Weather in Picton

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:58 am (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 62 °F

Feels like: 55 °F
Low / high: 49 / 62 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.02 in
Wind: 17 mph NW

→ 29.42 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Picton: light drizzle, 49 °F to 62 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a moderate breeze from the northwest (17 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 46 °F to 63 °F and a 49% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 67 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

62° 49°
Today
63° 46°
Fri 30
57° 47°
Sat 31
63° 48°
Sun 1
63° 55°
Mon 2
67° 57°
Tue 3
67° 58°
Wed 4
62° 58°
Thu 5
72° 58°
Fri 6
65° 60°
Sat 7
68° 58°
Sun 8
57° 50°
Mon 9
65° 46°
Tue 10
71° 49°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	49 / 62 °F	100% · 0.02 in	18 mph WNW	2.6 ft	11:59 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	46 / 63 °F	49%	18 mph W	1.9 ft	12:10 am · 12:34 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	47 / 57 °F	22% · 0.02 in	11 mph NNW	0.9 ft	12:48 am · 1:10 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	48 / 63 °F	0%	19 mph NW	2.2 ft	1:30 am · 1:48 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	55 / 63 °F	77% · 0.11 in	20 mph NW	2.2 ft	2:21 am · 2:35 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	57 / 67 °F	69% · 0.01 in	14 mph NW	1.8 ft	3:37 am · 3:46 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	58 / 67 °F	35%	14 mph NW	0.8 ft	5:24 am · 5:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	58 / 62 °F	57% · 0.42 in	14 mph NNW	1.8 ft	6:58 am · 7:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	58 / 72 °F	47% · 0.03 in	13 mph NNW	1.6 ft	8:05 am · 8:10 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	60 / 65 °F	34% · 0.89 in	14 mph NNW	1.1 ft	8:56 am · 8:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light rain	58 / 68 °F	20% · 0.22 in	17 mph NW	—	9:38 am · 9:32 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	50 / 57 °F	50%	15 mph SE	—	10:14 am · 10:06 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	46 / 65 °F	39%	9 mph NW	—	10:46 am · 10:37 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	49 / 71 °F	38%	6 mph ENE	—	11:14 am · 11:07 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	54°	53°	55°	60°	62°	62°	58°	52°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	78%	43%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	13 WNW	13 NW	14 NW	17 NW	15 WNW	16 WNW	15 WNW	10 WNW
Humidity	67%	63%	78%	75%	64%	51%	50%	59%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	5	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	62°	63°	57°	63°	63°	67°	67°
AIFS	62°	61°	57°	63°	63°	66°	67°
GFS	67°	64°	53°	65°	68°	73°	72°
ICON	63°	64°	58°	60°	64°	63°	67°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	low	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0.02 in	0	0.11 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.07 in	0.09 in	0.06 in	0	0.05 in	0.02 in	0
GFS	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.00 in	0.04 in	0	0	0	0.24 in	0.02 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1842	1840	1128	1943	2046	1434	1434
AIFS	18	16	8	21	19	14	13
GFS	1737	1434	46	1731	1636	1230	1220
ICON	1945	1740	819	2047	2050	1432	1023
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	49%	22%	0%	77%	69%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	42%	68%	70%	0%	26%	30%	33%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.0 °F	A bit above +22%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	65° / 52°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	66° / 53°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit below −20%	67° / 54°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
March	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Picton climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Picton is from January to February: highs of 71 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Picton: 2 within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), most recently Lusi, in March 2014.

70° 53°

JanJ
71° 53°

FebF
68° 51°

MarM
63° 47°

AprA
59° 43°

MayM
54° 39°

JunJ
53° 37°

JulJ
55° 39°

AugA
57° 42°

SepS
61° 44°

OctO
64° 48°

NovN
68° 51°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	70°	53°	4.16 in	7	8.1	60°	3.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	71°	53°	3.12 in	5	7.5	62°	2.7 ft
MarchMar	68°	51°	3.27 in	7	6.5	61°	2.7 ft
AprilApr	63°	47°	5.50 in	9	5.0	59°	3.0 ft
MayMay	59°	43°	5.39 in	8	4.0	57°	3.1 ft
JuneJun	54°	39°	4.56 in	10	3.5	55°	3.1 ft
JulyJul	53°	37°	5.69 in	9	3.6	53°	3.3 ft
AugustAug	55°	39°	4.79 in	9	4.7	53°	3.0 ft
SeptemberSep	57°	42°	4.30 in	9	5.5	53°	3.5 ft
OctoberOct	61°	44°	4.41 in	9	6.6	55°	3.4 ft
NovemberNov	64°	48°	4.13 in	8	7.7	57°	3.3 ft
DecemberDec	68°	51°	4.89 in	8	7.5	59°	2.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	60°	3.1 ft
Feb	62°	2.7 ft
Mar	61°	2.7 ft
Apr	59°	3.0 ft
May	57°	3.1 ft
Jun	55°	3.1 ft
Jul	53°	3.3 ft
Aug	53°	3.0 ft
Sep	53°	3.5 ft
Oct	55°	3.4 ft
Nov	57°	3.3 ft
Dec	59°	2.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 54.22 in of rain on about 97 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now62 °Ffeels like 55 °F

Tomorrow46 / 63 °F

It's 62 °F now (feels like 55 °F). Today, 49 °F to 62 °F; tomorrow, 46 °F to 63 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.02 in
Fri 30 49%
Sat 31 22% 0.02 in
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 77% 0.11 in
Tue 3 69% 0.01 in
Wed 4 35%

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 49% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.56 in; last 7 days, 0.56 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity67%

Dew point51 °F

Humidity is 67% now and the dew point is 51 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds78%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now5

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.5030.00 30.18

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.75 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	47 / 61 °F	0	17 mph NW
Tue 27	Light rain	49 / 60 °F	0.54 in	22 mph NNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	54 / 65 °F	0.02 in	25 mph NW
Sun 25	Clear sky	50 / 70 °F	0	14 mph NW
Sat 24	Overcast	51 / 69 °F	0	16 mph NW
Fri 23	Overcast	48 / 69 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Thu 22	Overcast	49 / 69 °F	0	9 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	50 / 67 °F	0	6 mph E
Tue 20	Overcast	45 / 65 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Mon 19	Overcast	47 / 65 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Sun 18	Overcast	41 / 62 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Sat 17	Partly cloudy	39 / 58 °F	0	12 mph SE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	45 / 51 °F	0.04 in	19 mph SSE
Thu 15	Rain	47 / 63 °F	0.85 in	20 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	56 / 62 °F	0.62 in	18 mph NNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	56 / 66 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NW
Mon 12	Overcast	49 / 69 °F	0	10 mph NNW
Sun 11	Drizzle	53 / 64 °F	0.18 in	15 mph NNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	50 / 66 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNW
Fri 9	Overcast	51 / 62 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Thu 8	Overcast	46 / 61 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	49 / 63 °F	0	15 mph NW
Tue 6	Mainly clear	48 / 61 °F	0	17 mph NW
Mon 5	Overcast	35 / 61 °F	0	9 mph NW
Sun 4	Overcast	42 / 54 °F	0	14 mph SSE
Sat 3	Drizzle	48 / 52 °F	0.18 in	16 mph SSE
Fri 2	Overcast	48 / 65 °F	0	15 mph NNW
Thu 1	Overcast	47 / 62 °F	0	13 mph NNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.07 in	7 mph SSE
Tue 29	Clear sky	40 / 64 °F	0	10 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in PictonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Picton?

Light drizzle, from 49 °F to 62 °F, with a moderate breeze from the northwest (17 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Picton?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 49% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 46 °F and a high of 67 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.42 inHg and steady: −0.27 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Picton?

The best time to visit Picton is from January to February: highs of 71 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Picton in October?

In October, Picton normally sees highs of 61 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 9 rainy days (4.41 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Picton?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 37 °F. The wettest is July (5.69 in) and the driest, February.

More about Picton today

Weather near Picton

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:58 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from