Weather in El Ostional

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:02 pm (CST)

Now · mainly clear 80 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 77 / 89 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 11 mph E

↗ 29.89 inHg · rising UV 11 · very high

Today in El Ostional: mainly clear, 77 °F to 89 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the east (11 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 77 °F to 87 °F and a 15% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (67%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 77°
Today
87° 77°
Thu 29
87° 77°
Fri 30
87° 77°
Sat 31
86° 76°
Sun 1
87° 75°
Mon 2
86° 76°
Tue 3
86° 75°
Wed 4
87° 74°
Thu 5
86° 75°
Fri 6
84° 76°
Sat 7
84° 76°
Sun 8
85° 78°
Mon 9
86° 76°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Mainly clear	77 / 89 °F	2%	15 mph E	2.7 ft	3:38 am · 4:04 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	15% · 0.01 in	15 mph ENE	2.8 ft	4:25 am · 4:52 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	27% · 0.01 in	16 mph ENE	3.1 ft	5:14 am · 5:43 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	67% · 0.10 in	15 mph ENE	3.4 ft	6:06 am · 6:38 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	86% · 0.25 in	13 mph ENE	3.5 ft	7:02 am · 7:38 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	61% · 0.11 in	13 mph ENE	3.7 ft	8:03 am · 8:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	58% · 0.09 in	10 mph E	3.1 ft	9:10 am · 9:52 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	75 / 86 °F	80% · 0.24 in	4 mph ENE	2.8 ft	10:19 am · 10:59 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	64% · 0.28 in	5 mph E	2.8 ft	11:26 am · 11:59 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	58% · 0.05 in	11 mph ENE	2.6 ft	12:26 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	76 / 84 °F	42% · 0.11 in	17 mph ENE	2.1 ft	12:52 am · 1:19 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	76 / 84 °F	43% · 0.00 in	15 mph ENE	3.1 ft	1:38 am · 2:05 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	78 / 85 °F	43%	17 mph ENE	3.3 ft	2:19 am · 2:45 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	41% · 0.04 in	18 mph ENE	3.5 ft	2:57 am · 3:23 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear
Temperature	79°	77°	78°	84°	89°	88°	83°	81°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	10 E	11 E	12 ENE	13 E	14 E	13 E	11 E	12 E
Humidity	77%	80%	82%	68%	55%	57%	67%	76%
UV	0	0	0	7	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	87°	87°	87°	86°	87°	86°
AIFS	88°	88°	88°	87°	87°	87°	87°
GFS	87°	87°	88°	87°	87°	87°	89°
ICON	90°	89°	89°	89°	87°	88°	88°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.10 in	0.25 in	0.11 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.14 in	0.09 in	0.16 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.00 in	0	0.02 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.21 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	low	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1532	1534	1638	1538	1332	1331	1025
AIFS	15	15	18	20	17	15	9
GFS	1527	1425	1627	1625	1526	1426	1018
ICON	1939	1940	2246	2551	2041	1838	1428
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	2%	15%	27%	67%	86%	61%	58%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	3%	42%	42%	10%	48%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, a bit drier and a much warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −20%	Well above +3.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.1 °F	Below −55%	Well above +4.0 °F	84° / 79°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.1 °F	Below −63%	Well above +4.1 °F	84° / 79°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.2 °F	Below −71%	Well above +4.1 °F	85° / 79°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.4 °F	Below −67%	Well above +4.3 °F	85° / 79°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.6 °F	Below −63%	Well above +4.0 °F
December	Above +3.8 °F	Below −63%	Well above +3.8 °F
January	Above +4.5 °F	Normal	Well above +5.4 °F
February	Above +4.5 °F	Normal	Well above +5.4 °F
March	Above +4.3 °F	Normal	Well above +4.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

El Ostional climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Ostional is from December to March: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Ostional, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

85° 73°

JanJ
86° 73°

FebF
88° 74°

MarM
89° 75°

AprA
88° 76°

MayM
86° 75°

JunJ
86° 75°

JulJ
87° 74°

AugA
86° 74°

SepS
85° 74°

OctO
85° 73°

NovN
85° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	73°	0.37 in	0	8.6	79°	4.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	86°	73°	0.05 in	0	9.5	78°	4.6 ft	–
MarchMar	88°	74°	0.21 in	0	9.7	79°	4.6 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	75°	0.69 in	2	9.1	82°	3.9 ft	–
MayMay	88°	76°	7.84 in	14	8.2	84°	4.0 ft	1
JuneJun	86°	75°	10.51 in	18	7.1	84°	4.3 ft	–
JulyJul	86°	75°	5.19 in	13	7.8	83°	4.5 ft	1
AugustAug	87°	74°	7.91 in	16	7.1	84°	4.0 ft	–
SeptemberSep	86°	74°	15.91 in	22	7.0	84°	3.9 ft	–
OctoberOct	85°	74°	17.47 in	20	6.4	83°	4.0 ft	1
NovemberNov	85°	73°	3.85 in	8	8.1	81°	4.0 ft	1
DecemberDec	85°	72°	0.95 in	1	8.3	80°	4.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	79°	4.6 ft	–
Feb	78°	4.6 ft	–
Mar	79°	4.6 ft	–
Apr	82°	3.9 ft	–
May	84°	4.0 ft	1
Jun	84°	4.3 ft	–
Jul	83°	4.5 ft	1
Aug	84°	4.0 ft	–
Sep	84°	3.9 ft	–
Oct	83°	4.0 ft	1
Nov	81°	4.0 ft	1
Dec	80°	4.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 70.95 in of rain on about 115 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow77 / 87 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 77 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 77 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Thu 29 15% 0.01 in
Fri 30 27% 0.01 in
Sat 31 67% 0.10 in
Sun 1 86% 0.25 in
Mon 2 61% 0.11 in
Tue 3 58% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 67% and 0.10 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.01 in; last 7 days, 0.06 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds27%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak11very high

Thu 29: 10 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.76

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	78 / 89 °F	0	13 mph E
Mon 26	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.01 in	16 mph ENE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.00 in	14 mph ENE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.01 in	14 mph ENE
Fri 23	Overcast	79 / 87 °F	0	13 mph ENE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.04 in	17 mph ENE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.05 in	12 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light rain	75 / 85 °F	0.19 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 19	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.13 in	13 mph E
Sun 18	Showers	76 / 87 °F	0.48 in	11 mph ENE
Sat 17	Showers	76 / 85 °F	1.54 in	9 mph E
Fri 16	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.34 in	12 mph ENE
Thu 15	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.20 in	12 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.08 in	11 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.05 in	11 mph E
Mon 12	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.09 in	13 mph ENE
Sun 11	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.24 in	15 mph ENE
Sat 10	Showers	77 / 88 °F	0.39 in	11 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.02 in	9 mph ENE
Thu 8	Drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.07 in	12 mph E
Wed 7	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.41 in	11 mph E
Tue 6	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.05 in	12 mph ENE
Mon 5	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.81 in	10 mph E
Sun 4	Light showers	78 / 88 °F	0.21 in	8 mph E
Sat 3	Showers	77 / 88 °F	0.62 in	10 mph E
Fri 2	Showers	77 / 88 °F	0.48 in	6 mph ESE
Thu 1	Showers	76 / 87 °F	1.07 in	6 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.39 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 29	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.17 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light showers	78 / 86 °F	0.22 in	9 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El OstionalQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Ostional?

Mainly clear, from 77 °F to 89 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east (11 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Ostional?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 15% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.89 inHg and rising: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Ostional?

The best time to visit El Ostional is from December to March: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Ostional in October?

In October, El Ostional normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 20 rainy days (17.47 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Ostional?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 72 °F. The wettest is October (17.47 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in El Ostional?

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Ostional, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

More about El Ostional today

Weather near El Ostional

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:02 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from