Weather in Lerma

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:25 am (CST)

Now · mainly clear 68 °F

Feels like: 72 °F
Low / high: 65 / 83 °F
Rain: 47% · 0.06 in
Wind: 5 mph NNE

→ 29.98 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Lerma: light drizzle, 65 °F to 83 °F, with a 47% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 72 °F to 83 °F and a 85% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 90 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

83° 65°
Today
83° 72°
Fri 30
88° 71°
Sat 31
87° 73°
Sun 1
89° 72°
Mon 2
90° 72°
Tue 3
90° 72°
Wed 4
80° 71°
Thu 5
82° 74°
Fri 6
79° 68°
Sat 7
82° 67°
Sun 8
81° 68°
Mon 9
84° 64°
Tue 10
82° 65°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	65 / 83 °F	47% · 0.06 in	8 mph NNW	1.4 ft	2:46 am · 6:34 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	85% · 0.08 in	8 mph WNW	1.2 ft	3:32 am · 7:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	71 / 88 °F	76% · 0.23 in	3 mph E	1.0 ft	4:29 am · 8:59 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	47% · 0.06 in	6 mph ENE	1.3 ft	5:51 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	72 / 89 °F	73% · 0.08 in	7 mph NNE	1.3 ft	7:46 am · 10:48 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	72 / 90 °F	45% · 0.06 in	5 mph NE	1.2 ft	9:37 am · 11:18 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	72 / 90 °F	31% · 0.05 in	6 mph ENE	0.7 ft	11:27 am · 11:36 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	71 / 80 °F	32% · 0.38 in	10 mph NNW	3.1 ft	1:11 pm · 11:47 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	27% · 0.02 in	13 mph WNW	3.9 ft	2:20 pm · 11:58 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	68 / 79 °F	27%	11 mph WNW	3.2 ft	3:10 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	67 / 82 °F	14%	7 mph NW	1.8 ft	12:12 am · 3:50 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	68 / 81 °F	24% · 0.07 in	6 mph NNE	1.5 ft	12:29 am · 4:24 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	64 / 84 °F	18%	8 mph NNE	1.9 ft	12:51 am · 4:56 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	65 / 82 °F	22%	9 mph N	1.9 ft	1:16 am · 5:28 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Partly cloudy	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	69°	67°	66°	80°	83°	81°	77°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	39%	45%	8%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 NNE	3 ENE	2 E	2 NE	7 NW	8 NW	5 NW	5 NNW
Humidity	86%	89%	91%	70%	64%	70%	81%	84%
UV	0	0	0	4	7	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	83°	83°	88°	87°	89°	90°	90°
AIFS	84°	84°	86°	87°	87°	87°	87°
GFS	87°	90°	92°	94°	94°	96°	94°
ICON	83°	85°	87°	87°	88°	91°	94°
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.08 in	0.23 in	0.06 in	0.08 in	0.06 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.14 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
GFS	0	0	0.07 in	0.06 in	0.02 in	0	0.02 in
ICON	0	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.04 in	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	819	819	313	617	716	515	614
AIFS	7	5	4	5	6	6	9
GFS	914	810	713	917	810	717	922
ICON	716	615	515	614	716	718	717
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	47%	85%	76%	47%	73%	45%	31%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	13%	37%	42%	19%	0%	13%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −62%	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	82° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	82° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	81° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
December	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
January	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F
March	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Lerma climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Lerma is from December to February: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from August to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Lerma, about 4 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Grace, in August 2021.

85° 64°

JanJ
88° 65°

FebF
91° 67°

MarM
95° 71°

AprA
97° 73°

MayM
95° 74°

JunJ
94° 73°

JulJ
94° 73°

AugA
92° 73°

SepS
91° 72°

OctO
87° 68°

NovN
85° 66°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	64°	0.91 in	5	6.5	75°	2.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	88°	65°	0.72 in	3	7.1	76°	2.2 ft	–
MarchMar	91°	67°	0.42 in	2	7.3	78°	2.4 ft	–
AprilApr	95°	71°	0.48 in	3	7.1	81°	2.3 ft	–
MayMay	97°	73°	2.00 in	9	7.3	84°	2.2 ft	–
JuneJun	95°	74°	7.26 in	19	7.1	85°	1.9 ft	2
JulyJul	94°	73°	5.31 in	19	7.7	85°	1.7 ft	–
AugustAug	94°	73°	7.13 in	23	7.6	86°	1.7 ft	5
SeptemberSep	92°	73°	9.22 in	24	6.6	86°	1.6 ft	2
OctoberOct	91°	72°	5.93 in	16	6.1	84°	2.0 ft	1
NovemberNov	87°	68°	2.21 in	7	6.8	80°	2.3 ft	1
DecemberDec	85°	66°	1.00 in	5	6.0	77°	2.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	75°	2.4 ft	–
Feb	76°	2.2 ft	–
Mar	78°	2.4 ft	–
Apr	81°	2.3 ft	–
May	84°	2.2 ft	–
Jun	85°	1.9 ft	2
Jul	85°	1.7 ft	–
Aug	86°	1.7 ft	5
Sep	86°	1.6 ft	2
Oct	84°	2.0 ft	1
Nov	80°	2.3 ft	1
Dec	77°	2.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.61 in of rain on about 134 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now68 °Ffeels like 72 °F

Tomorrow72 / 83 °F

It's 68 °F now (feels like 72 °F). Today, 65 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 47% 0.06 in
Fri 30 85% 0.08 in
Sat 31 76% 0.23 in
Sun 1 47% 0.06 in
Mon 2 73% 0.08 in
Tue 3 45% 0.06 in
Wed 4 31% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 47%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 85% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.08 in; last 3 days, 0.14 in; last 7 days, 0.20 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point64 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 64 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds24%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 29.85

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	70 / 87 °F	0.08 in	6 mph NNE
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	70 / 87 °F	0	8 mph N
Mon 26	Light drizzle	65 / 83 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	66 / 86 °F	0.01 in	7 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	0.04 in	8 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	68 / 87 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	69 / 87 °F	0	9 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.06 in	7 mph NE
Tue 20	Light showers	73 / 88 °F	0.24 in	8 mph ENE
Mon 19	Light showers	73 / 89 °F	0.39 in	5 mph E
Sun 18	Showers	74 / 89 °F	0.49 in	7 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light showers	73 / 87 °F	0.25 in	6 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light showers	73 / 90 °F	0.35 in	7 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	74 / 91 °F	0.22 in	8 mph ENE
Wed 14	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.08 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.04 in	7 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.06 in	7 mph ENE
Sun 11	Drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.13 in	7 mph E
Sat 10	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.11 in	5 mph SE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SW
Thu 8	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.75 in	10 mph SW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.16 in	11 mph SSW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.09 in	6 mph SE
Mon 5	Light showers	76 / 92 °F	0.27 in	7 mph E
Sun 4	Showers	75 / 88 °F	0.56 in	6 mph E
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	74 / 91 °F	0.52 in	7 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	74 / 94 °F	0.05 in	7 mph E
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	74 / 93 °F	0.15 in	8 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.09 in	9 mph E
Tue 29	Drizzle	75 / 93 °F	0.10 in	8 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in LermaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Lerma?

Light drizzle, from 65 °F to 83 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (5 mph) and a 47% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Lerma?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 85% (0.08 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 65 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Lerma?

The best time to visit Lerma is from December to February: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Lerma in October?

In October, Lerma normally sees highs of 91 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 16 rainy days (5.93 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Lerma?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 97 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is September (9.22 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Lerma?

Hurricane season: in June and from August to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Lerma, about 4 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Grace, in August 2021.

More about Lerma today

Weather near Lerma

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:25 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from