Weather in El Centenario

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:11 am (GMT-7)

Now · clear 78 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 75 / 88 °F
Rain: 19%
Wind: 6 mph NE

→ 29.84 inHg · steady

Today in El Centenario: light drizzle, 75 °F to 88 °F, with a 19% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 73 °F to 88 °F and a 47% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 91 °F.

Measured now at the airport

La Paz/de León (MMLP), 3.6 mi away · 1 h 31 min ago

Visibility8.0 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature77 °F

Wind6 mph from the east-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

88° 75°
Today
88° 73°
Fri 30
89° 74°
Sat 31
91° 74°
Sun 1
90° 74°
Mon 2
88° 76°
Tue 3
89° 73°
Wed 4
89° 72°
Thu 5
87° 72°
Fri 6
87° 72°
Sat 7
87° 73°
Sun 8
87° 72°
Mon 9
90° 71°
Tue 10
91° 70°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	75 / 88 °F	19%	13 mph NNE	1.6 ft	9:31 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Drizzle	73 / 88 °F	47% · 0.05 in	8 mph W	0.7 ft	9:58 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	1%	5 mph WNW	0.7 ft	10:25 am	NBM
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	74 / 91 °F	0%	7 mph WNW	1.0 ft	10:39 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	74 / 90 °F	2%	13 mph N	0.9 ft	6:33 am · 3:59 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	2%	14 mph N	3.9 ft	6:26 am · 5:35 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Mainly clear	73 / 89 °F	1%	9 mph NNW	2.9 ft	6:35 am · 6:35 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Mainly clear	72 / 89 °F	1%	8 mph NW	1.3 ft	6:49 am · 7:24 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	2%	7 mph W	1.0 ft	7:06 am · 8:08 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	4%	8 mph WNW	1.0 ft	7:24 am · 8:49 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	8%	10 mph N	0.9 ft	7:43 am · 9:26 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	72 / 87 °F	10%	14 mph NNE	1.9 ft	8:02 am · 10:00 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	71 / 90 °F	16%	9 mph NNE	1.5 ft	8:22 am · 10:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Clear sky	70 / 91 °F	12%	10 mph NNE	1.1 ft	8:42 am · 11:03 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 6:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear
Temperature	78°	76°	75°	80°	87°	86°	83°	80°
Chance of rain	14%	17%	7%	5%	6%	5%	2%	5%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NE	5 NE	5 NE	8 NNE	10 N	13 NNW	4 SE	3 SE
Humidity	68%	78%	84%	77%	58%	65%	57%	81%
UV	0	0	0	3	5	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	85°	89°	89°	90°	85°	88°
AIFS	88°	85°	88°	88°	89°	86°	86°
GFS	87°	88°	86°	86°	85°	82°	82°
ICON	86°	89°	92°	90°	90°	86°	85°
HRRR	88°	—	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	88°	88°	89°	91°	90°	88°	89°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.07 in	0.15 in	0.01 in	0	0.09 in	0.02 in	0
AIFS	0.05 in	0.40 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.02 in	0.07 in	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.36 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	low	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1120	1019	915	1120	1023	1627	1223
AIFS	6	9	5	9	9	8	4
GFS	97	1511	1011	1118	1413	1913	1413
ICON	1220	613	814	714	1119	916	915
HRRR	1319	—	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	915	815	512	714	1320	1421	916
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	58%	89%	18%	2%	29%	2%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	32%	60%	1%	0%	3%	2%	3%
NBM (NOAA)	19%	47%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	3%	21%	6%	4%	6%	2%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +2.7 °F	Well above +206%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	87° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	83° / 65°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	81° / 64°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +99%
December	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

El Centenario climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Centenario is from November to March: highs of 78 °F to 86 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Centenario, about 8 every 10 years; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ileana, in September 2024.

78° 49°

JanJ
80° 49°

FebF
84° 52°

MarM
89° 55°

AprA
93° 59°

MayM
97° 64°

JunJ
99° 71°

JulJ
99° 73°

AugA
96° 72°

SepS
93° 66°

OctO
86° 58°

NovN
79° 51°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	78°	49°	0.29 in	1	6.9	70°	1.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	80°	49°	0.17 in	1	7.3	69°	1.7 ft	–
MarchMar	84°	52°	0.02 in	0	8.3	70°	1.4 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	55°	0.00 in	0	8.3	71°	1.2 ft	–
MayMay	93°	59°	0.04 in	0	8.8	74°	1.2 ft	–
JuneJun	97°	64°	0.05 in	0	8.8	76°	1.3 ft	3
JulyJul	99°	71°	0.50 in	2	7.8	81°	1.3 ft	–
AugustAug	99°	73°	1.70 in	6	7.5	84°	1.4 ft	5
SeptemberSep	96°	72°	5.36 in	7	6.8	84°	1.5 ft	15
OctoberOct	93°	66°	0.59 in	2	7.7	84°	1.4 ft	2
NovemberNov	86°	58°	0.48 in	1	7.7	80°	1.8 ft	–
DecemberDec	79°	51°	0.40 in	1	6.9	74°	2.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	70°	1.9 ft	–
Feb	69°	1.7 ft	–
Mar	70°	1.4 ft	–
Apr	71°	1.2 ft	–
May	74°	1.2 ft	–
Jun	76°	1.3 ft	3
Jul	81°	1.3 ft	–
Aug	84°	1.4 ft	5
Sep	84°	1.5 ft	15
Oct	84°	1.4 ft	2
Nov	80°	1.8 ft	–
Dec	74°	2.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 9.61 in of rain on about 22 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow73 / 88 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 75 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 19%
Fri 30 47% 0.05 in
Sat 31 1%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 2%
Tue 3 2%
Wed 4 1%

Today the chance of rain reaches 19%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 47% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.08 in; last 7 days, 0.27 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point67 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 67 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6moderate

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.93

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 14

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.26 in	12 mph NE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.08 in	8 mph NE
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	76 / 90 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.06 in	8 mph NNW
Sat 24	Partly cloudy	71 / 93 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.13 in	10 mph NNW
Thu 22	Overcast	78 / 96 °F	0	11 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	78 / 94 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.09 in	7 mph N
Mon 19	Drizzle	79 / 92 °F	0.11 in	6 mph N
Sun 18	Light drizzle	77 / 94 °F	0.04 in	11 mph NE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	78 / 97 °F	0.25 in	6 mph ENE
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	81 / 94 °F	0.19 in	15 mph NE
Thu 15	Mainly clear	80 / 91 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	78 / 93 °F	0.02 in	13 mph N
Tue 13	Overcast	77 / 96 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Mon 12	Overcast	75 / 95 °F	0	13 mph WSW
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	78 / 92 °F	0	14 mph WSW
Sat 10	Mainly clear	78 / 94 °F	0	15 mph WSW
Fri 9	Drizzle	78 / 98 °F	0.09 in	11 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	79 / 97 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	78 / 95 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WNW
Tue 6	Drizzle	79 / 90 °F	0.24 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 5	Drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.09 in	5 mph NNE
Sun 4	Showers	79 / 92 °F	0.47 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 3	Drizzle	80 / 93 °F	0.08 in	17 mph ENE
Fri 2	Drizzle	81 / 94 °F	0.07 in	13 mph NE
Thu 1	Drizzle	81 / 91 °F	0.11 in	15 mph NE
Wed 30	Overcast	77 / 96 °F	0	9 mph N
Tue 29	Drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.18 in	15 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El CentenarioQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Centenario?

Light drizzle, from 75 °F to 88 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph) and a 19% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Centenario?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 47% (0.05 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 91 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.84 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Centenario?

The best time to visit El Centenario is from November to March: highs of 78 °F to 86 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Centenario in October?

In October, El Centenario normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 66 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.59 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Centenario?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 99 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 49 °F. The wettest is September (5.36 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in El Centenario?

Hurricane season: from August to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Centenario, about 8 every 10 years; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ileana, in September 2024.

More about El Centenario today

Weather near El Centenario

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:11 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from