Weather in Tairua

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:05 pm (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 67 °F

Feels like: 62 °F
Low / high: 54 / 69 °F
Rain: 75% · 0.06 in
Wind: 17 mph W

↘ 29.74 inHg · falling UV 8 · high

Today in Tairua: light drizzle, 54 °F to 69 °F, with a 75% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a moderate breeze from the west (17 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 52 °F to 64 °F and a 93% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 69 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

69° 54°
Today
64° 52°
Fri 30
64° 50°
Sat 31
66° 45°
Sun 1
67° 56°
Mon 2
67° 55°
Tue 3
68° 54°
Wed 4
69° 60°
Thu 5
76° 64°
Fri 6
70° 61°
Sat 7
75° 63°
Sun 8
68° 60°
Mon 9
63° 60°
Tue 10
73° 57°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	54 / 69 °F	75% · 0.06 in	18 mph W	2.6 ft	10:20 am · 10:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	52 / 64 °F	93% · 0.06 in	20 mph WSW	2.4 ft	11:11 am · 11:29 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	50 / 64 °F	6%	13 mph SW	1.2 ft	12:04 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	45 / 66 °F	22% · 0.04 in	10 mph N	3.1 ft	12:23 am · 1:00 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	56 / 67 °F	51%	10 mph N	3.5 ft	1:20 am · 1:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	55 / 67 °F	78% · 0.06 in	9 mph N	3.1 ft	2:20 am · 2:57 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	54 / 68 °F	81% · 0.12 in	9 mph NNE	5.3 ft	3:23 am · 3:57 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	60 / 69 °F	82% · 0.59 in	9 mph N	5.9 ft	4:26 am · 4:55 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	64 / 76 °F	65% · 0.07 in	10 mph WNW	3.9 ft	5:27 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	61 / 70 °F	55% · 0.43 in	11 mph NNW	4.7 ft	6:23 am · 6:42 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	63 / 75 °F	39% · 1.20 in	12 mph NW	5.8 ft	7:15 am · 7:30 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	60 / 68 °F	46% · 0.57 in	5 mph SSW	3.7 ft	8:03 am · 8:16 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light rain	60 / 63 °F	55% · 0.59 in	12 mph E	5.6 ft	8:47 am · 9:00 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	57 / 73 °F	51% · 0.31 in	7 mph WSW	4.7 ft	9:29 am · 9:42 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	54°	54°	55°	60°	67°	68°	63°	59°
Chance of rain	29%	12%	9%	34%	68%	67%	52%	69%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	10 W	11 W	9 W	13 W	17 W	18 W	17 W	15 W
Humidity	88%	83%	84%	73%	54%	51%	68%	85%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	5	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	69°	64°	64°	66°	67°	67°	68°
AIFS	66°	64°	63°	65°	66°	67°	65°
GFS	69°	66°	64°	60°	65°	70°	67°
ICON	68°	66°	66°	67°	68°	66°	67°
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.06 in	0	0.04 in	0	0.06 in	0.12 in
AIFS	0.08 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.32 in
GFS	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0	0.17 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1844	2049	1337	1026	1028	926	925
AIFS	19	21	15	9	10	7	12
GFS	1229	1340	933	815	915	99	719
ICON	1940	2349	1735	920	1325	1124	1020
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	75%	93%	6%	22%	51%	78%	81%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	38%	48%	4%	26%	32%	52%	53%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +34%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −25%	67° / 56°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	68° / 57°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	69° / 58°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
March	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Tairua climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tairua is from December to March: highs of 73 °F to 75 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in April and from December to January, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tairua, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Cook, in April 2017.

75° 58°

JanJ
75° 59°

FebF
73° 56°

MarM
68° 52°

AprA
64° 48°

MayM
60° 44°

JunJ
58° 43°

JulJ
59° 44°

AugA
62° 47°

SepS
65° 49°

OctO
69° 52°

NovN
73° 56°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	75°	58°	4.29 in	7	8.8	68°	3.7 ft	2
FebruaryFeb	75°	59°	4.95 in	6	7.1	70°	3.9 ft	–
MarchMar	73°	56°	5.63 in	7	6.5	69°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	68°	52°	5.52 in	8	5.4	67°	4.0 ft	1
MayMay	64°	48°	6.47 in	10	4.2	65°	3.8 ft	–
JuneJun	60°	44°	5.47 in	11	3.9	62°	4.2 ft	–
JulyJul	58°	43°	7.16 in	11	4.2	60°	4.3 ft	–
AugustAug	59°	44°	5.90 in	12	5.0	59°	4.1 ft	–
SeptemberSep	62°	47°	5.66 in	10	5.5	59°	3.9 ft	–
OctoberOct	65°	49°	3.88 in	9	6.8	60°	3.3 ft	–
NovemberNov	69°	52°	3.72 in	7	7.6	62°	3.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	73°	56°	5.31 in	8	7.9	65°	3.5 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	68°	3.7 ft	2
Feb	70°	3.9 ft	–
Mar	69°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	67°	4.0 ft	1
May	65°	3.8 ft	–
Jun	62°	4.2 ft	–
Jul	60°	4.3 ft	–
Aug	59°	4.1 ft	–
Sep	59°	3.9 ft	–
Oct	60°	3.3 ft	–
Nov	62°	3.2 ft	–
Dec	65°	3.5 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 63.97 in of rain on about 106 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now67 °Ffeels like 62 °F

Tomorrow52 / 64 °F

It's 67 °F now (feels like 62 °F). Today, 54 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 52 °F to 64 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 75% 0.06 in
Fri 30 93% 0.06 in
Sat 31 6%
Sun 1 22% 0.04 in
Mon 2 51%
Tue 3 78% 0.06 in
Wed 4 81% 0.12 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 75%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 93% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.33 in; last 7 days, 0.33 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity54%

Dew point50 °F

Humidity is 54% now and the dew point is 50 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds80%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now8

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.6029.8030.0030.20 30.20

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.46 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	51 / 67 °F	0.02 in	12 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light rain	53 / 67 °F	0.28 in	15 mph WNW
Mon 26	Overcast	50 / 69 °F	0	13 mph W
Sun 25	Overcast	51 / 67 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Sat 24	Mainly clear	49 / 73 °F	0	8 mph W
Fri 23	Clear sky	48 / 72 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	47 / 70 °F	0	11 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	48 / 69 °F	0	9 mph SW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	46 / 69 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WNW
Mon 19	Overcast	46 / 69 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	41 / 66 °F	0	8 mph WSW
Sat 17	Overcast	40 / 62 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Fri 16	Light rain	46 / 58 °F	0.61 in	9 mph SSW
Thu 15	Light rain	51 / 62 °F	0.38 in	16 mph WNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	56 / 72 °F	0.04 in	9 mph WNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	58 / 71 °F	0.05 in	13 mph W
Mon 12	Light rain	59 / 72 °F	0.38 in	9 mph WSW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	56 / 70 °F	0.07 in	10 mph W
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	54 / 67 °F	0.24 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	54 / 68 °F	0.01 in	7 mph ESE
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	50 / 72 °F	0	13 mph SW
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	46 / 66 °F	0	13 mph SW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	48 / 60 °F	0.08 in	9 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.10 in	11 mph ESE
Sun 4	Rain	49 / 58 °F	0.52 in	14 mph ESE
Sat 3	Rain	51 / 65 °F	0.15 in	12 mph WSW
Fri 2	Partly cloudy	47 / 63 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	44 / 65 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	46 / 64 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	49 / 62 °F	0.06 in	13 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TairuaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tairua?

Light drizzle, from 54 °F to 69 °F, with a moderate breeze from the west (17 mph) and a 75% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tairua?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 93% (0.06 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 45 °F and a high of 69 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.74 inHg and falling: −0.15 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tairua?

The best time to visit Tairua is from December to March: highs of 73 °F to 75 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tairua in October?

In October, Tairua normally sees highs of 65 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 9 rainy days (3.88 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 60 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tairua?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is July (7.16 in) and the driest, November.

When is cyclone season in Tairua?

Cyclone season: in April and from December to January, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tairua, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Cook, in April 2017.

More about Tairua today

Weather near Tairua

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:05 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from