Weather in Poneloya

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:01 pm (CST)

Now · light drizzle 83 °F

Feels like: 93 °F
Low / high: 73 / 91 °F
Rain: 25% · 0.01 in
Wind: 1 mph WSW

→ 29.82 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in Poneloya: light drizzle, 73 °F to 91 °F, with a 25% chance of rain (0.01 in) and calm. Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 91 °F and a 59% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 92 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

91° 73°
Today
91° 74°
Thu 29
91° 75°
Fri 30
92° 73°
Sat 31
92° 74°
Sun 1
92° 74°
Mon 2
87° 74°
Tue 3
87° 74°
Wed 4
89° 73°
Thu 5
89° 73°
Fri 6
90° 73°
Sat 7
91° 73°
Sun 8
91° 74°
Mon 9
92° 74°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	25% · 0.01 in	5 mph NE	3.3 ft	3:47 am · 4:13 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 91 °F	59% · 0.04 in	7 mph N	3.3 ft	4:34 am · 5:01 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	75 / 91 °F	75% · 0.15 in	9 mph N	3.5 ft	5:23 am · 5:52 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	73 / 92 °F	45% · 0.07 in	4 mph ENE	4.0 ft	6:15 am · 6:47 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	74 / 92 °F	67% · 0.15 in	4 mph NE	4.2 ft	7:11 am · 7:47 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	69% · 0.10 in	5 mph ENE	4.2 ft	8:12 am · 8:52 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	80% · 0.23 in	3 mph NW	3.9 ft	9:19 am · 10:01 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	94% · 0.22 in	5 mph NNE	3.6 ft	10:28 am · 11:08 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	73 / 89 °F	90% · 0.24 in	4 mph NE	3.5 ft	11:35 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light showers	73 / 89 °F	79% · 0.50 in	4 mph ENE	4.2 ft	12:08 am · 12:35 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	65% · 0.13 in	4 mph NE	4.1 ft	1:01 am · 1:28 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	55% · 0.01 in	4 mph NE	3.9 ft	1:47 am · 2:14 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	74 / 91 °F	49% · 0.02 in	5 mph ENE	3.5 ft	2:28 am · 2:54 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	55% · 0.02 in	6 mph NE	3.7 ft	3:06 am · 3:32 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy
Temperature	76°	74°	74°	86°	91°	89°	81°	78°
Chance of rain	4%	4%	0%	0%	0%	25%	4%	14%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 NE	2 NE	5 NE	3 ESE	3 E	3 SSW	1 N	3 NNE
Humidity	89%	92%	90%	64%	52%	57%	82%	90%
UV	0	0	0	6	10	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	91°	91°	91°	92°	92°	92°	87°
AIFS	89°	90°	91°	92°	92°	92°	88°
GFS	88°	88°	90°	90°	90°	89°	85°
ICON	92°	94°	95°	97°	98°	95°	92°
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.15 in	0.07 in	0.15 in	0.10 in	0.23 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.09 in	0.26 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.15 in	0.14 in	0.27 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.62 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	510	714	916	412	418	515	314
AIFS	4	4	4	5	6	4	5
GFS	76	87	78	66	66	74	53
ICON	916	918	814	612	1017	716	1020
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	25%	59%	75%	45%	67%	69%	80%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	16%	65%	57%	43%	61%	48%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.8 °F	A bit below −43%	91° / 76°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +4.5 °F	Below −56%	92° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Well above +5.4 °F	Below −55%	94° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Well above +5.8 °F	Below −52%	96° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +4.7 °F	Below −65%
December	Above +4.9 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.6 °F	Normal
February	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.6 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Poneloya climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Poneloya is from December to February: highs of 90 °F to 92 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in May and in July, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Poneloya, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

91° 71°

JanJ
92° 73°

FebF
94° 74°

MarM
94° 76°

AprA
91° 77°

MayM
89° 75°

JunJ
89° 75°

JulJ
90° 74°

AugA
88° 74°

SepS
88° 74°

OctO
89° 73°

NovN
90° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	91°	71°	0.03 in	0	9.0	81°	3.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	92°	73°	0.02 in	0	9.7	81°	3.4 ft	–
MarchMar	94°	74°	0.09 in	1	10.2	82°	3.8 ft	–
AprilApr	94°	76°	0.50 in	3	9.9	83°	3.9 ft	–
MayMay	91°	77°	7.83 in	15	8.4	85°	4.3 ft	1
JuneJun	89°	75°	12.87 in	17	7.6	85°	4.5 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	75°	6.25 in	11	8.5	85°	4.3 ft	2
AugustAug	90°	74°	8.47 in	15	7.9	85°	4.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	88°	74°	13.59 in	21	7.5	85°	4.3 ft	–
OctoberOct	88°	74°	18.19 in	17	6.4	84°	4.3 ft	1
NovemberNov	89°	73°	2.73 in	5	8.3	83°	3.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	90°	71°	0.10 in	1	8.7	82°	3.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.1 ft	–
Feb	81°	3.4 ft	–
Mar	82°	3.8 ft	–
Apr	83°	3.9 ft	–
May	85°	4.3 ft	1
Jun	85°	4.5 ft	–
Jul	85°	4.3 ft	2
Aug	85°	4.2 ft	–
Sep	85°	4.3 ft	–
Oct	84°	4.3 ft	1
Nov	83°	3.5 ft	–
Dec	82°	3.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 70.66 in of rain on about 103 days and about 3,100 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now83 °Ffeels like 93 °F

Tomorrow74 / 91 °F

It's 83 °F now (feels like 93 °F). Today, 73 °F to 91 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 91 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 25% 0.01 in
Thu 29 59% 0.04 in
Fri 30 75% 0.15 in
Sat 31 45% 0.07 in
Sun 1 67% 0.15 in
Mon 2 69% 0.10 in
Tue 3 80% 0.23 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 25%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 59% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.24 in; last 7 days, 0.28 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds6%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Thu 29: 10 · Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.93

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 58

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.03 in	3 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NE
Sun 25	Light rain	74 / 92 °F	0.20 in	5 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.03 in	5 mph NE
Fri 23	Overcast	76 / 91 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	0	6 mph NE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.01 in	6 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.13 in	7 mph ENE
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.30 in	6 mph E
Sun 18	Showers	76 / 89 °F	0.69 in	4 mph ENE
Sat 17	Showers	76 / 86 °F	1.26 in	4 mph NNE
Fri 16	Light showers	77 / 91 °F	0.49 in	4 mph NE
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.52 in	4 mph NE
Wed 14	Showers	75 / 91 °F	0.50 in	5 mph NE
Tue 13	Showers	78 / 92 °F	0.37 in	5 mph NE
Mon 12	Showers	75 / 91 °F	0.28 in	5 mph NE
Sun 11	Light showers	77 / 84 °F	0.46 in	6 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.36 in	6 mph NNE
Fri 9	Showers	76 / 88 °F	0.84 in	3 mph NE
Thu 8	Light showers	75 / 90 °F	0.33 in	4 mph NE
Wed 7	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.44 in	6 mph ENE
Tue 6	Thunderstorm	75 / 91 °F	1.06 in	6 mph ENE
Mon 5	Showers	76 / 92 °F	0.64 in	6 mph E
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	77 / 91 °F	1.09 in	6 mph ENE
Sat 3	Showers	76 / 90 °F	0.94 in	7 mph E
Fri 2	Light showers	78 / 82 °F	0.50 in	5 mph E
Thu 1	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.11 in	5 mph ENE
Wed 30	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.48 in	6 mph NNE
Tue 29	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.53 in	5 mph N
Mon 28	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.31 in	5 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in PoneloyaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Poneloya?

Light drizzle, from 73 °F to 91 °F, with calm and a 25% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Poneloya?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 59% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 92 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.82 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Poneloya?

The best time to visit Poneloya is from December to February: highs of 90 °F to 92 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Poneloya in October?

In October, Poneloya normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 17 rainy days (18.19 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Poneloya?

The warmest is March, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 71 °F. The wettest is October (18.19 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Poneloya?

Hurricane season: in May and in July, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Poneloya, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

More about Poneloya today

Weather near Poneloya

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:01 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from