Weather in Mangawhai Heads

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:06 pm (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 67 °F

Feels like: 61 °F
Low / high: 52 / 68 °F
Rain: 65% · 0.11 in
Wind: 19 mph W

↘ 29.81 inHg · falling UV 8 · high

Today in Mangawhai Heads: light drizzle, 52 °F to 68 °F, with a 65% chance of rain (0.11 in) and a fresh breeze from the west (19 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 55 °F to 64 °F and a 59% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 71 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

68° 52°
Today
64° 55°
Fri 30
63° 51°
Sat 31
67° 45°
Sun 1
68° 58°
Mon 2
70° 58°
Tue 3
71° 60°
Wed 4
70° 62°
Thu 5
77° 63°
Fri 6
76° 64°
Sat 7
75° 63°
Sun 8
68° 58°
Mon 9
66° 54°
Tue 10
72° 58°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	52 / 68 °F	65% · 0.11 in	19 mph W	2.4 ft	10:40 am · 10:55 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	55 / 64 °F	59% · 0.02 in	24 mph WSW	3.0 ft	11:30 am · 11:47 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	51 / 63 °F	2%	16 mph SSW	1.6 ft	12:23 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	45 / 67 °F	5% · 0.00 in	12 mph NE	2.9 ft	12:42 am · 1:18 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	58 / 68 °F	22% · 0.02 in	16 mph NNE	4.4 ft	1:39 am · 2:18 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	58 / 70 °F	35% · 0.02 in	13 mph NNE	3.5 ft	2:41 am · 3:19 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	60 / 71 °F	62% · 0.05 in	17 mph NE	5.9 ft	3:45 am · 4:21 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	62 / 70 °F	63% · 0.65 in	11 mph NNE	5.1 ft	4:51 am · 5:19 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	63 / 77 °F	60% · 0.10 in	9 mph WNW	3.0 ft	5:53 am · 6:14 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	64 / 76 °F	37% · 0.41 in	16 mph N	2.1 ft	6:49 am · 7:05 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	63 / 75 °F	36% · 0.32 in	16 mph NW	—	7:40 am · 7:52 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	58 / 68 °F	53%	11 mph SW	—	8:26 am · 8:37 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	54 / 66 °F	50% · 0.24 in	15 mph E	—	9:09 am · 9:19 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	58 / 72 °F	39% · 0.19 in	9 mph S	—	9:49 am · 10:00 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	54°	53°	52°	59°	66°	67°	63°	59°
Chance of rain	42%	16%	14%	40%	48%	50%	62%	62%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	9 WNW	10 WNW	8 WNW	13 WNW	19 W	19 W	18 W	16 W
Humidity	97%	92%	95%	83%	59%	55%	70%	86%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	68°	64°	63°	67°	68°	70°	71°
AIFS	67°	65°	63°	69°	68°	70°	66°
GFS	69°	65°	64°	66°	68°	70°	62°
ICON	67°	67°	64°	68°	71°	72°	69°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.11 in	0.02 in	0	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.12 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.42 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.08 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.08 in
ICON	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1936	2444	1631	1226	1633	1332	1733
AIFS	20	24	18	11	13	12	14
GFS	1328	1335	1130	1225	1122	920	923
ICON	1940	2451	1942	1223	1428	1531	1531
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	65%	59%	2%	5%	22%	35%	62%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	32%	68%	16%	11%	20%	32%	52%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.0 °F	A bit above +41%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +24%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −23%	68° / 58°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	69° / 59°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	70° / 59°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Mangawhai Heads climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Mangawhai Heads is from January to March: highs of 72 °F to 74 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in January and in May, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mangawhai Heads, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Donna, in May 2017.

74° 60°

JanJ
74° 60°

FebF
72° 59°

MarM
68° 55°

AprA
64° 51°

MayM
59° 48°

JunJ
58° 46°

JulJ
59° 47°

AugA
62° 49°

SepS
64° 51°

OctO
67° 54°

NovN
71° 58°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	74°	60°	3.61 in	5	8.6	68°	3.1 ft	2
FebruaryFeb	74°	60°	3.82 in	6	7.2	69°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	72°	59°	3.89 in	6	6.4	69°	3.5 ft	–
AprilApr	68°	55°	3.87 in	8	5.6	67°	3.3 ft	–
MayMay	64°	51°	5.52 in	10	4.4	64°	3.3 ft	1
JuneJun	59°	48°	6.17 in	10	4.1	62°	3.6 ft	–
JulyJul	58°	46°	6.28 in	12	4.5	59°	3.6 ft	–
AugustAug	59°	47°	5.89 in	12	5.0	58°	3.4 ft	–
SeptemberSep	62°	49°	3.90 in	9	5.7	58°	3.2 ft	–
OctoberOct	64°	51°	2.84 in	8	6.6	60°	2.8 ft	–
NovemberNov	67°	54°	3.10 in	7	7.3	62°	2.8 ft	–
DecemberDec	71°	58°	4.29 in	7	7.6	65°	3.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	68°	3.1 ft	2
Feb	69°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	69°	3.5 ft	–
Apr	67°	3.3 ft	–
May	64°	3.3 ft	1
Jun	62°	3.6 ft	–
Jul	59°	3.6 ft	–
Aug	58°	3.4 ft	–
Sep	58°	3.2 ft	–
Oct	60°	2.8 ft	–
Nov	62°	2.8 ft	–
Dec	65°	3.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 53.18 in of rain on about 99 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now67 °Ffeels like 61 °F

Tomorrow55 / 64 °F

It's 67 °F now (feels like 61 °F). Today, 52 °F to 68 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 64 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 65% 0.11 in
Fri 30 59% 0.02 in
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 5% 0.00 in
Mon 2 22% 0.02 in
Tue 3 35% 0.02 in
Wed 4 62% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 65%, with 0.11 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 59% and 0.02 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.10 in; last 3 days, 0.40 in; last 7 days, 0.41 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity58%

Dew point51 °F

Humidity is 58% now and the dew point is 51 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now8

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 30.23

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.42 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	51 / 67 °F	0.05 in	14 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light rain	54 / 67 °F	0.30 in	15 mph WNW
Mon 26	Overcast	47 / 72 °F	0	15 mph WNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	52 / 67 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Sat 24	Overcast	46 / 69 °F	0	13 mph SW
Fri 23	Overcast	54 / 69 °F	0	11 mph SW
Thu 22	Overcast	54 / 66 °F	0	13 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	53 / 63 °F	0	13 mph SW
Tue 20	Overcast	52 / 65 °F	0	13 mph SW
Mon 19	Mainly clear	50 / 64 °F	0	13 mph SW
Sun 18	Mainly clear	47 / 65 °F	0	14 mph SSW
Sat 17	Overcast	41 / 60 °F	0	16 mph S
Fri 16	Light drizzle	49 / 59 °F	0.21 in	14 mph SW
Thu 15	Light rain	53 / 64 °F	0.25 in	19 mph WNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	58 / 72 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	58 / 71 °F	0.04 in	15 mph W
Mon 12	Drizzle	59 / 68 °F	0.11 in	15 mph W
Sun 11	Drizzle	57 / 69 °F	0.19 in	14 mph WNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	55 / 69 °F	0.07 in	15 mph NNE
Fri 9	Overcast	49 / 68 °F	0	10 mph ENE
Thu 8	Overcast	51 / 68 °F	0	12 mph SW
Wed 7	Overcast	42 / 64 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	51 / 62 °F	0.04 in	12 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	49 / 60 °F	0.06 in	16 mph E
Sun 4	Heavy drizzle	52 / 56 °F	0.47 in	15 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	52 / 62 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SW
Fri 2	Overcast	48 / 62 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	41 / 62 °F	0	10 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	49 / 60 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	51 / 60 °F	0.06 in	17 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Mangawhai HeadsQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mangawhai Heads?

Light drizzle, from 52 °F to 68 °F, with a fresh breeze from the west (19 mph) and a 65% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mangawhai Heads?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 59% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 45 °F and a high of 71 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.81 inHg and falling: −0.12 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mangawhai Heads?

The best time to visit Mangawhai Heads is from January to March: highs of 72 °F to 74 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Mangawhai Heads in October?

In October, Mangawhai Heads normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 51 °F, with about 8 rainy days (2.84 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 60 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mangawhai Heads?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is July (6.28 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Mangawhai Heads?

Cyclone season: in January and in May, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mangawhai Heads, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Donna, in May 2017.

More about Mangawhai Heads today

Weather near Mangawhai Heads

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:06 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from