Weather in Cabo San Lucas

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 2:58 pm (GMT-7)

Now · light drizzle 88 °F

Feels like: 92 °F
Low / high: 75 / 89 °F
Rain: 84% · 0.08 in
Wind: 8 mph NE

↘ 29.80 inHg · falling

Today in Cabo San Lucas: light drizzle, 75 °F to 89 °F, with a 84% chance of rain (0.08 in) and a gentle breeze from the northeast (8 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 75 °F to 88 °F and a 51% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 75°
Today
88° 75°
Thu 29
83° 75°
Fri 30
87° 75°
Sat 31
88° 74°
Sun 1
89° 74°
Mon 2
88° 74°
Tue 3
88° 71°
Wed 4
88° 70°
Thu 5
88° 70°
Fri 6
86° 71°
Sat 7
87° 73°
Sun 8
90° 70°
Mon 9
89° 69°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	84% · 0.08 in	8 mph NE	6.6 ft	8:50 am · 10:17 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Drizzle	75 / 88 °F	51% · 0.08 in	8 mph NW	5.9 ft	9:26 am · 11:25 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	75 / 83 °F	80% · 0.20 in	7 mph WSW	5.1 ft	10:08 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	28% · 0.01 in	6 mph WSW	5.0 ft	1:37 am · 11:04 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	74 / 88 °F	6%	10 mph NW	4.9 ft	12:57 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Mainly clear	74 / 89 °F	4%	10 mph NNW	4.7 ft	4:54 am · 3:31 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Clear sky	74 / 88 °F	2%	10 mph NW	4.2 ft	5:18 am · 4:57 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Clear sky	71 / 88 °F	2%	7 mph NW	3.7 ft	5:42 am · 5:53 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Clear sky	70 / 88 °F	6%	6 mph NNW	3.5 ft	6:06 am · 6:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	70 / 88 °F	2%	6 mph W	5.3 ft	6:30 am · 7:14 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	4% · 0.02 in	6 mph WSW	5.3 ft	6:54 am · 7:48 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	18% · 0.09 in	6 mph WNW	7.0 ft	7:17 am · 8:21 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	70 / 90 °F	6%	4 mph NE	6.9 ft	7:41 am · 8:52 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	69 / 89 °F	8%	5 mph NW	6.6 ft	8:05 am · 9:24 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	77°	76°	77°	83°	88°	88°	82°	79°
Chance of rain	59%	79%	69%	75%	81%	81%	57%	23%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 ENE	5 NE	6 NE	5 NE	8 ENE	8 NE	7 NE	7 NNE
Humidity	83%	86%	83%	66%	53%	54%	67%	72%
UV	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	88°	83°	87°	88°	89°	88°
AIFS	83°	85°	83°	86°	86°	87°	84°
GFS	84°	86°	85°	87°	87°	88°	86°
ICON	87°	89°	86°	91°	92°	91°	92°
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.08 in	0.08 in	0.20 in	0.01 in	0	0	0
AIFS	0.33 in	0.14 in	0.40 in	0.07 in	0	0	0
GFS	0.53 in	0.02 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.30 in	0	0.04 in	0	0	0	0.01 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	821	820	720	618	1020	1022	1027
AIFS	13	9	9	6	10	13	12
GFS	1311	96	118	1011	1614	1015	1715
ICON	1738	1331	1020	817	715	714	918
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	medium	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	84%	51%	80%	28%	6%	4%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	40%	58%	3%	3%	0%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, normal rain and a much warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Well above +3.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +2.9 °F	Well above +142%	Well above +3.8 °F	83° / 77°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	Well above +3.8 °F	82° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Well above +3.6 °F	80° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +2.7 °F	Well above +126%	Well above +3.6 °F	79° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +2.7 °F	Above +88%	Above +3.4 °F
December	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Well above +4.3 °F
January	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Well above +4.7 °F
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Well above +4.5 °F
March	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Well above +4.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Cabo San Lucas climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Cabo San Lucas is from November to April: highs of 78 °F to 85 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 31 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cabo San Lucas, one or two a year; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ileana, in September 2024.

78° 53°

JanJ
79° 53°

FebF
82° 54°

MarM
84° 57°

AprA
88° 62°

MayM
90° 68°

JunJ
93° 74°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
92° 74°

SepS
90° 68°

OctO
85° 61°

NovN
79° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	78°	53°	0.30 in	1	6.9	74°	2.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	79°	53°	0.14 in	1	7.5	72°	2.6 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	54°	0.00 in	0	8.2	71°	2.9 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	57°	0.01 in	0	8.1	70°	3.2 ft	–
MayMay	88°	62°	0.00 in	0	8.5	72°	3.4 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	68°	0.01 in	1	8.6	74°	3.9 ft	3
JulyJul	93°	74°	0.49 in	2	7.5	79°	3.9 ft	1
AugustAug	93°	75°	2.79 in	6	7.2	83°	3.9 ft	7
SeptemberSep	92°	74°	5.26 in	8	6.4	84°	4.2 ft	16
OctoberOct	90°	68°	1.22 in	2	7.6	84°	3.5 ft	3
NovemberNov	85°	61°	0.84 in	1	7.7	81°	3.1 ft	1
DecemberDec	79°	55°	0.43 in	1	6.8	77°	2.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	74°	2.6 ft	–
Feb	72°	2.6 ft	–
Mar	71°	2.9 ft	–
Apr	70°	3.2 ft	–
May	72°	3.4 ft	–
Jun	74°	3.9 ft	3
Jul	79°	3.9 ft	1
Aug	83°	3.9 ft	7
Sep	84°	4.2 ft	16
Oct	84°	3.5 ft	3
Nov	81°	3.1 ft	1
Dec	77°	2.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 11.50 in of rain on about 23 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now88 °Ffeels like 92 °F

Tomorrow75 / 88 °F

It's 88 °F now (feels like 92 °F). Today, 75 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 84% 0.08 in
Thu 29 51% 0.08 in
Fri 30 80% 0.20 in
Sat 31 28% 0.01 in
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 2%

Today the chance of rain reaches 84%, with 0.08 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 51% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.17 in; last 3 days, 0.32 in; last 7 days, 0.41 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity54%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 54% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.0 migood

Clouds50%

Visibility is good now (8.0 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Falling now (−0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.17 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.08 in	8 mph NNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.06 in	11 mph NW
Thu 22	Overcast	78 / 93 °F	0	10 mph NW
Wed 21	Mainly clear	79 / 92 °F	0	9 mph NW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.06 in	8 mph NW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	79 / 92 °F	0.02 in	8 mph NW
Sun 18	Mainly clear	80 / 95 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.08 in	8 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.07 in	15 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.09 in	7 mph NW
Wed 14	Mainly clear	75 / 91 °F	0	9 mph NW
Tue 13	Overcast	75 / 90 °F	0	11 mph NW
Mon 12	Overcast	77 / 91 °F	0	11 mph NW
Sun 11	Overcast	78 / 90 °F	0	10 mph NW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.04 in	13 mph NW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NW
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.19 in	9 mph NW
Wed 7	Drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.11 in	9 mph NNW
Tue 6	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.13 in	6 mph N
Mon 5	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.05 in	12 mph ESE
Sun 4	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.24 in	16 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.58 in	18 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.22 in	16 mph ENE
Thu 1	Light showers	79 / 89 °F	0.35 in	14 mph ENE
Wed 30	Light showers	78 / 94 °F	0.31 in	7 mph NNW
Tue 29	Drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.20 in	7 mph W
Mon 28	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.07 in	10 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Cabo San LucasQuestions

What's the weather like today in Cabo San Lucas?

Light drizzle, from 75 °F to 89 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (8 mph) and a 84% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Cabo San Lucas?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 51% (0.08 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.80 inHg and falling: −0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Cabo San Lucas?

The best time to visit Cabo San Lucas is from November to April: highs of 78 °F to 85 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Cabo San Lucas in October?

In October, Cabo San Lucas normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 2 rainy days (1.22 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Cabo San Lucas?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is September (5.26 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Cabo San Lucas?

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 31 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cabo San Lucas, one or two a year; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ileana, in September 2024.

More about Cabo San Lucas today

Weather near Cabo San Lucas

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:58 pm (local time).

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