Weather in Birkdale

14-day forecast · updated today, Friday, October 30, at 12:15 am (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 57 °F

Feels like: 53 °F
Low / high: 56 / 63 °F
Rain: 98% · 0.04 in
Wind: 12 mph WSW

→ 29.74 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Birkdale: light drizzle, 56 °F to 63 °F, with a 98% chance of rain (0.04 in) and a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (12 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 55 °F to 62 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 5, at 66 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (16%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

63° 56°
Today
62° 55°
Sat 31
63° 51°
Sun 1
64° 60°
Mon 2
65° 60°
Tue 3
65° 61°
Wed 4
66° 63°
Thu 5
70° 62°
Fri 6
66° 58°
Sat 7
65° 51°
Sun 8
61° 56°
Mon 9
63° 53°
Tue 10
63° 53°
Wed 11
64° 55°
Thu 12

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 30	Light drizzle	56 / 63 °F	98% · 0.04 in	26 mph WSW	2.2 ft	11:18 am · 11:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	55 / 62 °F	2%	16 mph SSW	1.5 ft	12:10 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	51 / 63 °F	2%	18 mph NNE	1.4 ft	12:33 am · 1:06 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	60 / 64 °F	14%	16 mph NNE	2.1 ft	1:29 am · 2:06 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	60 / 65 °F	16% · 0.05 in	15 mph NNE	1.2 ft	2:29 am · 3:08 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	61 / 65 °F	33% · 0.05 in	13 mph NE	1.6 ft	3:32 am · 4:10 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	63 / 66 °F	65% · 0.31 in	16 mph NNE	2.0 ft	4:37 am · 5:08 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	62 / 70 °F	67% · 0.19 in	13 mph WNW	1.2 ft	5:39 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	58 / 66 °F	47%	9 mph W	1.7 ft	6:36 am · 6:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	51 / 65 °F	28%	9 mph NNW	0.3 ft	7:27 am · 7:43 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	56 / 61 °F	40% · 0.17 in	11 mph W	0.7 ft	8:14 am · 8:29 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	53 / 63 °F	48%	11 mph SSW	0.8 ft	8:57 am · 9:14 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	53 / 63 °F	36% · 0.06 in	18 mph WSW	1.2 ft	9:38 am · 9:56 pm	ECMWF
Thu 12	Light drizzle	55 / 64 °F	42% · 0.01 in	16 mph WSW	1.2 ft	10:17 am · 10:37 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	57°	56°	56°	60°	62°	63°	61°	59°
Chance of rain	49%	4%	0%	0%	0%	29%	92%	32%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 WSW	13 WSW	14 SW	20 WSW	24 WSW	26 WSW	23 WSW	19 WSW
Humidity	86%	78%	70%	59%	52%	57%	70%	72%
UV	0	0	0	2	5	5	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4	Thu 5
ECMWF	63°	62°	63°	64°	65°	65°	66°
AIFS	63°	61°	66°	66°	67°	65°	69°
GFS	65°	62°	67°	67°	69°	71°	71°
ICON	65°	63°	69°	68°	70°	71°	68°
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4	Thu 5
ECMWF	0.04 in	0	0	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.31 in
AIFS	0.04 in	0	0	0	0.06 in	0.54 in	0.10 in
GFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.01 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	1.13 in
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4	Thu 5
ECMWF	2641	1630	1829	1628	1525	1328	1631
AIFS	26	22	13	13	13	17	8
GFS	1836	1632	1219	1419	1121	1120	922
ICON	2352	1737	1122	1328	1225	1124	1226
Confidence	medium	high	medium	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4	Thu 5
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	98%	2%	2%	14%	16%	33%	65%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	45%	0%	7%	11%	14%	39%	58%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	A bit above +23%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +21%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	68° / 57°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	68° / 58°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	69° / 58°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal
January	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
March	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Birkdale climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Birkdale is from December to March: highs of 71 °F to 75 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Birkdale: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), June, in January 2014.

74° 60°

JanJ
75° 60°

FebF
73° 58°

MarM
68° 54°

AprA
64° 51°

MayM
59° 47°

JunJ
58° 45°

JulJ
59° 46°

AugA
61° 49°

SepS
64° 51°

OctO
67° 54°

NovN
71° 58°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	74°	60°	3.43 in	6	8.5	68°	5.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	75°	60°	3.44 in	6	7.1	70°	4.5 ft
MarchMar	73°	58°	2.98 in	6	6.6	69°	4.9 ft
AprilApr	68°	54°	3.72 in	8	5.6	67°	5.7 ft
MayMay	64°	51°	5.07 in	10	4.4	64°	6.5 ft
JuneJun	59°	47°	4.76 in	11	4.0	61°	6.4 ft
JulyJul	58°	45°	5.74 in	12	4.5	58°	6.7 ft
AugustAug	59°	46°	4.89 in	12	5.0	57°	6.2 ft
SeptemberSep	61°	49°	4.08 in	10	5.7	58°	6.6 ft
OctoberOct	64°	51°	3.31 in	9	6.5	60°	6.4 ft
NovemberNov	67°	54°	3.40 in	7	7.1	62°	5.6 ft
DecemberDec	71°	58°	4.48 in	7	7.6	66°	4.8 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	68°	5.1 ft
Feb	70°	4.5 ft
Mar	69°	4.9 ft
Apr	67°	5.7 ft
May	64°	6.5 ft
Jun	61°	6.4 ft
Jul	58°	6.7 ft
Aug	57°	6.2 ft
Sep	58°	6.6 ft
Oct	60°	6.4 ft
Nov	62°	5.6 ft
Dec	66°	4.8 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.28 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now57 °Ffeels like 53 °F

Tomorrow55 / 62 °F

It's 57 °F now (feels like 53 °F). Today, 56 °F to 63 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 62 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 98% 0.04 in
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 2%
Mon 2 14%
Tue 3 16% 0.05 in
Wed 4 33% 0.05 in
Thu 5 65% 0.31 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 98%, with 0.04 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 16% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.15 in; last 3 days, 0.35 in; last 7 days, 0.36 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 53 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds6%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 5 · Mon 2: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 30.38

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.64 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Thu 29	Light drizzle	55 / 66 °F	0.15 in	20 mph W
Wed 28	Light drizzle	53 / 65 °F	0.04 in	15 mph W
Tue 27	Drizzle	56 / 66 °F	0.17 in	22 mph WNW
Mon 26	Overcast	53 / 68 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	57 / 64 °F	0.01 in	10 mph WSW
Sat 24	Overcast	51 / 65 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	55 / 65 °F	0	11 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Thu 22	Overcast	54 / 66 °F	0	13 mph SW
Wed 21	Overcast	55 / 65 °F	0	13 mph SW
Tue 20	Overcast	53 / 64 °F	0	8 mph SSW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	53 / 64 °F	0	11 mph SW
Sun 18	Clear sky	50 / 63 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Sat 17	Mainly clear	45 / 59 °F	0	12 mph S
Fri 16	Drizzle	51 / 58 °F	0.16 in	14 mph S
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	54 / 63 °F	0.23 in	20 mph NW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	58 / 66 °F	0.07 in	10 mph NNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	59 / 67 °F	0.06 in	15 mph WNW
Mon 12	Drizzle	60 / 66 °F	0.23 in	12 mph W
Sun 11	Drizzle	59 / 65 °F	0.23 in	12 mph NW
Sat 10	Drizzle	58 / 63 °F	0.07 in	13 mph NNE
Fri 9	Overcast	56 / 63 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Thu 8	Overcast	54 / 67 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Wed 7	Overcast	48 / 63 °F	0	13 mph SW
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	54 / 60 °F	0	12 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	51 / 59 °F	0.01 in	13 mph E
Sun 4	Heavy drizzle	52 / 58 °F	0.29 in	18 mph ESE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	54 / 61 °F	0.04 in	12 mph WSW
Fri 2	Overcast	53 / 60 °F	0	13 mph WSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	47 / 61 °F	0.04 in	9 mph WSW
Wed 30	Drizzle	50 / 58 °F	0.11 in	7 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in BirkdaleQuestions

What's the weather like today in Birkdale?

Light drizzle, from 56 °F to 63 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (12 mph) and a 98% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Birkdale?

On Saturday 31 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 51 °F and a high of 66 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 5.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.74 inHg and steady: −0.12 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Birkdale?

The best time to visit Birkdale is from December to March: highs of 71 °F to 75 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Birkdale in October?

In October, Birkdale normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 51 °F, with about 9 rainy days (3.31 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 60 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Birkdale?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 45 °F. The wettest is July (5.74 in) and the driest, March.

More about Birkdale today

Weather near Birkdale

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:15 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from