	9.39 in	15	5.5	83°	6.7 ft	1
MarchMar	85°	75°	12.35 in	17	5.1	83°	6.7 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	74°	9.64 in	14	4.7	82°	6.8 ft	2
MayMay	82°	72°	10.21 in	11	4.1	81°	7.4 ft	–
JuneJun	80°	70°	4.31 in	8	3.9	79°	7.4 ft	–
JulyJul	79°	69°	4.74 in	8	4.1	78°	7.5 ft	–
AugustAug	79°	69°	4.71 in	8	4.0	78°	6.9 ft	–
SeptemberSep	80°	70°	5.22 in	10	4.0	78°	6.9 ft	–
OctoberOct	81°	71°	8.88 in	12	4.7	79°	6.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	83°	72°	7.94 in	13	5.2	80°	6.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	84°	74°	8.39 in	15	6.1	81°	6.7 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	6.7 ft	3
Feb	83°	6.7 ft	1
Mar	83°	6.7 ft	–
Apr	82°	6.8 ft	2
May	81°	7.4 ft	–
Jun	79°	7.4 ft	–
Jul	78°	7.5 ft	–
Aug	78°	6.9 ft	–
Sep	78°	6.9 ft	–
Oct	79°	6.7 ft	–
Nov	80°	6.2 ft	–
Dec	81°	6.7 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 100.58 in of rain on about 150 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow74 / 77 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 74 °F to 76 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 77 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 12%
Thu 29 6% 0.02 in
Fri 30 6% 0.01 in
Sat 31 6%
Sun 1 13% 0.01 in
Mon 2 29% 0.23 in
Tue 3 25% 0.08 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 12%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 29% and 0.23 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.04 in; last 7 days, 0.08 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point64 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 64 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds22%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now12

Today's peak14extreme

Thu 29: 13 · Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 12

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.94

Falling now (−0.07 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	74 / 76 °F	0.01 in	19 mph ESE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	73 / 76 °F	0.02 in	19 mph ESE
Sun 25	Overcast	73 / 76 °F	0	23 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	73 / 74 °F	0.01 in	27 mph ESE
Fri 23	Overcast	73 / 74 °F	0	26 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	71 / 74 °F	0.04 in	23 mph ESE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	70 / 74 °F	0.04 in	22 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	70 / 73 °F	0.04 in	24 mph SE
Mon 19	Overcast	71 / 73 °F	0	21 mph SSE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	72 / 74 °F	0.01 in	22 mph SSE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	73 / 74 °F	0.01 in	24 mph SSE
Fri 16	Partly cloudy	74 / 76 °F	0	20 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	73 / 76 °F	0.01 in	23 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	74 / 76 °F	0.01 in	23 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	73 / 76 °F	0.03 in	25 mph ESE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	73 / 75 °F	0.01 in	25 mph ESE
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	72 / 74 °F	0	27 mph ESE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	73 / 74 °F	0.02 in	27 mph ESE
Fri 9	Mainly clear	73 / 76 °F	0	27 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	73 / 76 °F	0.01 in	27 mph ESE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	74 / 75 °F	0	24 mph ESE
Tue 6	Overcast	75 / 76 °F	0	25 mph ESE
Mon 5	Overcast	74 / 76 °F	0	21 mph ESE
Sun 4	Overcast	74 / 76 °F	0	21 mph E
Sat 3	Overcast	73 / 75 °F	0	24 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	73 / 75 °F	0.02 in	25 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	73 / 74 °F	0.01 in	29 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	73 / 74 °F	0.01 in	28 mph ESE
Tue 29	Overcast	73 / 74 °F	0	26 mph ESE
Mon 28	Overcast	72 / 74 °F	0	23 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AlofiQuestions

What's the weather like today in Alofi?

Partly cloudy, from 74 °F to 76 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (14 mph) and a 12% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Alofi?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 6% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 77 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 14 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.03 inHg and falling: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Alofi?

The best time to visit Alofi is from June to September: highs of 79 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Alofi in October?

In October, Alofi normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 12 rainy days (8.88 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 79 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Alofi?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is January (14.79 in) and the driest, June.

When is cyclone season in Alofi?

Cyclone season: in April and from December to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Alofi, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Pita, in January 2025.

More about Alofi today

Weather near Alofi

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:58 pm (local time).

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