Weather in Las Bocas
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:13 pm (GMT-7)- Feels like
- 85 °F
- Low / high
- 68 / 89 °F
- Rain
- 9%
- Wind
- 11 mph S
Today in Las Bocas: overcast, 68 °F to 89 °F, with a 9% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the south (11 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 87 °F and a 17% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (71%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 68 / 89 °F | 9% | 15 mph WSW | 1.2 ft | 8:55 am | HRRR | |
| Thu 29 | 74 / 87 °F | 17% | 20 mph SSE | 1.4 ft | 9:10 am | HRRR + NBM | |
| Fri 30 | 68 / 84 °F | 71% · 0.57 in | 14 mph SE | 2.3 ft | 9:23 am | NBM | |
| Sat 31 | 70 / 87 °F | 33% · 0.05 in | 10 mph SSW | 1.4 ft | 9:24 am | NBM | |
| Sun 1 | 70 / 87 °F | 1% | 12 mph W | 1.0 ft | 7:16 am | NBM | |
| Mon 2 | 70 / 88 °F | 1% | 18 mph NW | 2.6 ft | 6:35 am · 4:40 pm | NBM | |
| Tue 3 | 67 / 86 °F | 0% | 14 mph NW | 3.1 ft | 6:41 am · 6:05 pm | NBM | |
| Wed 4 | 66 / 86 °F | 1% | 12 mph W | 2.8 ft | 6:51 am · 7:06 pm | NBM | |
| Thu 5 | 67 / 87 °F | 1% | 11 mph W | 1.2 ft | 7:01 am · 7:59 pm | NBM | |
| Fri 6 | 67 / 86 °F | 5% | 11 mph S | 1.3 ft | 7:12 am · 8:48 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 7 | 67 / 86 °F | 19% · 0.17 in | 11 mph SW | 1.0 ft | 7:22 am · 9:35 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 8 | 66 / 85 °F | 12% · 0.07 in | 12 mph WNW | 1.4 ft | 7:34 am · 10:20 pm | NBM + ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 70 / 87 °F | 4% | 16 mph WNW | 3.2 ft | 7:49 am · 11:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 69 / 87 °F | 4% | 13 mph WNW | 3.1 ft | 8:04 am | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 6:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Partly cloudy | Clear sky | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Clear | Clear |
| Temperature | 75° | 72° | 68° | 81° | 89° | 87° | 82° | 80° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 7% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 6 NNW | 7 NNW | 3 NE | 1 SSE | 10 W | 13 WSW | 11 SW | 10 S |
| Humidity | 52% | 59% | 54% | 50% | 39% | 52% | 64% | 74% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 90° | 89° | 83° | 86° | 86° | 84° | 83° |
| AIFS | 90° | 87° | 82° | 86° | 87° | 85° | 83° |
| GFS | 88° | 84° | 86° | 86° | 86° | 90° | 88° |
| ICON | 94° | 89° | 89° | 89° | 89° | 91° | 85° |
| HRRR | 89° | 87° | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 89° | 86° | 84° | 87° | 87° | 88° | 86° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | medium | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.04 in | 0.47 in | 0.01 in | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 |
| AIFS | 0 | 0.12 in | 0.90 in | 0.24 in | 0.02 in | 0.05 in | 0 |
| GFS | 0.07 in | 0.22 in | 0.19 in | 0.07 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0.00 in | 0.03 in | 0.74 in | 0.10 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| HRRR | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 0.01 in | 0 | 0.57 in | 0.05 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | high | medium | high | high | high | high | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1121 | 1322 | 1427 | 814 | 715 | 1324 | 1630 |
| AIFS | 7 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| GFS | 1314 | 1112 | 1114 | 99 | 1112 | 2124 | 1618 |
| ICON | 1320 | 814 | 1628 | 1016 | 1016 | 1526 | 1220 |
| HRRR | 1517 | 2025 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 1113 | 1112 | 1417 | 1011 | 1213 | 1823 | 1417 |
| Confidence | high | medium | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 22% | 25% | 88% | 42% | 8% | 18% | 4% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 68% | 69% | 89% | 82% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| NBM (NOAA) | 9% | 17% | 71% | 33% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Thunderstorm (NBM) | 2% | 5% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 0% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Normal −0.5 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Well above +129% | 91° / 65° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Above +91% | 88° / 64° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.1 °F | Above +78% | 84° / 61° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal +0.7 °F | Above +81% | 81° / 58° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.2 °F | Well above +101% |
| December | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit above +37% |
| January | A bit above +1.6 °F | Above +70% |
| February | Normal 0.0 °F | Well above +130% |
| March | Normal +0.2 °F | Well above +190% |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Las Bocas climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Las Bocas is from November to March: highs of 76 °F to 84 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Las Bocas, about 2 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ileana, in September 2024.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 77° | 48° | 0.59 in | 1 | 6.6 | 66° | 1.9 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 79° | 50° | 0.35 in | 2 | 7.0 | 66° | 1.7 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 83° | 52° | 0.13 in | 1 | 7.9 | 67° | 1.5 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 89° | 56° | 0.03 in | 0 | 8.2 | 70° | 1.5 ft | – |
| MayMay | 94° | 63° | 0.06 in | 0 | 9.1 | 76° | 1.5 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 98° | 73° | 0.37 in | 3 | 8.8 | 81° | 1.8 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 98° | 77° | 2.60 in | 16 | 7.5 | 85° | 1.6 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 97° | 77° | 3.98 in | 18 | 7.6 | 87° | 1.5 ft | – |
| SeptemberSep | 96° | 76° | 3.56 in | 11 | 7.1 | 86° | 1.6 ft | 4 |
| OctoberOct | 93° | 68° | 1.17 in | 3 | 7.8 | 84° | 1.6 ft | 2 |
| NovemberNov | 84° | 57° | 0.69 in | 2 | 7.4 | 76° | 1.8 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 76° | 49° | 0.58 in | 2 | 6.5 | 69° | 1.9 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 66° | 1.9 ft | – |
| Feb | 66° | 1.7 ft | – |
| Mar | 67° | 1.5 ft | – |
| Apr | 70° | 1.5 ft | – |
| May | 76° | 1.5 ft | – |
| Jun | 81° | 1.8 ft | – |
| Jul | 85° | 1.6 ft | – |
| Aug | 87° | 1.5 ft | – |
| Sep | 86° | 1.6 ft | 4 |
| Oct | 84° | 1.6 ft | 2 |
| Nov | 76° | 1.8 ft | – |
| Dec | 69° | 1.9 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 14.11 in of rain on about 59 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 81 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 68 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 87 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 9%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 71% and 0.57 in.
No rain in the last 7 days.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Rising now (+0.07 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Overcast | 73 / 88 °F | 0 | 15 mph NW |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 75 / 89 °F | 0 | 15 mph NW |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 77 / 88 °F | 0 | 16 mph NW |
| Sat 24 | Partly cloudy | 77 / 89 °F | 0 | 12 mph WNW |
| Fri 23 | Clear sky | 82 / 90 °F | 0 | 17 mph WNW |
| Thu 22 | Overcast | 83 / 92 °F | 0 | 13 mph WNW |
| Wed 21 | Partly cloudy | 81 / 93 °F | 0 | 14 mph W |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Clear sky | 80 / 95 °F | 0 | 14 mph WNW |
| Mon 19 | Clear sky | 79 / 92 °F | 0 | 15 mph WNW |
| Sun 18 | Mainly clear | 80 / 96 °F | 0 | 14 mph WNW |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 80 / 95 °F | 0.05 in | 22 mph ENE |
| Fri 16 | Mainly clear | 78 / 100 °F | 0 | 25 mph ENE |
| Thu 15 | Clear sky | 76 / 90 °F | 0 | 17 mph NW |
| Wed 14 | Clear sky | 80 / 92 °F | 0 | 17 mph NW |
| Tue 13 | Partly cloudy | 79 / 91 °F | 0 | 15 mph WNW |
| Mon 12 | Partly cloudy | 78 / 92 °F | 0 | 15 mph WNW |
| Sun 11 | Drizzle | 79 / 89 °F | 0.09 in | 10 mph SSW |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 83 / 93 °F | 0.01 in | 13 mph S |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 84 / 96 °F | 0.02 in | 10 mph SSW |
| Thu 8 | Clear sky | 84 / 95 °F | 0 | 12 mph WSW |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 84 / 94 °F | 0.02 in | 14 mph WNW |
| Tue 6 | Clear sky | 82 / 93 °F | 0 | 15 mph WNW |
| Mon 5 | Thunderstorm | 84 / 90 °F | 0.63 in | 11 mph WNW |
| Sun 4 | Partly cloudy | 82 / 94 °F | 0 | 14 mph SW |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 84 / 97 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph S |
| Fri 2 | Light drizzle | 81 / 96 °F | 0.01 in | 13 mph WNW |
| Thu 1 | Mainly clear | 79 / 93 °F | 0 | 14 mph WNW |
| Wed 30 | Light rain | 75 / 93 °F | 0.30 in | 13 mph SSE |
| Tue 29 | Light showers | 76 / 88 °F | 0.77 in | 24 mph SE |
| Mon 28 | Light drizzle | 82 / 95 °F | 0.06 in | 12 mph SSE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Las BocasQuestions
What's the weather like today in Las Bocas?
Overcast, from 68 °F to 89 °F, with a gentle breeze from the south (11 mph) and a 9% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Las Bocas?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 17% (0.00 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 67 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.90 inHg and rising: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Las Bocas?
The best time to visit Las Bocas is from November to March: highs of 76 °F to 84 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Las Bocas in October?
In October, Las Bocas normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 3 rainy days (1.17 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Las Bocas?
The warmest is June, with average highs of 98 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 48 °F. The wettest is August (3.98 in) and the driest, April.
When is hurricane season in Las Bocas?
Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Las Bocas, about 2 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ileana, in September 2024.
More about Las Bocas today
Weather near Las Bocas
- Yavaros 81 °F · clear · 14 mi
- Agiabampo Uno 80 °F · clear · 19 mi
- Paredoncito 80 °F · clear · 48 mi
- El Colorado 79 °F · partly cloudy · 57 mi
- Topolobampo 79 °F · clear · 71 mi
- El Huitusi 80 °F · clear · 82 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:13 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from