Weather in Las Conchas

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:27 pm (GMT-7)

Now · mainly clear 76 °F

Feels like: 79 °F
Low / high: 61 / 84 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 5 mph SSW

→ 29.86 inHg · steady

Today in Las Conchas: overcast, 61 °F to 84 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 68 °F to 83 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 84 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (23%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 61°
Today
83° 68°
Thu 29
79° 68°
Fri 30
80° 66°
Sat 31
78° 66°
Sun 1
79° 60°
Mon 2
79° 57°
Tue 3
78° 58°
Wed 4
77° 57°
Thu 5
76° 57°
Fri 6
76° 57°
Sat 7
84° 56°
Sun 8
89° 65°
Mon 9
92° 67°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	61 / 84 °F	0%	13 mph SE	1.4 ft	4:16 am · 3:29 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	68 / 83 °F	2%	14 mph SSE	3.0 ft	5:18 am · 4:14 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	68 / 79 °F	23% · 0.05 in	18 mph S	4.4 ft	6:35 am · 5:11 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	66 / 80 °F	27% · 0.02 in	13 mph SSE	2.1 ft	8:09 am · 6:26 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light rain	66 / 78 °F	73% · 0.45 in	22 mph S	6.2 ft	9:41 am · 7:59 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	60 / 79 °F	19%	12 mph NNW	4.3 ft	10:35 am · 9:33 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	57 / 79 °F	1%	12 mph NNW	1.9 ft	11:14 am · 10:48 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	58 / 78 °F	4%	7 mph NNW	1.9 ft	11:47 am · 11:49 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	57 / 77 °F	1%	6 mph SE	1.6 ft	12:18 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	57 / 76 °F	8%	6 mph S	0.7 ft	12:42 am · 12:47 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	57 / 76 °F	8%	7 mph NNW	0.7 ft	1:30 am · 1:15 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Clear sky	56 / 84 °F	11% · 0.02 in	10 mph NW	1.0 ft	2:13 am · 1:42 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	65 / 89 °F	2%	7 mph NNE	1.2 ft	2:54 am · 2:09 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	67 / 92 °F	6%	5 mph N	1.6 ft	3:35 am · 2:35 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 1:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	64°	63°	62°	74°	81°	84°	77°	73°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 ENE	7 ENE	8 ENE	11 ESE	13 SSE	8 S	5 SSW	5 S
Humidity	75%	72%	66%	56%	50%	45%	69%	75%
UV	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	86°	84°	79°	81°	78°	74°	78°
AIFS	85°	82°	77°	77°	78°	76°	81°
GFS	80°	80°	78°	77°	74°	80°	83°
ICON	82°	81°	79°	79°	75°	78°	81°
HRRR	84°	79°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	84°	83°	79°	80°	78°	79°	79°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.13 in	0.46 in	0.02 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0.19 in	0.35 in	0.76 in	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.25 in	0.03 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.83 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.45 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	low	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	918	1323	1930	1323	1823	1429	720
AIFS	9	12	15	12	21	12	10
GFS	1112	1215	2025	1313	1922	1514	1313
ICON	815	816	1323	1119	1322	1223	1121
HRRR	1318	1419	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1114	1219	1822	1316	2228	1216	1216
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	29%	73%	84%	22%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	25%	16%	45%	16%	0%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	2%	23%	27%	73%	19%	1%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	1%	8%	2%	11%	3%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a much warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.8 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +3.4 °F	78° / 67°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Well above +4.1 °F	75° / 65°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	Well above +4.3 °F	73° / 62°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Well above +4.7 °F	70° / 60°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +2.9 °F	Well above +101%	—
December	Above +2.9 °F	Above +85%	—
January	Above +3.4 °F	Well above +131%	—
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	Well above +155%	—
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Well above +171%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Las Conchas climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Las Conchas is from March to April and in November: highs of 79 °F to 85 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Las Conchas: 2 within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), most recently Odile, in September 2014.

71° 44°

JanJ
74° 47°

FebF
79° 51°

MarM
85° 56°

AprA
90° 62°

MayM
97° 70°

JunJ
100° 78°

JulJ
100° 78°

AugA
98° 74°

SepS
89° 62°

OctO
79° 51°

NovN
70° 44°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	71°	44°	0.31 in	2	6.7	62°	1.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	74°	47°	0.35 in	2	7.1	63°	1.2 ft
MarchMar	79°	51°	0.21 in	2	8.8	65°	1.1 ft
AprilApr	85°	56°	0.05 in	1	10.0	69°	1.5 ft
MayMay	90°	62°	0.03 in	0	10.8	74°	1.6 ft
JuneJun	97°	70°	0.00 in	0	11.3	78°	1.6 ft
JulyJul	100°	78°	0.24 in	2	10.1	84°	1.7 ft
AugustAug	100°	78°	0.37 in	3	9.6	87°	1.7 ft
SeptemberSep	98°	74°	0.48 in	2	9.1	87°	1.5 ft
OctoberOct	89°	62°	0.45 in	1	8.8	81°	1.2 ft
NovemberNov	79°	51°	0.22 in	1	7.6	73°	1.3 ft
DecemberDec	70°	44°	0.38 in	2	6.6	66°	1.3 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	62°	1.1 ft
Feb	63°	1.2 ft
Mar	65°	1.1 ft
Apr	69°	1.5 ft
May	74°	1.6 ft
Jun	78°	1.6 ft
Jul	84°	1.7 ft
Aug	87°	1.7 ft
Sep	87°	1.5 ft
Oct	81°	1.2 ft
Nov	73°	1.3 ft
Dec	66°	1.3 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 3.11 in of rain on about 18 days and about 3,250 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 79 °F

Tomorrow68 / 83 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 61 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 68 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 2%
Fri 30 23% 0.05 in
Sat 31 27% 0.02 in
Sun 1 73% 0.45 in
Mon 2 19%
Tue 3 1%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 23% and 0.05 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point65 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 65 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds20%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.77

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 33

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Clear sky	62 / 87 °F	0	8 mph SE
Mon 26	Mainly clear	66 / 89 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Sun 25	Mainly clear	63 / 87 °F	0	10 mph N
Sat 24	Mainly clear	64 / 82 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Fri 23	Clear sky	65 / 82 °F	0	12 mph NW
Thu 22	Overcast	74 / 85 °F	0	17 mph SSW
Wed 21	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.02 in	15 mph S

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	68 / 90 °F	0	9 mph SSE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	66 / 86 °F	0	9 mph N
Sun 18	Light rain	68 / 84 °F	0.27 in	8 mph NW
Sat 17	Rain	67 / 78 °F	0.64 in	13 mph N
Fri 16	Overcast	76 / 100 °F	0	18 mph E
Thu 15	Clear sky	62 / 91 °F	0	14 mph N
Wed 14	Clear sky	60 / 83 °F	0	11 mph N
Tue 13	Light drizzle	67 / 79 °F	0.02 in	12 mph NW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	0.08 in	17 mph SSW
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.22 in	27 mph SSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	79 / 94 °F	0.02 in	24 mph SSE
Fri 9	Mainly clear	78 / 100 °F	0	10 mph S
Thu 8	Clear sky	82 / 102 °F	0	11 mph W
Wed 7	Clear sky	83 / 104 °F	0	15 mph WNW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	80 / 98 °F	0.02 in	16 mph W
Mon 5	Mainly clear	85 / 101 °F	0	16 mph ESE
Sun 4	Clear sky	85 / 100 °F	0	12 mph N
Sat 3	Clear sky	83 / 98 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Fri 2	Clear sky	82 / 103 °F	0	16 mph NE
Thu 1	Clear sky	73 / 100 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Wed 30	Clear sky	71 / 92 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Tue 29	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.09 in	15 mph NW
Mon 28	Drizzle	81 / 90 °F	0.06 in	19 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Las ConchasQuestions

What's the weather like today in Las Conchas?

Overcast, from 61 °F to 84 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Las Conchas?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 57 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.86 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Las Conchas?

The best time to visit Las Conchas is from March to April and in November: highs of 79 °F to 85 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Las Conchas in October?

In October, Las Conchas normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 62 °F, with about 1 rainy days (0.45 in for the month) and 9 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Las Conchas?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 100 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 44 °F. The wettest is September (0.48 in) and the driest, June.

More about Las Conchas today

Weather near Las Conchas

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:27 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from