Weather in Velsen

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:17 am (CET)

Now · overcast 55 °F

Feels like: 54 °F
Low / high: 51 / 59 °F
Rain: 47%
Wind: 4 mph WSW

→ 30.33 inHg · steady

Today in Velsen: fog, 51 °F to 59 °F, with a 47% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, fog, 46 °F to 55 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 59 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (14%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

59° 51°
Today
55° 46°
Fri 30
55° 48°
Sat 31
55° 49°
Sun 1
55° 49°
Mon 2
52° 46°
Tue 3
52° 42°
Wed 4
49° 39°
Thu 5
51° 43°
Fri 6
47° 37°
Sat 7
50° 38°
Sun 8
54° 47°
Mon 9
57° 51°
Tue 10
54° 50°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Fog	51 / 59 °F	47%	5 mph SW	5:43 am · 6:02 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Fog	46 / 55 °F	0%	5 mph E	6:27 am · 6:46 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	48 / 55 °F	0%	6 mph E	7:12 am · 7:33 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Light rain	49 / 55 °F	13% · 0.01 in	4 mph NNW	8:01 am · 8:24 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light rain	49 / 55 °F	14% · 0.04 in	12 mph N	8:57 am · 9:24 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	46 / 52 °F	8% · 0.01 in	13 mph NE	10:07 am · 10:47 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	42 / 52 °F	1%	4 mph ESE	11:42 am	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	39 / 49 °F	4%	5 mph ENE	1:05 am · 1:01 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	43 / 51 °F	2%	4 mph ENE	2:00 am · 1:56 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	37 / 47 °F	4%	5 mph ESE	2:42 am · 2:42 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	38 / 50 °F	10%	4 mph S	3:16 am · 3:22 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	47 / 54 °F	23% · 0.17 in	8 mph SSE	3:45 am · 3:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	51 / 57 °F	24% · 0.35 in	14 mph S	4:15 am · 4:32 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	50 / 54 °F	29% · 0.09 in	9 mph SSE	4:47 am · 5:06 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Fog	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	55°	55°	53°	53°	59°	59°	55°	54°
Chance of rain	47%	33%	8%	0%	19%	10%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 WSW	3 WSW	2 S	3 SSW	4 WSW	3 W	1 NNW	2 ESE
Humidity	89%	91%	96%	97%	78%	80%	89%	94%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	59°	55°	52°	55°	55°	52°	52°
AIFS	58°	55°	50°	51°	55°	52°	50°
GFS	60°	60°	59°	58°	56°	51°	50°
ICON	59°	55°	55°	55°	55°	50°	48°
ARPEGE	56°	52°	49°	52°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	59°	55°	55°	55°	55°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.03 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.03 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.08 in	0	0
GFS	0.00 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0	0
ARPEGE	0	0	0	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.04 in	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	511	614	817	521	1223	1320	412
AIFS	8	9	8	8	19	16	16
GFS	511	610	510	1326	1628	816	814
ICON	511	612	512	49	1328	1123	1123
ARPEGE	712	1015	1015	712	—	—	—
ICON-EU	510	511	613	410	1225	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	47%	0%	0%	13%	14%	8%	1%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	30%	0%	0%	6%	16%	13%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.6 °F	Below −82%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +22%	49° / 44°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +26%	47° / 43°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	46° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Velsen climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Velsen is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

43° 35°

JanJ
44° 34°

FebF
49° 38°

MarM
56° 41°

AprA
62° 47°

MayM
67° 53°

JunJ
71° 56°

JulJ
71° 56°

AugA
66° 52°

SepS
58° 47°

OctO
50° 41°

NovN
45° 37°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	43°	35°	2.76 in	10	1.3	43°	5.2 ft
FebruaryFeb	44°	34°	2.31 in	9	2.1	42°	4.8 ft
MarchMar	49°	38°	2.13 in	8	3.8	43°	3.7 ft
AprilApr	56°	41°	1.55 in	7	5.9	47°	3.0 ft
MayMay	62°	47°	1.98 in	9	6.6	53°	3.0 ft
JuneJun	67°	53°	2.56 in	10	6.6	58°	3.0 ft
JulyJul	71°	56°	3.02 in	11	6.7	63°	2.8 ft
AugustAug	71°	56°	3.33 in	11	6.2	66°	2.9 ft
SeptemberSep	66°	52°	3.51 in	11	4.9	63°	3.6 ft
OctoberOct	58°	47°	4.35 in	11	3.2	58°	4.4 ft
NovemberNov	50°	41°	3.57 in	12	1.6	52°	4.5 ft
DecemberDec	45°	37°	3.52 in	11	0.8	47°	5.5 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	43°	5.2 ft
Feb	42°	4.8 ft
Mar	43°	3.7 ft
Apr	47°	3.0 ft
May	53°	3.0 ft
Jun	58°	3.0 ft
Jul	63°	2.8 ft
Aug	66°	2.9 ft
Sep	63°	3.6 ft
Oct	58°	4.4 ft
Nov	52°	4.5 ft
Dec	47°	5.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 34.60 in of rain on about 120 days and about 1,500 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now55 °Ffeels like 54 °F

Tomorrow46 / 55 °F

It's 55 °F now (feels like 54 °F). Today, 51 °F to 59 °F; tomorrow, 46 °F to 55 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 47%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 13% 0.01 in
Mon 2 14% 0.04 in
Tue 3 8% 0.01 in
Wed 4 1%

Today the chance of rain reaches 47%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 14% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 1.95 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 53 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds95%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). There may be fog today at 6:00 am, 7:00 am, 8:00 am.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.50

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.17 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 43

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	50 / 57 °F	0.05 in	13 mph WSW
Tue 27	Drizzle	54 / 60 °F	0.12 in	15 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	51 / 55 °F	0.07 in	21 mph SW
Sun 25	Light rain	49 / 56 °F	0.49 in	26 mph WSW
Sat 24	Light rain	48 / 54 °F	0.53 in	25 mph WSW
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	48 / 55 °F	0.47 in	16 mph SE
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	47 / 55 °F	0.41 in	18 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	49 / 54 °F	0.14 in	16 mph S
Tue 20	Drizzle	43 / 52 °F	0.11 in	15 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	50 / 56 °F	0.02 in	12 mph E
Sun 18	Drizzle	47 / 52 °F	0.17 in	12 mph NE
Sat 17	Drizzle	48 / 55 °F	0.17 in	13 mph N
Fri 16	Drizzle	52 / 64 °F	0.21 in	13 mph W
Thu 15	Overcast	54 / 66 °F	0	10 mph SSW
Wed 14	Overcast	53 / 62 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	55 / 67 °F	0.05 in	17 mph SW
Mon 12	Overcast	45 / 60 °F	0	9 mph SSE
Sun 11	Light rain	50 / 58 °F	0.74 in	14 mph W
Sat 10	Drizzle	51 / 58 °F	0.37 in	18 mph W
Fri 9	Light rain	50 / 64 °F	0.79 in	21 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	53 / 58 °F	0.17 in	15 mph NNW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	54 / 68 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NNE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	58 / 69 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WSW
Mon 5	Overcast	55 / 67 °F	0	12 mph SW
Sun 4	Overcast	47 / 65 °F	0	4 mph NNW
Sat 3	Overcast	49 / 67 °F	0	6 mph SW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	54 / 66 °F	0.01 in	7 mph SSW
Thu 1	Drizzle	59 / 68 °F	0.09 in	10 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	63 / 73 °F	0.05 in	9 mph SSE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	60 / 75 °F	0.22 in	11 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in VelsenQuestions

What's the weather like today in Velsen?

Fog, from 51 °F to 59 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph) and a 47% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Velsen?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): fog.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 42 °F and a high of 59 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.33 inHg and steady: +0.20 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Velsen?

The best time to visit Velsen is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Velsen in October?

In October, Velsen normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.35 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 58 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Velsen?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 34 °F. The wettest is October (4.35 in) and the driest, April.

More about Velsen today

Weather near Velsen

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:17 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from