Weather in La Esperanza (El Zapotal)

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:05 am (CST)

Now · mainly clear 74 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 72 / 91 °F
Rain: 22%
Wind: 2 mph NNE

↗ 29.87 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in La Esperanza (El Zapotal): overcast, 72 °F to 91 °F, with a 22% chance of rain and a light air from the north-northeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 71 °F to 91 °F and a 20% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 93 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (65%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

91° 72°
Today
91° 71°
Fri 30
91° 71°
Sat 31
93° 71°
Sun 1
92° 73°
Mon 2
93° 75°
Tue 3
91° 73°
Wed 4
91° 72°
Thu 5
94° 76°
Fri 6
91° 74°
Sat 7
94° 72°
Sun 8
93° 73°
Mon 9
94° 74°
Tue 10
94° 74°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	72 / 91 °F	22%	6 mph WSW	3.5 ft	4:33 am · 4:58 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	71 / 91 °F	20% · 0.04 in	4 mph W	3.3 ft	5:21 am · 5:47 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	71 / 91 °F	12%	3 mph W	3.7 ft	6:11 am · 6:39 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Clear sky	71 / 93 °F	18%	6 mph SSW	4.1 ft	7:03 am · 7:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	73 / 92 °F	15% · 0.01 in	5 mph SSE	4.2 ft	7:57 am · 8:35 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	75 / 93 °F	65% · 0.13 in	6 mph SE	3.8 ft	8:57 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	67% · 0.09 in	5 mph WNW	3.3 ft	10:01 am · 10:44 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	72 / 91 °F	59% · 0.09 in	5 mph SE	3.7 ft	11:09 am · 11:46 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	76 / 94 °F	65% · 0.07 in	4 mph ESE	3.8 ft	12:14 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	74 / 91 °F	49%	5 mph SW	—	12:42 am · 1:13 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	72 / 94 °F	43%	4 mph WNW	—	1:34 am · 2:06 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	73 / 93 °F	35%	5 mph SSW	—	2:21 am · 2:53 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	74 / 94 °F	33% · 0.15 in	7 mph S	—	3:04 am · 3:35 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	74 / 94 °F	33% · 0.14 in	7 mph SSW	—	3:46 am · 4:15 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Clear	Clear
Temperature	76°	74°	73°	86°	91°	89°	83°	80°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	22%	8%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 NNE	3 N	2 NNE	3 SSW	6 SW	4 WSW	2 S	2 ENE
Humidity	74%	76%	74%	56%	50%	58%	76%	83%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	91°	91°	91°	93°	92°	93°	91°
AIFS	89°	89°	91°	92°	92°	89°	88°
GFS	90°	91°	91°	94°	91°	90°	90°
ICON	95°	93°	96°	101°	100°	95°	93°
Confidence	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.04 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.13 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.06 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	615	412	312	616	514	616	517
AIFS	6	5	5	5	5	4	5
GFS	98	95	85	128	95	105	107
ICON	1119	915	917	1019	919	815	815
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	22%	20%	12%	18%	15%	65%	67%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	2%	13%	6%	26%	13%	20%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −48%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.1 °F	A bit below −44%	88° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.6 °F	Normal	89° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.8 °F	Below −52%	89° / 71°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +3.6 °F	A bit below −42%
December	Above +2.9 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	Well above +193%
February	A bit above +1.8 °F	Well above +141%
March	Above +2.7 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

La Esperanza (El Zapotal) climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit La Esperanza (El Zapotal) is from December to February: highs of 94 °F to 94 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from May to June and from September to October, peaking in June. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicente, in October 2018.

94° 69°

JanJ
94° 71°

FebF
95° 73°

MarM
96° 74°

AprA
95° 75°

MayM
93° 74°

JunJ
94° 74°

JulJ
93° 74°

AugA
92° 74°

SepS
92° 74°

OctO
94° 72°

NovN
94° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	94°	69°	0.06 in	1	7.4	83°	3.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	94°	71°	0.13 in	1	7.8	83°	3.5 ft	–
MarchMar	95°	73°	0.31 in	3	7.6	84°	3.9 ft	–
AprilApr	96°	74°	1.41 in	7	6.2	85°	4.1 ft	–
MayMay	95°	75°	8.65 in	21	6.2	86°	4.5 ft	1
JuneJun	93°	74°	15.30 in	27	6.3	86°	4.8 ft	3
JulyJul	94°	74°	12.02 in	28	7.1	87°	4.4 ft	–
AugustAug	93°	74°	13.47 in	28	6.7	87°	4.4 ft	–
SeptemberSep	92°	74°	18.20 in	29	5.8	86°	4.6 ft	1
OctoberOct	92°	74°	11.62 in	23	5.7	85°	4.5 ft	1
NovemberNov	94°	72°	2.14 in	8	7.2	85°	4.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	94°	71°	0.28 in	2	7.0	84°	3.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	3.6 ft	–
Feb	83°	3.5 ft	–
Mar	84°	3.9 ft	–
Apr	85°	4.1 ft	–
May	86°	4.5 ft	1
Jun	86°	4.8 ft	3
Jul	87°	4.4 ft	–
Aug	87°	4.4 ft	–
Sep	86°	4.6 ft	1
Oct	85°	4.5 ft	1
Nov	85°	4.1 ft	–
Dec	84°	3.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 83.58 in of rain on about 177 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now74 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow71 / 91 °F

It's 74 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 72 °F to 91 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 91 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 22%
Fri 30 20% 0.04 in
Sat 31 12%
Sun 1 18%
Mon 2 15% 0.01 in
Tue 3 65% 0.13 in
Wed 4 67% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 22%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 65% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.09 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity73%

Dew point65 °F

Humidity is 73% now and the dew point is 65 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds40%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.79

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 22

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	73 / 91 °F	0	6 mph SE
Tue 27	Overcast	72 / 90 °F	0	6 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	74 / 91 °F	0	8 mph SW
Sun 25	Overcast	73 / 93 °F	0	6 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	76 / 90 °F	0	6 mph SSE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	74 / 95 °F	0.02 in	5 mph N
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.13 in	5 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light showers	75 / 84 °F	0.30 in	6 mph ESE
Tue 20	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.47 in	5 mph SSE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.07 in	6 mph S
Sun 18	Light drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.01 in	5 mph NE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.07 in	7 mph SSE
Fri 16	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.16 in	7 mph W
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 84 °F	0.70 in	4 mph N
Wed 14	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.14 in	2 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.09 in	3 mph ESE
Mon 12	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.11 in	4 mph ESE
Sun 11	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.25 in	3 mph SSE
Sat 10	Showers	75 / 89 °F	0.58 in	4 mph ESE
Fri 9	Showers	76 / 84 °F	2.19 in	3 mph N
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.52 in	3 mph NE
Wed 7	Drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.17 in	3 mph ENE
Tue 6	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.14 in	5 mph NE
Mon 5	Showers	77 / 89 °F	0.65 in	6 mph E
Sun 4	Showers	76 / 82 °F	1.63 in	5 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.27 in	4 mph ESE
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.21 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.18 in	7 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.22 in	8 mph WNW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.06 in	6 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in La Esperanza (El Zapotal)Questions

What's the weather like today in La Esperanza (El Zapotal)?

Overcast, from 72 °F to 91 °F, with a light air from the north-northeast (2 mph) and a 22% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in La Esperanza (El Zapotal)?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 20% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 93 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.87 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit La Esperanza (El Zapotal)?

The best time to visit La Esperanza (El Zapotal) is from December to February: highs of 94 °F to 94 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in La Esperanza (El Zapotal) in October?

In October, La Esperanza (El Zapotal) normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 23 rainy days (11.62 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in La Esperanza (El Zapotal)?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 96 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is September (18.20 in) and the driest, January.

When is hurricane season in La Esperanza (El Zapotal)?

Hurricane season: from May to June and from September to October, peaking in June. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicente, in October 2018.

More about La Esperanza (El Zapotal) today

Weather near La Esperanza (El Zapotal)

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:05 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from