TidePlanet

Weather in Ballum

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:33 am (CET)
Now · overcast 54 °F
Feels like
52 °F
Low / high
52 / 56 °F
Rain
53%
Wind
8 mph SW
→ 30.30 inHg · steady

Today in Ballum: fog, 52 °F to 56 °F, with a 53% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, fog, 47 °F to 52 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 56 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (26%).

Measured now at the airport

AWG-1 Sea (EHMA), 11 mi away · 38 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature55 °F
Wind10 mph from the west-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Fog 52 / 56 °F 53% 9 mph SW 2.6 ft 10:36 am · 10:33 pm ICON-EU
Fri 30 Fog 47 / 52 °F 0% 6 mph SE 1.0 ft 11:06 am · 11:12 pm ICON-EU
Sat 31 Overcast 51 / 55 °F 0% 7 mph NW 0.7 ft 12:48 pm ICON-EU
Sun 1 Light rain 54 / 55 °F 26% · 0.04 in 9 mph NW 3.7 ft 12:14 am · 2:01 pm ICON-EU
Mon 2 Light rain 50 / 55 °F 22% · 0.08 in 21 mph N 5.1 ft 2:14 am · 3:08 pm ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 47 / 52 °F 12% · 0.01 in 14 mph NE 4.1 ft 3:26 am · 4:16 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Overcast 42 / 52 °F 3% 2 mph S 2.6 ft 4:37 am · 5:28 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Overcast 39 / 51 °F 8% 4 mph E 1.4 ft 5:50 am · 6:37 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Overcast 45 / 52 °F 6% 3 mph WNW 1.3 ft 6:57 am · 7:33 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Partly cloudy 37 / 47 °F 7% 6 mph ESE 1.5 ft 7:52 am · 8:19 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Overcast 37 / 49 °F 17% 6 mph S 1.1 ft 8:37 am · 9:00 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 45 / 52 °F 24% · 0.11 in 9 mph SSE 1.5 ft 9:17 am · 9:37 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 50 / 56 °F 24% · 0.35 in 12 mph S 1.8 ft 9:54 am · 10:13 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 53 / 56 °F 29% · 0.10 in 11 mph S 1.5 ft 10:29 am · 10:48 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Partly cloudyOvercastOvercastPartly cloudyPartly cloudyMainly clearClearFog
Temperature 55°55°54°55°56°56°56°53°
Chance of rain 53%25%4%0%17%9%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 9 SW8 SW7 SW6 SW8 SW4 W1 NW3 S
Humidity 91%94%95%93%89%85%88%96%
UV 00001000
Model ICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 58°54°55°55°55°52°52°
AIFS 58°53°50°53°55°51°51°
GFS 58°57°55°56°55°52°50°
ICON 58°51°55°55°55°51°49°
ARPEGE 56°53°53°55°———
ICON-EU 56°52°55°55°55°——
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.04 in000.03 in0.07 in0.01 in0
AIFS 0.01 in000.02 in0.06 in00
GFS 0.02 in000.02 in0.01 in00
ICON 0000.01 in0.05 in00
ARPEGE 0.00 in000.01 in———
ICON-EU 0000.04 in0.08 in——
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 6125851362617271422213
AIFS 86611171413
GFS 12186565242828321720811
ICON 81369611812172716261017
ARPEGE 1116121612161215———
ICON-EU 914697109132130——
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighmedium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 53%0%0%26%22%12%3%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 88%0%0%11%27%13%7%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal −0.5 °F Below −80% A bit above +1.1 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.4 °F Normal A bit above +0.5 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.1 °F Normal A bit above +0.7 °F 49° / 47°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +22% A bit above +0.9 °F 48° / 47°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal +0.7 °F Normal A bit above +1.1 °F 47° / 46°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.3 °F Normal A bit above +1.6 °F
December A bit above +2.5 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F
January A bit above +1.8 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F
February A bit above +1.4 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F
March A bit above +1.4 °F Normal A bit above +1.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Ballum climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ballum is from July to August: highs of 70 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 42° 34° 2.61 in 12 1.4 42° 5.2 ft
FebruaryFeb 42° 33° 2.09 in 9 2.2 41° 4.8 ft
MarchMar 47° 36° 1.86 in 8 4.0 42° 4.0 ft
AprilApr 54° 41° 1.43 in 7 6.0 47° 3.3 ft
MayMay 60° 47° 1.94 in 8 6.9 52° 3.2 ft
JuneJun 65° 52° 2.77 in 10 6.8 58° 3.1 ft
JulyJul 69° 56° 3.19 in 11 6.7 63° 3.0 ft
AugustAug 70° 56° 3.35 in 11 6.5 65° 3.1 ft
SeptemberSep 64° 52° 3.46 in 11 4.9 62° 3.7 ft
OctoberOct 57° 46° 3.63 in 12 3.3 57° 4.5 ft
NovemberNov 49° 40° 3.25 in 12 1.6 51° 4.6 ft
DecemberDec 43° 35° 3.29 in 12 1.0 46° 5.5 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 42° 5.2 ft
Feb 41° 4.8 ft
Mar 42° 4.0 ft
Apr 47° 3.3 ft
May 52° 3.2 ft
Jun 58° 3.1 ft
Jul 63° 3.0 ft
Aug 65° 3.1 ft
Sep 62° 3.7 ft
Oct 57° 4.5 ft
Nov 51° 4.6 ft
Dec 46° 5.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 32.88 in of rain on about 123 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now54 °Ffeels like 52 °F
Tomorrow47 / 52 °F

It's 54 °F now (feels like 52 °F). Today, 52 °F to 56 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 52 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 53%
  • Fri 30 0%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 26% 0.04 in
  • Mon 2 22% 0.08 in
  • Tue 3 12% 0.01 in
  • Wed 4 3%

Today the chance of rain reaches 53%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 26% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.18 in; last 7 days, 1.59 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%
Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 53 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.7 migood
Clouds94%

Visibility is good now (8.7 mi). There may be fog today at 9:00 pm, 10:00 pm, 11:00 pm.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.22 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26
PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light drizzle49 / 57 °F0.03 in14 mph WSW
Tue 27 Drizzle53 / 61 °F0.11 in19 mph SSW
Mon 26 Light drizzle51 / 56 °F0.09 in24 mph SW
Sun 25 Light rain48 / 54 °F0.69 in30 mph WSW
Sat 24 Heavy drizzle48 / 54 °F0.25 in29 mph WSW
Fri 23 Drizzle46 / 54 °F0.20 in17 mph SE
Thu 22 Heavy drizzle46 / 53 °F0.27 in18 mph SSW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Drizzle43 / 56 °F0.11 in17 mph SSE
Tue 20 Overcast40 / 50 °F016 mph E
Mon 19 Overcast46 / 55 °F014 mph E
Sun 18 Drizzle49 / 53 °F0.20 in16 mph ENE
Sat 17 Drizzle51 / 56 °F0.17 in16 mph N
Fri 16 Drizzle54 / 63 °F0.17 in14 mph WSW
Thu 15 Overcast53 / 64 °F013 mph SSW
Wed 14 Overcast52 / 60 °F017 mph W
Tue 13 Drizzle51 / 63 °F0.09 in19 mph SSW
Mon 12 Light drizzle48 / 59 °F0.01 in11 mph S
Sun 11 Drizzle49 / 58 °F0.39 in13 mph WNW
Sat 10 Light rain50 / 56 °F0.52 in18 mph W
Fri 9 Light rain51 / 62 °F0.66 in20 mph WSW
Thu 8 Light drizzle54 / 58 °F0.13 in20 mph NW
Wed 7 Light drizzle54 / 69 °F0.04 in14 mph NE
Tue 6 Light drizzle56 / 67 °F0.02 in9 mph WSW
Mon 5 Overcast53 / 67 °F014 mph SW
Sun 4 Overcast49 / 63 °F07 mph WSW
Sat 3 Overcast49 / 66 °F09 mph SW
Fri 2 Light drizzle50 / 67 °F0.01 in9 mph SSW
Thu 1 Drizzle59 / 68 °F0.20 in12 mph WSW
Wed 30 Overcast61 / 75 °F010 mph SSE
Tue 29 Drizzle59 / 74 °F0.17 in11 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in BallumQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ballum?

Fog, from 52 °F to 56 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph) and a 53% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ballum?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): fog.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 42 °F and a high of 56 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.30 inHg and steady: +0.19 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ballum?

The best time to visit Ballum is from July to August: highs of 70 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ballum in October?

In October, Ballum normally sees highs of 57 °F and lows of 46 °F, with about 12 rainy days (3.63 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 57 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ballum?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 70 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 33 °F. The wettest is October (3.63 in) and the driest, April.

More about Ballum today

Weather near Ballum

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:33 am (local time).

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