TidePlanet

Weather in Nouméa

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:58 am (GMT+11)
Now · clear sky 75 °F
Feels like
80 °F
Low / high
70 / 75 °F
Rain
54% · 0.04 in
Wind
7 mph SW
→ 30.06 inHg · steady UV 11 · extreme

Today in Nouméa: light drizzle, 70 °F to 75 °F, with a 54% chance of rain (0.04 in) and a light breeze from the southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 70 °F to 73 °F and a 84% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 79 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Light drizzle 70 / 75 °F 54% · 0.04 in 13 mph W 2.2 ft 10:06 am · 9:50 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Drizzle 70 / 73 °F 84% · 0.08 in 12 mph S 3.4 ft 10:55 am · 10:32 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Overcast 68 / 73 °F 16% 18 mph ESE 4.0 ft 11:51 am · 11:20 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Drizzle 69 / 74 °F 45% · 0.13 in 16 mph E 3.7 ft 12:56 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 70 / 76 °F 65% · 0.05 in 14 mph ESE 3.1 ft 12:23 am · 2:09 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 70 / 78 °F 63% · 0.02 in 14 mph ESE 2.0 ft 1:57 am · 3:18 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Drizzle 73 / 79 °F 59% · 0.12 in 6 mph ESE 1.6 ft 3:43 am · 4:17 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Light drizzle 74 / 78 °F 61% · 0.12 in 7 mph NE 1.8 ft 4:59 am · 5:07 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Mainly clear 74 / 81 °F 47% 9 mph ENE 1.7 ft 5:57 am · 5:50 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Mainly clear 73 / 78 °F 39% 11 mph W 1.2 ft 6:44 am · 6:29 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Light drizzle 71 / 77 °F 29% · 0.07 in 8 mph E — 7:25 am · 7:06 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 72 / 78 °F 29% · 0.02 in 10 mph ESE — 8:02 am · 7:40 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 71 / 74 °F 35% · 0.24 in 5 mph ESE — 8:37 am · 8:14 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Overcast 68 / 75 °F 29% 8 mph SE — 9:12 am · 8:47 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClear skyClear skyClear skyMainly clearLight drizzleMainly clear
Temperature 72°71°71°75°75°75°74°73°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%3%28%54%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.01 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 6 NE5 NNE1 N7 SW13 WSW12 WSW10 W9 W
Humidity 85%86%87%79%87%86%85%84%
UV 000711400
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 75°73°73°74°76°78°79°
AIFS 76°73°72°72°76°77°79°
GFS 80°76°82°85°80°82°85°
ICON 87°78°78°81°85°87°90°
Confidence lowhighmediumlowmediummediumlow
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.04 in0.08 in00.13 in0.05 in0.02 in0.12 in
AIFS 0.07 in0.07 in0.09 in0.21 in0.21 in0.14 in0.07 in
GFS 0.05 in0.09 in0.03 in000.02 in0
ICON 00.04 in0.02 in000.07 in0.06 in
Confidence mediumhighmediumlowlowmediummedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 131712171825162114151413610
AIFS 12111614856
GFS 1516121424191619131212101210
ICON 1429132716341427816716614
Confidence highhighmediumhighhighmediumhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 54%84%16%45%65%63%59%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 55%71%42%40%65%43%44%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +2.0 °F Well above +103% A bit above +1.1 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +1.1 °F A bit below −30% A bit above +1.1 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal +0.4 °F A bit below −46% Normal +0.2 °F 77° / 72°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal +0.4 °F A bit below −38% Normal +0.2 °F 78° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal +0.7 °F A bit below −34% Normal +0.4 °F 79° / 73°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November Normal +0.4 °F A bit below −39% Normal +0.4 °F
December Normal +0.7 °F A bit below −49% A bit above +0.7 °F
January A bit above +1.4 °F A bit below −25% A bit above +1.1 °F
February A bit above +1.6 °F A bit below −34% A bit above +1.3 °F
March A bit above +1.6 °F A bit below −24% A bit above +1.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nouméa climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nouméa is from July to November: highs of 76 °F to 83 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to April, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nouméa, about 7 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: in February 2025.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 86° 72° 6.20 in 11 7.9 79° 4.8 ft 3
FebruaryFeb 87° 73° 7.33 in 13 7.3 80° 5.1 ft 6
MarchMar 86° 72° 9.85 in 15 6.3 80° 5.2 ft 7
AprilApr 83° 70° 5.23 in 10 6.2 78° 5.3 ft 3
MayMay 80° 66° 3.08 in 9 5.9 77° 5.6 ft –
JuneJun 77° 64° 3.28 in 8 5.9 75° 5.6 ft –
JulyJul 76° 61° 2.48 in 7 6.3 73° 5.5 ft –
AugustAug 76° 60° 2.55 in 5 7.0 72° 5.1 ft –
SeptemberSep 79° 62° 1.85 in 5 8.2 73° 5.1 ft –
OctoberOct 81° 64° 2.02 in 5 8.2 74° 4.9 ft –
NovemberNov 83° 67° 2.91 in 6 8.3 76° 4.6 ft –
DecemberDec 86° 70° 3.86 in 9 8.5 78° 4.5 ft 1
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 79° 4.8 ft 3
Feb 80° 5.1 ft 6
Mar 80° 5.2 ft 7
Apr 78° 5.3 ft 3
May 77° 5.6 ft –
Jun 75° 5.6 ft –
Jul 73° 5.5 ft –
Aug 72° 5.1 ft –
Sep 73° 5.1 ft –
Oct 74° 4.9 ft –
Nov 76° 4.6 ft –
Dec 78° 4.5 ft 1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.64 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 80 °F
Tomorrow70 / 73 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 80 °F). Today, 70 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 73 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 54% 0.04 in
  • Fri 30 84% 0.08 in
  • Sat 31 16%
  • Sun 1 45% 0.13 in
  • Mon 2 65% 0.05 in
  • Tue 3 63% 0.02 in
  • Wed 4 59% 0.12 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 54%, with 0.04 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 84% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 0.33 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%
Dew point68 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 68 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now7
Today's peak11extreme

Fri 30: 11 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 9

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Overcast69 / 76 °F011 mph ESE
Tue 27 Light drizzle71 / 75 °F0.06 in8 mph E
Mon 26 Light drizzle70 / 77 °F0.06 in11 mph E
Sun 25 Overcast69 / 78 °F013 mph E
Sat 24 Overcast69 / 76 °F015 mph E
Fri 23 Drizzle69 / 73 °F0.09 in15 mph E
Thu 22 Light drizzle67 / 74 °F0.13 in15 mph E
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast67 / 75 °F015 mph E
Tue 20 Light drizzle67 / 72 °F0.09 in18 mph E
Mon 19 Light drizzle67 / 72 °F0.09 in18 mph E
Sun 18 Light drizzle68 / 72 °F0.02 in18 mph ESE
Sat 17 Light drizzle68 / 72 °F0.02 in18 mph ESE
Fri 16 Light drizzle69 / 72 °F0.06 in19 mph SE
Thu 15 Light drizzle65 / 74 °F0.02 in11 mph ESE
Wed 14 Mainly clear68 / 77 °F012 mph ESE
Tue 13 Partly cloudy70 / 77 °F016 mph ESE
Mon 12 Overcast71 / 76 °F017 mph ESE
Sun 11 Overcast72 / 79 °F013 mph E
Sat 10 Overcast71 / 78 °F010 mph E
Fri 9 Light drizzle69 / 77 °F0.04 in9 mph E
Thu 8 Partly cloudy68 / 75 °F09 mph ESE
Wed 7 Overcast66 / 74 °F011 mph ESE
Tue 6 Partly cloudy68 / 73 °F015 mph ESE
Mon 5 Light drizzle67 / 71 °F0.02 in16 mph ESE
Sun 4 Light drizzle68 / 72 °F0.01 in15 mph ESE
Sat 3 Light drizzle65 / 73 °F0.04 in10 mph ESE
Fri 2 Light rain67 / 70 °F0.48 in17 mph ESE
Thu 1 Rain66 / 70 °F1.12 in17 mph ESE
Wed 30 Light rain65 / 75 °F0.34 in11 mph E
Tue 29 Light drizzle67 / 71 °F0.04 in16 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NouméaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nouméa?

Light drizzle, from 70 °F to 75 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (7 mph) and a 54% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nouméa?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 84% (0.08 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 68 °F and a high of 79 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.06 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nouméa?

The best time to visit Nouméa is from July to November: highs of 76 °F to 83 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nouméa in October?

In October, Nouméa normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 5 rainy days (2.02 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nouméa?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is March (9.85 in) and the driest, September.

When is cyclone season in Nouméa?

Cyclone season: from January to April, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nouméa, about 7 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: in February 2025.

More about Nouméa today

Weather near Nouméa

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:58 am (local time).

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