Weather in Paekakariki

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:04 pm (GMT+13)

Now · light rain 57 °F

Feels like: 51 °F
Low / high: 53 / 58 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.45 in
Wind: 18 mph NW

↘ 29.48 inHg · falling UV 6 · high

Today in Paekakariki: light rain, 53 °F to 58 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.45 in) and a fresh breeze from the northwest (18 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 48 °F to 60 °F and a 94% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 65 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

58° 53°
Today
60° 48°
Fri 30
57° 46°
Sat 31
59° 48°
Sun 1
62° 55°
Mon 2
64° 57°
Tue 3
65° 57°
Wed 4
62° 59°
Thu 5
63° 60°
Fri 6
70° 60°
Sat 7
62° 57°
Sun 8
58° 49°
Mon 9
63° 46°
Tue 10
63° 52°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	53 / 58 °F	100% · 0.45 in	20 mph NW	9.2 ft	12:05 am · 12:30 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	48 / 60 °F	94% · 0.07 in	21 mph W	9.3 ft	12:55 am · 1:20 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	46 / 57 °F	35%	10 mph SSW	5.6 ft	1:51 am · 2:17 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	48 / 59 °F	82% · 0.07 in	18 mph N	5.6 ft	2:53 am · 3:22 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	55 / 62 °F	61% · 0.05 in	17 mph NNW	6.0 ft	4:03 am · 4:36 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	57 / 64 °F	82% · 0.17 in	15 mph NNW	5.2 ft	5:17 am · 5:51 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	57 / 65 °F	40% · 0.07 in	10 mph N	3.0 ft	6:29 am · 6:58 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	59 / 62 °F	46% · 0.72 in	15 mph N	4.5 ft	7:34 am · 7:54 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light rain	60 / 63 °F	67% · 0.67 in	16 mph NNW	4.7 ft	8:27 am · 8:41 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	60 / 70 °F	41% · 0.78 in	15 mph N	6.1 ft	9:12 am · 9:23 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light rain	57 / 62 °F	51% · 0.43 in	18 mph NNW	7.2 ft	9:53 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	49 / 58 °F	57%	14 mph SE	5.8 ft	10:30 am · 10:38 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	46 / 63 °F	49%	7 mph NNE	2.2 ft	11:05 am · 11:14 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Partly cloudy	52 / 63 °F	43%	15 mph NNE	4.1 ft	11:39 am · 11:49 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Clear	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Light rain	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear
Temperature	54°	55°	54°	56°	57°	57°	56°	54°
Chance of rain	54%	16%	74%	97%	98%	100%	56%	9%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.03 in	0.01 in	0.07 in	0.04 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	19 NW	18 NW	18 NW	19 NW	18 NW	16 NW	18 WNW	17 WNW
Humidity	83%	71%	85%	86%	91%	94%	68%	60%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	5	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	58°	60°	57°	59°	62°	64°	65°
AIFS	61°	58°	56°	58°	61°	63°	65°
GFS	56°	57°	55°	59°	62°	61°	65°
ICON	58°	61°	58°	57°	64°	63°	68°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.45 in	0.07 in	0	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.17 in	0.07 in
AIFS	0.20 in	0.21 in	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.09 in	0.13 in	0.02 in
GFS	0.23 in	0.20 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.09 in	0
ICON	0.15 in	0.08 in	0	0	0.07 in	0.15 in	0.01 in
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2049	2153	1024	1841	1742	1536	1028
AIFS	27	21	11	21	18	13	9
GFS	2540	2433	1526	1831	1934	1632	711
ICON	2048	2044	1736	1737	2043	1844	920
Confidence	medium	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	94%	35%	82%	61%	82%	40%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	94%	88%	79%	3%	56%	42%	40%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +30%	A bit above +1.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	57° / 54°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	58° / 55°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	58° / 55°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
December	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F
January	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +25%	A bit below −0.5 °F
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
March	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Paekakariki climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Paekakariki is from January to February: highs of 69 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Paekakariki: 2 within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), most recently Cook, in April 2017.

69° 53°

JanJ
69° 53°

FebF
67° 51°

MarM
62° 47°

AprA
58° 44°

MayM
53° 40°

JunJ
53° 38°

JulJ
54° 40°

AugA
56° 42°

SepS
59° 45°

OctO
62° 47°

NovN
66° 51°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	69°	53°	4.20 in	6	8.1	63°	3.8 ft
FebruaryFeb	69°	53°	2.85 in	5	7.6	64°	3.3 ft
MarchMar	67°	51°	3.87 in	7	6.3	64°	3.4 ft
AprilApr	62°	47°	4.42 in	8	4.9	62°	3.8 ft
MayMay	58°	44°	5.93 in	9	3.8	60°	4.1 ft
JuneJun	53°	40°	6.37 in	11	3.1	57°	4.1 ft
JulyJul	53°	38°	5.73 in	11	3.5	55°	4.3 ft
AugustAug	54°	40°	6.43 in	11	4.2	55°	3.7 ft
SeptemberSep	56°	42°	5.36 in	9	5.2	55°	4.4 ft
OctoberOct	59°	45°	4.66 in	9	6.2	57°	4.2 ft
NovemberNov	62°	47°	4.24 in	8	7.4	58°	4.1 ft
DecemberDec	66°	51°	5.07 in	8	7.2	61°	3.5 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	63°	3.8 ft
Feb	64°	3.3 ft
Mar	64°	3.4 ft
Apr	62°	3.8 ft
May	60°	4.1 ft
Jun	57°	4.1 ft
Jul	55°	4.3 ft
Aug	55°	3.7 ft
Sep	55°	4.4 ft
Oct	57°	4.2 ft
Nov	58°	4.1 ft
Dec	61°	3.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 59.13 in of rain on about 103 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now57 °Ffeels like 51 °F

Tomorrow48 / 60 °F

It's 57 °F now (feels like 51 °F). Today, 53 °F to 58 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 60 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.45 in
Fri 30 94% 0.07 in
Sat 31 35%
Sun 1 82% 0.07 in
Mon 2 61% 0.05 in
Tue 3 82% 0.17 in
Wed 4 40% 0.07 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.45 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 94% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.36 in; last 3 days, 0.81 in; last 7 days, 1.23 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point54 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 54 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now4.6 mimoderate

Clouds97%

Visibility is moderate now (4.6 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now6

Today's peak6high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.5030.00 30.19

Falling now (−0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.71 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	49 / 59 °F	0.12 in	22 mph NW
Tue 27	Light rain	50 / 60 °F	0.39 in	23 mph NNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	55 / 62 °F	0.20 in	23 mph NNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	55 / 62 °F	0.10 in	18 mph N
Sat 24	Drizzle	55 / 59 °F	0.15 in	18 mph N
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	49 / 67 °F	0	9 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	51 / 64 °F	0	14 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	51 / 65 °F	0	10 mph N
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	45 / 66 °F	0	7 mph SE
Mon 19	Overcast	42 / 62 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Sun 18	Overcast	41 / 60 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	42 / 56 °F	0.06 in	15 mph S
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	43 / 49 °F	0.33 in	19 mph S
Thu 15	Light rain	47 / 60 °F	0.51 in	21 mph NNW
Wed 14	Rain	56 / 61 °F	0.89 in	19 mph N
Tue 13	Drizzle	55 / 64 °F	0.24 in	14 mph N
Mon 12	Light drizzle	54 / 65 °F	0.02 in	9 mph N
Sun 11	Drizzle	56 / 62 °F	0.23 in	13 mph N
Sat 10	Overcast	49 / 68 °F	0	6 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	51 / 68 °F	0	6 mph ESE
Thu 8	Overcast	45 / 66 °F	0	12 mph SE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	49 / 60 °F	0.05 in	14 mph N
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	46 / 59 °F	0	14 mph N
Mon 5	Clear sky	39 / 59 °F	0	7 mph N
Sun 4	Overcast	42 / 58 °F	0	11 mph SE
Sat 3	Drizzle	48 / 54 °F	0.14 in	15 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	53 / 57 °F	0.05 in	21 mph N
Thu 1	Light drizzle	52 / 57 °F	0.01 in	18 mph NNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	49 / 61 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNE
Tue 29	Clear sky	45 / 62 °F	0	9 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in PaekakarikiQuestions

What's the weather like today in Paekakariki?

Light rain, from 53 °F to 58 °F, with a fresh breeze from the northwest (18 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Paekakariki?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 94% (0.07 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 46 °F and a high of 65 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.48 inHg and falling: −0.25 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Paekakariki?

The best time to visit Paekakariki is from January to February: highs of 69 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Paekakariki in October?

In October, Paekakariki normally sees highs of 59 °F and lows of 45 °F, with about 9 rainy days (4.66 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 57 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Paekakariki?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 69 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 38 °F. The wettest is August (6.43 in) and the driest, February.

More about Paekakariki today

Weather near Paekakariki

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:04 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from