Weather in Xcalak

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:57 pm (EST)

Now · partly cloudy 74 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 74 / 87 °F
Rain: 57% · 0.05 in
Wind: 3 mph ENE

→ 29.96 inHg · steady UV 9 · very high

Today in Xcalak: light drizzle, 74 °F to 87 °F, with a 57% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a light air from the east-northeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 72 °F to 85 °F and a 29% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 87 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (16%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 74°
Today
85° 72°
Thu 29
85° 76°
Fri 30
82° 76°
Sat 31
86° 72°
Sun 1
85° 75°
Mon 2
84° 75°
Tue 3
87° 75°
Wed 4
86° 76°
Thu 5
85° 76°
Fri 6
82° 72°
Sat 7
80° 70°
Sun 8
83° 70°
Mon 9
83° 70°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	57% · 0.05 in	9 mph N	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	72 / 85 °F	29% · 0.01 in	8 mph NW	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	76 / 85 °F	16% · 0.43 in	7 mph WNW	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	76 / 82 °F	70% · 0.61 in	5 mph SE	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	72 / 86 °F	71% · 0.06 in	5 mph NE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	78% · 0.06 in	6 mph NNE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	75 / 84 °F	72% · 0.15 in	6 mph ENE	0.8 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	75 / 87 °F	46%	7 mph ESE	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	76 / 86 °F	55% · 0.35 in	9 mph WSW	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	76 / 85 °F	49% · 0.08 in	13 mph WNW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	72 / 82 °F	41%	12 mph WNW	2.3 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	70 / 80 °F	48%	11 mph NW	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	70 / 83 °F	42%	9 mph N	2.5 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	37% · 0.02 in	10 mph NNE	3.7 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy
Temperature	76°	75°	74°	79°	85°	87°	80°	75°
Chance of rain	14%	7%	3%	0%	17%	52%	37%	6%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 NNE	8 N	8 N	8 N	8 NNW	4 N	4 ENE	4 E
Humidity	94%	94%	95%	79%	60%	53%	75%	89%
UV	0	0	0	2	9	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	87°	85°	85°	82°	86°	85°	84°
AIFS	83°	85°	84°	83°	84°	84°	84°
GFS	84°	86°	87°	84°	86°	85°	85°
ICON	87°	85°	86°	86°	88°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.05 in	0.01 in	0.43 in	0.61 in	0.06 in	0.06 in	0.15 in
AIFS	0.04 in	0	0.02 in	0.08 in	0.05 in	0.08 in	0.06 in
GFS	0.21 in	0	0	0.06 in	0.05 in	0.13 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0.00 in	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	917	815	715	511	514	615	615
AIFS	10	9	7	7	7	6	4
GFS	814	712	812	813	813	813	814
ICON	715	716	614	613	511	412	817
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	57%	29%	16%	70%	71%	78%	72%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	6%	29%	58%	42%	32%	19%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Below −58%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −20%	A bit above +1.4 °F	82° / 77°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	82° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −34%	A bit above +1.3 °F	82° / 78°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −27%	A bit above +1.3 °F	82° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −25%	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −30%	A bit above +1.6 °F
January	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −43%	A bit above +1.3 °F
February	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −40%	A bit above +1.3 °F
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Xcalak climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Xcalak is from February to April: highs of 83 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Xcalak, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sara, in November 2024.

82° 70°

JanJ
83° 71°

FebF
85° 72°

MarM
87° 75°

AprA
89° 76°

MayM
89° 76°

JunJ
90° 77°

JulJ
90° 77°

AugA
90° 77°

SepS
88° 74°

OctO
85° 72°

NovN
83° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	70°	3.16 in	8	6.8	79°	2.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	83°	71°	1.18 in	5	7.8	80°	2.5 ft	–
MarchMar	85°	72°	0.64 in	3	8.0	80°	2.5 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	75°	1.41 in	4	7.6	82°	2.5 ft	–
MayMay	89°	76°	3.11 in	8	7.5	83°	2.4 ft	1
JuneJun	89°	76°	5.93 in	14	7.1	84°	2.6 ft	1
JulyJul	90°	77°	2.61 in	13	7.8	84°	2.1 ft	–
AugustAug	90°	77°	4.52 in	14	7.7	85°	2.0 ft	7
SeptemberSep	90°	77°	7.33 in	18	7.3	85°	1.7 ft	2
OctoberOct	88°	74°	8.77 in	17	6.6	84°	1.7 ft	4
NovemberNov	85°	72°	6.06 in	11	7.1	82°	1.9 ft	2
DecemberDec	83°	70°	3.30 in	9	6.7	81°	2.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	79°	2.3 ft	–
Feb	80°	2.5 ft	–
Mar	80°	2.5 ft	–
Apr	82°	2.5 ft	–
May	83°	2.4 ft	1
Jun	84°	2.6 ft	1
Jul	84°	2.1 ft	–
Aug	85°	2.0 ft	7
Sep	85°	1.7 ft	2
Oct	84°	1.7 ft	4
Nov	82°	1.9 ft	2
Dec	81°	2.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 48.01 in of rain on about 124 days and about 2,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now74 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow72 / 85 °F

It's 74 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 74 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 57% 0.05 in
Thu 29 29% 0.01 in
Fri 30 16% 0.43 in
Sat 31 70% 0.61 in
Sun 1 71% 0.06 in
Mon 2 78% 0.06 in
Tue 3 72% 0.15 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 57%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 16% and 0.43 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 0.47 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity90%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds57%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.83

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.04 in	9 mph NNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	72 / 86 °F	0.03 in	10 mph NNW
Sun 25	Drizzle	71 / 83 °F	0.14 in	10 mph N
Sat 24	Overcast	73 / 87 °F	0	9 mph N
Fri 23	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.01 in	10 mph N
Thu 22	Drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.20 in	9 mph NNE
Wed 21	Showers	75 / 87 °F	0.71 in	8 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.18 in	8 mph NNE
Mon 19	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.14 in	8 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light rain	73 / 89 °F	0.39 in	9 mph NE
Sat 17	Showers	75 / 81 °F	1.28 in	9 mph NE
Fri 16	Thunderstorm	75 / 80 °F	1.59 in	11 mph E
Thu 15	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.60 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.40 in	8 mph NE
Tue 13	Drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.17 in	12 mph NE
Mon 12	Drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NE
Sun 11	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.34 in	9 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.09 in	7 mph SE
Fri 9	Showers	77 / 89 °F	0.30 in	9 mph SW
Thu 8	Showers	77 / 89 °F	0.49 in	10 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.28 in	8 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.10 in	10 mph ESE
Mon 5	Drizzle	81 / 89 °F	0.18 in	12 mph E
Sun 4	Drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.18 in	13 mph ESE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	76 / 81 °F	1.41 in	8 mph E
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	76 / 87 °F	0.48 in	10 mph SE
Thu 1	Light showers	74 / 88 °F	0.32 in	9 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.13 in	9 mph E
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.26 in	11 mph ESE
Mon 28	Drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.14 in	10 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in XcalakQuestions

What's the weather like today in Xcalak?

Light drizzle, from 74 °F to 87 °F, with a light air from the east-northeast (3 mph) and a 57% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Xcalak?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 29% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Xcalak?

The best time to visit Xcalak is from February to April: highs of 83 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Xcalak in October?

In October, Xcalak normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 17 rainy days (8.77 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Xcalak?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is October (8.77 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Xcalak?

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Xcalak, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sara, in November 2024.

More about Xcalak today

Weather near Xcalak

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 19 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:57 pm (local time).

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