Weather in Guerrero Negro

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:03 pm (GMT-7)

Now · mainly clear 67 °F

Feels like: 67 °F
Low / high: 61 / 76 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 7 mph NNW

↗ 29.96 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Guerrero Negro: mainly clear, 61 °F to 76 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 60 °F to 76 °F and a 3% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 77 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (13%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

76° 61°
Today
76° 60°
Thu 29
75° 64°
Fri 30
77° 63°
Sat 31
76° 66°
Sun 1
76° 65°
Mon 2
76° 62°
Tue 3
76° 61°
Wed 4
76° 61°
Thu 5
74° 62°
Fri 6
74° 61°
Sat 7
79° 60°
Sun 8
83° 62°
Mon 9
83° 63°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Mainly clear	61 / 76 °F	1%	13 mph NW	1.6 ft	3:53 am · 3:57 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	60 / 76 °F	3%	12 mph NNW	1.2 ft	4:47 am · 4:51 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	64 / 75 °F	13% · 0.06 in	10 mph NNW	1.0 ft	5:47 am · 5:50 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	63 / 77 °F	4%	9 mph NNW	0.9 ft	6:51 am · 6:54 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Rain	66 / 76 °F	54% · 0.40 in	11 mph SW	1.3 ft	7:54 am · 7:57 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	65 / 76 °F	7%	13 mph NW	1.9 ft	8:52 am · 8:57 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	62 / 76 °F	0%	14 mph NNW	2.4 ft	9:44 am · 9:52 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	61 / 76 °F	1%	12 mph NW	2.1 ft	10:30 am · 10:43 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Mainly clear	61 / 76 °F	3%	12 mph NNW	1.8 ft	11:13 am · 11:30 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	62 / 74 °F	7%	12 mph NW	3.3 ft	11:54 am	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	61 / 74 °F	11%	12 mph NW	5.8 ft	12:16 am · 12:35 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Clear sky	60 / 79 °F	5%	12 mph NW	5.7 ft	1:01 am · 1:16 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	62 / 83 °F	2%	11 mph NW	5.9 ft	1:47 am · 1:57 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	63 / 83 °F	0%	10 mph NNW	5.9 ft	2:33 am · 2:40 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 5:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 6:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear
Temperature	66°	64°	62°	72°	76°	76°	71°	67°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NNW	6 NW	3 NNW	8 NNW	10 NW	13 NW	10 NNW	7 NNW
Humidity	82%	82%	82%	68%	60%	61%	74%	79%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	82°	80°	79°	81°	78°	77°	77°
AIFS	80°	79°	77°	78°	77°	74°	79°
GFS	78°	76°	76°	78°	79°	80°	83°
ICON	81°	81°	80°	82°	76°	81°	85°
HRRR	76°	76°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	78°	77°	75°	77°	76°	76°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	1.09 in	0.04 in	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.78 in	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.38 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.02 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0.06 in	0	0.40 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1322	1221	1118	813	1221	1331	1628
AIFS	15	13	12	6	16	15	15
GFS	1517	1415	1214	1111	1824	1317	1622
ICON	1120	1018	917	48	916	1222	1325
HRRR	1317	1215	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1316	1213	1013	911	1113	1316	1418
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	12%	20%	4%	82%	7%	0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	3%	0%	3%	23%	5%	0%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	3%	13%	4%	54%	7%	0%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	1%	1%	2%	19%	1%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Well above +6.8 °F	Normal	81° / 66°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Well above +5.6 °F	Normal	78° / 64°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +5.2 °F	Normal	76° / 62°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +4.3 °F	Normal	74° / 60°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Well above +6.3 °F	Well above +108%
December	Above +5.2 °F	Normal
January	Above +4.3 °F	Above +72%
February	Above +2.9 °F	Well above +149%
March	Above +3.2 °F	Well above +178%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Guerrero Negro climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Guerrero Negro is from October to March: highs of 74 °F to 84 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Guerrero Negro, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Hilary, in August 2023.

74° 47°

JanJ
74° 49°

FebF
76° 51°

MarM
77° 55°

AprA
78° 58°

MayM
80° 60°

JunJ
85° 64°

JulJ
88° 67°

AugA
89° 68°

SepS
84° 62°

OctO
78° 54°

NovN
74° 47°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	74°	47°	0.31 in	1	7.2	63°	3.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	74°	49°	0.43 in	2	7.0	62°	3.9 ft	–
MarchMar	76°	51°	0.20 in	1	7.9	62°	4.1 ft	–
AprilApr	77°	55°	0.03 in	0	8.5	62°	4.3 ft	–
MayMay	78°	58°	0.00 in	0	8.8	62°	4.0 ft	–
JuneJun	80°	60°	0.00 in	0	8.8	63°	3.5 ft	–
JulyJul	85°	64°	0.02 in	0	9.0	67°	3.2 ft	–
AugustAug	88°	67°	0.15 in	1	8.9	70°	3.1 ft	1
SeptemberSep	89°	68°	0.37 in	2	8.0	71°	3.3 ft	4
OctoberOct	84°	62°	0.10 in	1	7.9	70°	3.5 ft	–
NovemberNov	78°	54°	0.38 in	1	7.5	67°	3.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	74°	47°	0.65 in	1	7.0	65°	3.9 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	63°	3.7 ft	–
Feb	62°	3.9 ft	–
Mar	62°	4.1 ft	–
Apr	62°	4.3 ft	–
May	62°	4.0 ft	–
Jun	63°	3.5 ft	–
Jul	67°	3.2 ft	–
Aug	70°	3.1 ft	1
Sep	71°	3.3 ft	4
Oct	70°	3.5 ft	–
Nov	67°	3.5 ft	–
Dec	65°	3.9 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 2.64 in of rain on about 10 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now67 °Ffeels like 67 °F

Tomorrow60 / 76 °F

It's 67 °F now (feels like 67 °F). Today, 61 °F to 76 °F; tomorrow, 60 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Thu 29 3%
Fri 30 13% 0.06 in
Sat 31 4%
Sun 1 54% 0.40 in
Mon 2 7%
Tue 3 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 13% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity78%

Dew point60 °F

Humidity is 78% now and the dew point is 60 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds42%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.83

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 29

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	65 / 87 °F	12 mph NW
Mon 26	Mainly clear	63 / 86 °F	11 mph NNW
Sun 25	Overcast	64 / 81 °F	9 mph NNW
Sat 24	Mainly clear	67 / 79 °F	12 mph NW
Fri 23	Mainly clear	67 / 79 °F	18 mph NW
Thu 22	Overcast	72 / 82 °F	14 mph NW
Wed 21	Overcast	73 / 86 °F	12 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	73 / 88 °F	0	10 mph NW
Mon 19	Mainly clear	73 / 87 °F	0	9 mph NW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	74 / 92 °F	0.11 in	21 mph E
Fri 16	Partly cloudy	66 / 92 °F	0	8 mph NW
Thu 15	Clear sky	62 / 88 °F	0	15 mph NNW
Wed 14	Clear sky	67 / 87 °F	0	15 mph N
Tue 13	Light drizzle	70 / 78 °F	0.05 in	16 mph NW
Mon 12	Drizzle	71 / 83 °F	0.14 in	11 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	75 / 84 °F	0.04 in	12 mph WSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.05 in	26 mph S
Fri 9	Overcast	77 / 91 °F	0	12 mph NW
Thu 8	Mainly clear	78 / 91 °F	0	13 mph NW
Wed 7	Clear sky	79 / 93 °F	0	13 mph NW
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	79 / 93 °F	0	9 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	80 / 96 °F	0.07 in	10 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	83 / 104 °F	0.06 in	13 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	76 / 99 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNW
Fri 2	Clear sky	74 / 97 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Thu 1	Overcast	70 / 93 °F	0	14 mph NW
Wed 30	Clear sky	71 / 83 °F	0	14 mph NW
Tue 29	Mainly clear	73 / 81 °F	0	18 mph NW
Mon 28	Light drizzle	78 / 97 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Guerrero NegroQuestions

What's the weather like today in Guerrero Negro?

Mainly clear, from 61 °F to 76 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (7 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Guerrero Negro?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 3% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 60 °F and a high of 77 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Guerrero Negro?

The best time to visit Guerrero Negro is from October to March: highs of 74 °F to 84 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Guerrero Negro in October?

In October, Guerrero Negro normally sees highs of 84 °F and lows of 62 °F, with about 1 rainy days (0.10 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 70 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Guerrero Negro?

The warmest is September, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 47 °F. The wettest is December (0.65 in) and the driest, May.

When is hurricane season in Guerrero Negro?

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Guerrero Negro, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Hilary, in August 2023.

More about Guerrero Negro today

Weather near Guerrero Negro

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:03 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from