Weather in Dumbéa

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 11:27 am (GMT+11)

Now · clear sky 75 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 70 / 75 °F
Rain: 65% · 0.04 in
Wind: 12 mph WSW

→ 30.03 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in Dumbéa: light drizzle, 70 °F to 75 °F, with a 65% chance of rain (0.04 in) and a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (12 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 70 °F to 73 °F and a 96% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 79 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

75° 70°
Today
73° 70°
Fri 30
73° 68°
Sat 31
74° 69°
Sun 1
76° 70°
Mon 2
78° 70°
Tue 3
79° 73°
Wed 4
78° 74°
Thu 5
81° 74°
Fri 6
78° 73°
Sat 7
77° 71°
Sun 8
78° 72°
Mon 9
74° 71°
Tue 10
75° 68°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	70 / 75 °F	65% · 0.04 in	13 mph W	2.3 ft	10:06 am · 9:49 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	70 / 73 °F	96% · 0.08 in	12 mph S	3.7 ft	10:55 am · 10:31 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	68 / 73 °F	18%	18 mph ESE	4.1 ft	11:52 am · 11:20 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	69 / 74 °F	65% · 0.13 in	16 mph E	3.9 ft	12:57 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	70 / 76 °F	60% · 0.05 in	14 mph ESE	3.3 ft	12:22 am · 2:10 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 78 °F	58% · 0.02 in	14 mph ESE	2.4 ft	1:58 am · 3:19 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	73 / 79 °F	75% · 0.12 in	6 mph ESE	1.5 ft	3:45 am · 4:18 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 78 °F	57% · 0.12 in	7 mph NE	1.5 ft	5:01 am · 5:07 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	74 / 81 °F	45%	9 mph ENE	1.5 ft	5:57 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	73 / 78 °F	33%	11 mph W	1.2 ft	6:44 am · 6:29 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	71 / 77 °F	35% · 0.07 in	8 mph E	—	7:25 am · 7:05 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	72 / 78 °F	33% · 0.02 in	10 mph ESE	—	8:02 am · 7:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	71 / 74 °F	35% · 0.24 in	5 mph ESE	—	8:37 am · 8:13 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	68 / 75 °F	27%	8 mph SE	—	9:11 am · 8:46 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Mainly clear
Temperature	72°	71°	71°	75°	75°	75°	74°	73°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	35%	55%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NE	5 NNE	1 N	7 SW	13 WSW	12 WSW	10 W	9 W
Humidity	85%	86%	87%	79%	87%	86%	85%	84%
UV	0	0	0	6	10	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	75°	73°	73°	74°	76°	78°	79°
AIFS	76°	73°	72°	72°	76°	77°	79°
GFS	80°	76°	83°	83°	81°	82°	85°
ICON	82°	77°	79°	82°	82°	82°	83°
Confidence	medium	high	low	low	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.04 in	0.08 in	0	0.13 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.12 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.17 in	0.14 in	0.19 in	0.12 in
GFS	0.03 in	0.11 in	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.06 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.04 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1317	1217	1825	1621	1415	1413	610
AIFS	11	11	16	14	9	6	6
GFS	1416	1114	2020	1618	129	1310	1210
ICON	1322	1221	1831	1526	916	1017	1018
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	65%	96%	18%	65%	60%	58%	75%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	21%	81%	39%	45%	64%	55%	32%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +82%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −31%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit below −42%	80° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −31%	81° / 68°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit below −28%	82° / 69°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit below −34%
December	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −53%
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −24%
February	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −40%
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −34%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Dumbéa climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Dumbéa is from August to November: highs of 75 °F to 83 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Dumbéa, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Dovi, in February 2022.

86° 71°

JanJ
87° 72°

FebF
85° 71°

MarM
82° 68°

AprA
78° 64°

MayM
76° 61°

JunJ
74° 59°

JulJ
75° 58°

AugA
78° 60°

SepS
81° 63°

OctO
83° 65°

NovN
86° 69°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	86°	71°	5.99 in	11	7.9	79°	4.8 ft	4
FebruaryFeb	87°	72°	7.03 in	13	7.2	81°	5.1 ft	5
MarchMar	85°	71°	8.95 in	15	6.3	80°	5.2 ft	6
AprilApr	82°	68°	5.79 in	10	6.1	79°	5.3 ft	3
MayMay	78°	64°	6.17 in	9	5.9	77°	5.6 ft	–
JuneJun	76°	61°	3.39 in	8	5.9	75°	5.6 ft	–
JulyJul	74°	59°	2.93 in	7	6.2	73°	5.5 ft	–
AugustAug	75°	58°	3.15 in	5	6.8	72°	5.1 ft	–
SeptemberSep	78°	60°	1.93 in	5	8.0	73°	5.1 ft	–
OctoberOct	81°	63°	1.87 in	5	8.0	74°	4.9 ft	–
NovemberNov	83°	65°	2.40 in	6	8.2	76°	4.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	69°	3.60 in	9	8.6	78°	4.5 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	79°	4.8 ft	4
Feb	81°	5.1 ft	5
Mar	80°	5.2 ft	6
Apr	79°	5.3 ft	3
May	77°	5.6 ft	–
Jun	75°	5.6 ft	–
Jul	73°	5.5 ft	–
Aug	72°	5.1 ft	–
Sep	73°	5.1 ft	–
Oct	74°	4.9 ft	–
Nov	76°	4.6 ft	–
Dec	78°	4.5 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 53.19 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow70 / 73 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 70 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 73 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 65% 0.04 in
Fri 30 96% 0.08 in
Sat 31 18%
Sun 1 65% 0.13 in
Mon 2 60% 0.05 in
Tue 3 58% 0.02 in
Wed 4 75% 0.12 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 65%, with 0.04 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 96% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 0.30 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds1%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now9

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.13

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 22

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	69 / 76 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	71 / 75 °F	0.06 in	8 mph E
Mon 26	Light drizzle	70 / 77 °F	0.06 in	11 mph E
Sun 25	Overcast	69 / 78 °F	0	13 mph E
Sat 24	Overcast	69 / 76 °F	0	15 mph E
Fri 23	Drizzle	69 / 73 °F	0.09 in	15 mph E
Thu 22	Light drizzle	67 / 74 °F	0.13 in	15 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	67 / 75 °F	0	15 mph E
Tue 20	Light drizzle	67 / 72 °F	0.09 in	18 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	67 / 72 °F	0.09 in	18 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	68 / 72 °F	0.02 in	18 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	68 / 72 °F	0.02 in	18 mph ESE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	69 / 72 °F	0.06 in	19 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	65 / 74 °F	0.02 in	11 mph ESE
Wed 14	Mainly clear	68 / 77 °F	0	12 mph ESE
Tue 13	Partly cloudy	70 / 77 °F	0	16 mph ESE
Mon 12	Overcast	71 / 76 °F	0	17 mph ESE
Sun 11	Overcast	72 / 79 °F	0	13 mph E
Sat 10	Overcast	71 / 78 °F	0	10 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	69 / 77 °F	0.04 in	9 mph E
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	68 / 75 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Wed 7	Overcast	66 / 74 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	68 / 73 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	67 / 71 °F	0.02 in	16 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	68 / 72 °F	0.01 in	15 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	65 / 73 °F	0.04 in	10 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light rain	67 / 70 °F	0.48 in	17 mph ESE
Thu 1	Rain	66 / 70 °F	1.12 in	17 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light rain	65 / 75 °F	0.34 in	11 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	67 / 71 °F	0.04 in	16 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in DumbéaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Dumbéa?

Light drizzle, from 70 °F to 75 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (12 mph) and a 65% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Dumbéa?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 96% (0.08 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 68 °F and a high of 79 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.03 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Dumbéa?

The best time to visit Dumbéa is from August to November: highs of 75 °F to 83 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Dumbéa in October?

In October, Dumbéa normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 63 °F, with about 5 rainy days (1.87 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Dumbéa?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 58 °F. The wettest is March (8.95 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Dumbéa?

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Dumbéa, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Dovi, in February 2022.

More about Dumbéa today

Weather near Dumbéa

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:27 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from