Weather in Ceuta

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:00 am (GMT-7)

Now · overcast 75 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 73 / 82 °F
Rain: 62% · 1.26 in
Wind: 16 mph E

→ 29.84 inHg · steady

Today in Ceuta: showers, 73 °F to 82 °F, with a 62% chance of rain (1.26 in) and a moderate breeze from the east (16 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 73 °F to 87 °F and a 38% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 73°
Today
87° 73°
Fri 30
88° 75°
Sat 31
89° 76°
Sun 1
89° 76°
Mon 2
88° 76°
Tue 3
87° 73°
Wed 4
88° 73°
Thu 5
87° 73°
Fri 6
87° 73°
Sat 7
87° 73°
Sun 8
86° 69°
Mon 9
86° 67°
Tue 10
87° 67°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Showers	73 / 82 °F	62% · 1.26 in	19 mph ESE	8.4 ft	9:19 am · 11:32 pm	NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	38% · 0.32 in	13 mph SE	4.5 ft	9:59 am	NBM
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	75 / 88 °F	2%	10 mph NW	3.7 ft	10:52 am	NBM
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	76 / 89 °F	0%	13 mph NW	3.9 ft	4:55 am · 1:02 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	76 / 89 °F	0%	15 mph NW	4.2 ft	5:05 am · 3:46 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Mainly clear	76 / 88 °F	1%	13 mph NW	4.1 ft	5:27 am · 5:06 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Mainly clear	73 / 87 °F	0%	9 mph NW	3.3 ft	5:49 am · 5:59 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	73 / 88 °F	1%	9 mph NW	2.6 ft	6:10 am · 6:42 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	73 / 87 °F	1%	9 mph NW	2.6 ft	6:32 am · 7:20 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	73 / 87 °F	2%	8 mph WNW	2.8 ft	6:53 am · 7:55 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	73 / 87 °F	4% · 0.07 in	9 mph NNW	2.7 ft	7:13 am · 8:27 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Clear sky	69 / 86 °F	2%	10 mph WNW	3.0 ft	7:35 am · 8:57 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	67 / 86 °F	0%	10 mph WNW	3.2 ft	7:56 am · 9:27 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Clear sky	67 / 87 °F	2%	11 mph WNW	3.5 ft	8:18 am · 9:59 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: NBM until Monday 9 12:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle	Rain	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light showers
Temperature	75°	75°	73°	79°	81°	81°	78°	77°
Chance of rain	42%	27%	46%	62%	56%	34%	45%	26%
Rain	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.07 in	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.05 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	14 E	16 E	16 E	19 ESE	18 ESE	17 SE	16 SE	15 SE
Humidity	94%	92%	97%	82%	84%	82%	88%	90%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0
Model	NBM	NBM	NBM	NBM	NBM	NBM	NBM	NBM

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 5 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	80°	85°	86°	87°	88°	91°	85°
AIFS	79°	82°	85°	85°	85°	84°	83°
GFS	76°	82°	83°	83°	83°	82°	81°
ICON	81°	88°	89°	89°	89°	89°	86°
NBM	82°	87°	88°	89°	89°	88°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.72 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.92 in	0.21 in	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.96 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.96 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0	0
NBM	1.26 in	0.32 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	low	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2139	915	918	1218	1218	1526	620
AIFS	11	9	7	7	13	10	6
GFS	1727	910	1012	1317	1421	1212	89
ICON	1629	1018	915	1118	1016	1220	1016
NBM	1924	1315	1011	1314	1516	1314	99
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	88%	67%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	97%	30%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NBM (NOAA)	62%	38%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	7%	16%	6%	6%	8%	8%	2%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −89%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	87° / 68°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +129%	85° / 66°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +81%	83° / 64°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +83%
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +26%
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +49%
March	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ceuta climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ceuta is from December to April: highs of 82 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ceuta, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Orlene, in October 2022.

82° 53°

JanJ
83° 53°

FebF
84° 55°

MarM
87° 58°

AprA
91° 65°

MayM
95° 74°

JunJ
95° 76°

JulJ
95° 76°

AugA
94° 76°

SepS
94° 72°

OctO
90° 62°

NovN
84° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	53°	0.37 in	1	6.1	72°	2.0 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	83°	53°	0.39 in	1	6.8	71°	2.2 ft	–
MarchMar	84°	55°	0.19 in	1	7.7	70°	2.5 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	58°	0.02 in	0	7.8	73°	2.7 ft	–
MayMay	91°	65°	0.02 in	0	8.3	77°	2.9 ft	–
JuneJun	95°	74°	1.26 in	4	7.3	82°	3.1 ft	–
JulyJul	95°	76°	4.92 in	18	6.7	85°	2.9 ft	–
AugustAug	95°	76°	7.32 in	22	6.7	86°	2.9 ft	2
SeptemberSep	94°	76°	7.28 in	16	6.2	86°	3.2 ft	3
OctoberOct	94°	72°	2.26 in	4	7.3	85°	2.8 ft	5
NovemberNov	90°	62°	1.85 in	2	7.1	80°	2.5 ft	1
DecemberDec	84°	55°	0.36 in	1	6.2	74°	2.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	72°	2.0 ft	–
Feb	71°	2.2 ft	–
Mar	70°	2.5 ft	–
Apr	73°	2.7 ft	–
May	77°	2.9 ft	–
Jun	82°	3.1 ft	–
Jul	85°	2.9 ft	–
Aug	86°	2.9 ft	2
Sep	86°	3.2 ft	3
Oct	85°	2.8 ft	5
Nov	80°	2.5 ft	1
Dec	74°	2.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 26.24 in of rain on about 70 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow73 / 87 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 73 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 62% 1.26 in
Fri 30 38% 0.32 in
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 0%
Tue 3 1%
Wed 4 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 62%, with 1.26 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 38% and 0.32 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.80 in; last 3 days, 0.93 in; last 7 days, 1.09 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood

Clouds91%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Showers	74 / 81 °F	1.03 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.05 in	11 mph W
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SSW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.06 in	9 mph WNW
Sat 24	Drizzle	76 / 94 °F	0.07 in	11 mph WNW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	80 / 92 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NW
Thu 22	Overcast	81 / 93 °F	0	11 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	80 / 92 °F	0	9 mph W
Tue 20	Clear sky	79 / 92 °F	0	7 mph SW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	79 / 92 °F	0	8 mph W
Sun 18	Overcast	81 / 95 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	78 / 95 °F	0.02 in	8 mph N
Fri 16	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.05 in	8 mph SSE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	80 / 93 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	82 / 93 °F	0	14 mph NW
Tue 13	Partly cloudy	80 / 91 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	79 / 93 °F	0.01 in	13 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	81 / 95 °F	0.02 in	14 mph WNW
Sat 10	Overcast	80 / 92 °F	0	9 mph W
Fri 9	Clear sky	79 / 91 °F	0	9 mph W
Thu 8	Showers	81 / 90 °F	0.51 in	11 mph WNW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.01 in	8 mph W
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	80 / 91 °F	0	12 mph NW
Mon 5	Drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.24 in	10 mph NW
Sun 4	Light showers	78 / 91 °F	0.19 in	8 mph SSE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.22 in	9 mph SE
Fri 2	Drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.27 in	8 mph WSW
Thu 1	Light showers	80 / 93 °F	0.34 in	6 mph NE
Wed 30	Thunderstorm	78 / 90 °F	0.89 in	7 mph E
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	77 / 88 °F	1.28 in	11 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CeutaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ceuta?

Showers, from 73 °F to 82 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east (16 mph) and a 62% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ceuta?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 38% (0.32 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.84 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ceuta?

The best time to visit Ceuta is from December to April: highs of 82 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ceuta in October?

In October, Ceuta normally sees highs of 94 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 4 rainy days (2.26 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ceuta?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 95 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is August (7.32 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Ceuta?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ceuta, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Orlene, in October 2022.

More about Ceuta today

Weather near Ceuta

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:00 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from