Weather in El Palmarcito
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:12 am (CST)- Feels like
- 81 °F
- Low / high
- 72 / 90 °F
- Rain
- 6%
- Wind
- 2 mph NNE
Today in El Palmarcito: overcast, 72 °F to 90 °F, with a 6% chance of rain and a light air from the north-northeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 71 °F to 91 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 94 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (67%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 72 / 90 °F | 6% | 5 mph SW | 4.0 ft | 4:33 am · 4:58 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 71 / 91 °F | 14% · 0.01 in | 3 mph WNW | 3.8 ft | 5:21 am · 5:47 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 70 / 91 °F | 2% | 4 mph NNE | 4.2 ft | 6:11 am · 6:39 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 72 / 94 °F | 10% | 5 mph SSW | 4.7 ft | 7:03 am · 7:35 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 74 / 93 °F | 17% | 6 mph SSW | 4.7 ft | 7:58 am · 8:35 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 75 / 92 °F | 67% · 0.08 in | 5 mph SE | 4.2 ft | 8:57 am · 9:39 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 74 / 92 °F | 59% · 0.07 in | 3 mph WNW | 3.7 ft | 10:01 am · 10:44 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 73 / 91 °F | 57% · 0.02 in | 6 mph WNW | 4.2 ft | 11:08 am · 11:46 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 76 / 96 °F | 53% | 6 mph NE | 4.2 ft | 12:13 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 75 / 95 °F | 53% | 4 mph NNE | — | 12:42 am · 1:13 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 73 / 96 °F | 33% | 5 mph WSW | — | 1:34 am · 2:06 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 71 / 96 °F | 29% | 4 mph NNE | — | 2:21 am · 2:53 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 72 / 97 °F | 25% | 10 mph NE | — | 3:05 am · 3:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 78 / 97 °F | 18% | 14 mph NE | — | 3:46 am · 4:16 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Partly cloudy | Mainly clear | Clear sky | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy | Mainly clear | Clear |
| Temperature | 76° | 72° | 73° | 86° | 90° | 89° | 82° | 79° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 2% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 1 NNE | 3 NNE | 2 NNE | 3 SSW | 5 SW | 4 WSW | 2 S | 1 ENE |
| Humidity | 74% | 79% | 76% | 59% | 51% | 59% | 77% | 83% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on temperature on Sunday 1: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 90° | 91° | 91° | 94° | 93° | 92° | 92° |
| AIFS | 89° | 89° | 91° | 92° | 92° | 90° | 89° |
| GFS | 87° | 88° | 88° | 90° | 89° | 89° | 88° |
| ICON | 95° | 93° | 96° | 100° | 100° | 95° | 93° |
| Confidence | medium | high | medium | low | low | medium | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 in | 0.07 in |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 in | 0.07 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 515 | 312 | 413 | 515 | 614 | 516 | 316 |
| AIFS | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| GFS | 86 | 76 | 75 | 96 | 74 | 85 | 96 |
| ICON | 1019 | 815 | 917 | 1119 | 918 | 815 | 815 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 6% | 14% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 67% | 59% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 23% | 6% | 13% | 35% | 29% | 35% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | Above +2.3 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +2.3 °F | A bit below −48% | Above +2.3 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.7 °F | 85° / 75° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Above +2.7 °F | Normal | Above +3.1 °F | 84° / 76° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.9 °F | 84° / 75° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | Above +3.2 °F | A bit below −34% | Above +3.2 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.9 °F |
| January | A bit above +1.6 °F | Well above +450% | Above +2.3 °F |
| February | A bit above +1.8 °F | Well above +325% | Above +2.7 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal | Above +2.2 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
El Palmarcito climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit El Palmarcito is from December to March: highs of 93 °F to 95 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from May to June and from September to November, peaking in June. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Palmarcito, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicente, in October 2018.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 93° | 69° | 0.06 in | 1 | 7.3 | 83° | 3.6 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 94° | 71° | 0.15 in | 1 | 7.9 | 83° | 3.5 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 95° | 73° | 0.29 in | 3 | 7.7 | 84° | 3.9 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 96° | 75° | 1.46 in | 7 | 6.4 | 85° | 4.1 ft | – |
| MayMay | 95° | 76° | 9.17 in | 21 | 6.3 | 86° | 4.5 ft | 1 |
| JuneJun | 93° | 74° | 15.81 in | 27 | 6.2 | 86° | 4.8 ft | 3 |
| JulyJul | 94° | 74° | 12.43 in | 28 | 7.0 | 87° | 4.4 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 93° | 74° | 14.68 in | 28 | 6.7 | 87° | 4.4 ft | – |
| SeptemberSep | 92° | 74° | 18.86 in | 29 | 5.7 | 86° | 4.6 ft | 1 |
| OctoberOct | 92° | 74° | 11.44 in | 23 | 5.7 | 85° | 4.5 ft | 1 |
| NovemberNov | 94° | 73° | 2.07 in | 8 | 7.3 | 85° | 4.1 ft | 1 |
| DecemberDec | 94° | 71° | 0.26 in | 2 | 7.0 | 84° | 3.6 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 83° | 3.6 ft | – |
| Feb | 83° | 3.5 ft | – |
| Mar | 84° | 3.9 ft | – |
| Apr | 85° | 4.1 ft | – |
| May | 86° | 4.5 ft | 1 |
| Jun | 86° | 4.8 ft | 3 |
| Jul | 87° | 4.4 ft | – |
| Aug | 87° | 4.4 ft | – |
| Sep | 86° | 4.6 ft | 1 |
| Oct | 85° | 4.5 ft | 1 |
| Nov | 85° | 4.1 ft | 1 |
| Dec | 84° | 3.6 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 86.67 in of rain on about 177 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 76 °F now (feels like 81 °F). Today, 72 °F to 90 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 91 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 6%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 67% and 0.08 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.15 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 67 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Overcast | 73 / 91 °F | 0 | 6 mph SE |
| Tue 27 | Overcast | 72 / 90 °F | 0 | 6 mph NE |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 74 / 91 °F | 0 | 8 mph SW |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 73 / 93 °F | 0 | 6 mph W |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 76 / 90 °F | 0 | 6 mph SSE |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 74 / 95 °F | 0.02 in | 5 mph N |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 76 / 88 °F | 0.13 in | 5 mph SSW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Light showers | 75 / 84 °F | 0.30 in | 6 mph ESE |
| Tue 20 | Light showers | 76 / 85 °F | 0.47 in | 5 mph SSE |
| Mon 19 | Light drizzle | 76 / 87 °F | 0.07 in | 6 mph S |
| Sun 18 | Light drizzle | 79 / 91 °F | 0.01 in | 5 mph NE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 76 / 91 °F | 0.07 in | 7 mph SSE |
| Fri 16 | Drizzle | 75 / 90 °F | 0.16 in | 7 mph W |
| Thu 15 | Light showers | 77 / 84 °F | 0.70 in | 4 mph N |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 77 / 87 °F | 0.14 in | 2 mph ENE |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 77 / 88 °F | 0.09 in | 3 mph ESE |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 76 / 89 °F | 0.11 in | 4 mph ESE |
| Sun 11 | Light showers | 76 / 89 °F | 0.25 in | 3 mph SSE |
| Sat 10 | Showers | 75 / 89 °F | 0.58 in | 4 mph ESE |
| Fri 9 | Showers | 76 / 84 °F | 2.19 in | 3 mph N |
| Thu 8 | Light showers | 76 / 87 °F | 0.52 in | 3 mph NE |
| Wed 7 | Drizzle | 78 / 90 °F | 0.17 in | 3 mph ENE |
| Tue 6 | Drizzle | 76 / 89 °F | 0.14 in | 5 mph NE |
| Mon 5 | Showers | 77 / 89 °F | 0.65 in | 6 mph E |
| Sun 4 | Showers | 76 / 82 °F | 1.63 in | 5 mph E |
| Sat 3 | Light showers | 76 / 87 °F | 0.27 in | 4 mph ESE |
| Fri 2 | Heavy drizzle | 77 / 89 °F | 0.21 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Thu 1 | Heavy drizzle | 74 / 88 °F | 0.18 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 76 / 89 °F | 0.22 in | 8 mph WNW |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 79 / 89 °F | 0.06 in | 6 mph WNW |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in El PalmarcitoQuestions
What's the weather like today in El Palmarcito?
Overcast, from 72 °F to 90 °F, with a light air from the north-northeast (2 mph) and a 6% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in El Palmarcito?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 14% (0.01 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 94 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.88 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit El Palmarcito?
The best time to visit El Palmarcito is from December to March: highs of 93 °F to 95 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in El Palmarcito in October?
In October, El Palmarcito normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 23 rainy days (11.44 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in El Palmarcito?
The warmest is April, with average highs of 96 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is September (18.86 in) and the driest, January.
When is hurricane season in El Palmarcito?
Hurricane season: from May to June and from September to November, peaking in June. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Palmarcito, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Vicente, in October 2018.
More about El Palmarcito today
Weather near El Palmarcito
- Manuel Ávila Camacho (Ponte Duro) 78 °F · partly cloudy · 33 mi
- Doctor Belisario Domínguez (La Barra) 79 °F · partly cloudy · 42 mi
- La Gloria 80 °F · overcast · 74 mi
- Puerto Madero 77 °F · overcast · 75 mi
- Brisas del Suchiate 77 °F · mainly clear · 94 mi
- San Francisco del Mar Viejo 78 °F · overcast · 107 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:12 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from