Weather in Welbourn

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:14 pm (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 56 °F

Feels like: 44 °F
Low / high: 55 / 60 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.14 in
Wind: 23 mph WSW

↗ 29.69 inHg · rising

Today in Welbourn: drizzle, 55 °F to 60 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.14 in) and a fresh breeze from the west-southwest (23 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 54 °F to 59 °F and a 98% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 62 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

60° 55°
Today
59° 54°
Fri 30
57° 52°
Sat 31
59° 50°
Sun 1
61° 59°
Mon 2
62° 60°
Tue 3
62° 60°
Wed 4
63° 61°
Thu 5
62° 60°
Fri 6
60° 57°
Sat 7
61° 58°
Sun 8
60° 56°
Mon 9
60° 51°
Tue 10
57° 53°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	55 / 60 °F	100% · 0.14 in	27 mph W	9.6 ft	12:05 am · 12:30 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	54 / 59 °F	98% · 0.15 in	32 mph WSW	13 ft	12:55 am · 1:20 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	52 / 57 °F	14% · 0.01 in	30 mph SW	13 ft	1:51 am · 2:17 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	50 / 59 °F	1%	13 mph N	7.8 ft	2:53 am · 3:22 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	59 / 61 °F	22% · 0.02 in	19 mph N	4.1 ft	4:03 am · 4:36 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	60 / 62 °F	51% · 0.06 in	15 mph NNE	4.3 ft	5:17 am · 5:51 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	60 / 62 °F	16% · 0.04 in	15 mph NNE	3.9 ft	6:29 am · 6:58 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	61 / 63 °F	28% · 0.19 in	20 mph NNE	4.3 ft	7:34 am · 7:54 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light rain	60 / 62 °F	53% · 0.51 in	19 mph NW	4.7 ft	8:27 am · 8:41 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	57 / 60 °F	58% · 0.01 in	14 mph WSW	7.0 ft	9:12 am · 9:23 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	58 / 61 °F	37% · 0.04 in	21 mph NNW	6.8 ft	9:53 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	56 / 60 °F	31% · 0.15 in	22 mph W	8.5 ft	10:30 am · 10:38 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	51 / 60 °F	41% · 0.03 in	20 mph S	7.9 ft	11:05 am · 11:14 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light rain	53 / 57 °F	43% · 0.93 in	23 mph SSE	6.8 ft	11:39 am · 11:49 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear
Temperature	57°	58°	58°	59°	60°	58°	57°	56°
Chance of rain	74%	24%	45%	71%	48%	88%	51%	5%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	24 W	20 W	22 WNW	25 WNW	25 WNW	25 WSW	26 WSW	23 WSW
Humidity	70%	66%	70%	75%	78%	83%	71%	62%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	3	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	60°	59°	57°	59°	61°	62°	62°
AIFS	58°	56°	56°	57°	59°	61°	62°
GFS	60°	59°	59°	61°	62°	67°	69°
ICON	60°	60°	60°	60°	63°	66°	61°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.14 in	0.15 in	0.01 in	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.04 in
AIFS	0.19 in	0.17 in	0.02 in	0	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.23 in
GFS	0.22 in	0.21 in	0.00 in	0	0.10 in	0.19 in	0
ICON	0.17 in	0.11 in	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.56 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2740	3249	3043	1319	1927	1522	1520
AIFS	23	31	27	13	15	12	15
GFS	1436	1346	840	814	923	824	514
ICON	1943	2052	1328	1124	1736	1225	716
Confidence	medium	low	low	high	medium	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	98%	14%	1%	22%	51%	16%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	3%	0%	68%	69%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +37%	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	61° / 56°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	61° / 56°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	62° / 57°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F
December	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +22%	A bit below −0.5 °F
January	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F
March	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Welbourn climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Welbourn is from January to February: highs of 72 °F to 73 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Welbourn: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), Drena, in January 1997.

72° 57°

JanJ
73° 57°

FebF
71° 55°

MarM
66° 51°

AprA
62° 48°

MayM
58° 44°

JunJ
56° 43°

JulJ
57° 44°

AugA
60° 46°

SepS
62° 49°

OctO
65° 51°

NovN
70° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	72°	57°	3.75 in	8	8.6	66°	5.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	73°	57°	3.99 in	7	7.6	68°	4.8 ft
MarchMar	71°	55°	4.08 in	9	6.7	67°	5.2 ft
AprilApr	66°	51°	5.84 in	10	5.4	65°	6.2 ft
MayMay	62°	48°	6.26 in	13	4.2	63°	7.3 ft
JuneJun	58°	44°	6.20 in	14	3.8	60°	7.1 ft
JulyJul	56°	43°	6.97 in	13	4.3	58°	7.4 ft
AugustAug	57°	44°	5.66 in	14	5.0	56°	6.9 ft
SeptemberSep	60°	46°	7.31 in	13	5.5	57°	7.2 ft
OctoberOct	62°	49°	6.66 in	13	6.4	58°	7.1 ft
NovemberNov	65°	51°	5.66 in	10	7.5	61°	6.1 ft
DecemberDec	70°	55°	4.96 in	11	7.4	64°	5.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	66°	5.5 ft
Feb	68°	4.8 ft
Mar	67°	5.2 ft
Apr	65°	6.2 ft
May	63°	7.3 ft
Jun	60°	7.1 ft
Jul	58°	7.4 ft
Aug	56°	6.9 ft
Sep	57°	7.2 ft
Oct	58°	7.1 ft
Nov	61°	6.1 ft
Dec	64°	5.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 67.36 in of rain on about 136 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now56 °Ffeels like 44 °F

Tomorrow54 / 59 °F

It's 56 °F now (feels like 44 °F). Today, 55 °F to 60 °F; tomorrow, 54 °F to 59 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.14 in
Fri 30 98% 0.15 in
Sat 31 14% 0.01 in
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 22% 0.02 in
Tue 3 51% 0.06 in
Wed 4 16% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.14 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 98% and 0.15 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.14 in; last 3 days, 0.73 in; last 7 days, 0.79 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity62%

Dew point43 °F

Humidity is 62% now and the dew point is 43 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds40%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 30.35

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.66 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 38

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	56 / 59 °F	0.03 in	23 mph W
Tue 27	Rain	56 / 61 °F	0.56 in	26 mph W
Mon 26	Light drizzle	58 / 61 °F	0.02 in	18 mph NW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	57 / 60 °F	0.01 in	17 mph WSW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	56 / 59 °F	0.04 in	16 mph W
Fri 23	Overcast	52 / 60 °F	0	17 mph NE
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	53 / 59 °F	0	23 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	54 / 60 °F	0	18 mph WSW
Tue 20	Overcast	51 / 58 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	50 / 59 °F	0	20 mph WSW
Sun 18	Clear sky	48 / 60 °F	0	16 mph SW
Sat 17	Overcast	48 / 59 °F	0	13 mph S
Fri 16	Drizzle	49 / 55 °F	0.12 in	23 mph SE
Thu 15	Light rain	52 / 62 °F	0.97 in	28 mph WSW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	60 / 62 °F	0.08 in	24 mph N
Tue 13	Light drizzle	60 / 61 °F	0.06 in	15 mph NW
Mon 12	Overcast	57 / 62 °F	0	6 mph N
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	59 / 61 °F	0.29 in	14 mph NW
Sat 10	Drizzle	59 / 62 °F	0.05 in	15 mph NE
Fri 9	Overcast	57 / 62 °F	0	11 mph E
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	52 / 60 °F	0	10 mph W
Wed 7	Overcast	49 / 58 °F	0	10 mph W
Tue 6	Mainly clear	50 / 57 °F	0	9 mph NE
Mon 5	Mainly clear	48 / 56 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Sun 4	Mainly clear	48 / 59 °F	0	23 mph SE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	51 / 60 °F	0.05 in	21 mph SW
Fri 2	Overcast	54 / 57 °F	0	19 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	53 / 56 °F	0	16 mph WSW
Wed 30	Overcast	54 / 58 °F	0	13 mph WSW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	54 / 58 °F	0.04 in	24 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in WelbournQuestions

What's the weather like today in Welbourn?

Drizzle, from 55 °F to 60 °F, with a fresh breeze from the west-southwest (23 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Welbourn?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 98% (0.15 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 50 °F and a high of 62 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.69 inHg and rising: −0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Welbourn?

The best time to visit Welbourn is from January to February: highs of 72 °F to 73 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Welbourn in October?

In October, Welbourn normally sees highs of 62 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 13 rainy days (6.66 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 58 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Welbourn?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is September (7.31 in) and the driest, January.

More about Welbourn today

Weather near Welbourn

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:14 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from