Weather in Toliara

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:55 am (GMT+3)

Now · light drizzle 69 °F

Feels like: 75 °F
Low / high: 69 / 84 °F
Rain: 96% · 0.19 in
Wind: 3 mph NE

→ 29.90 inHg · steady UV 11 · very high

Today in Toliara: heavy drizzle, 69 °F to 84 °F, with a 96% chance of rain (0.19 in) and a light air from the northeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 65 °F to 81 °F and a 55% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 94 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 69°
Today
81° 65°
Fri 30
84° 64°
Sat 31
87° 64°
Sun 1
92° 67°
Mon 2
94° 71°
Tue 3
94° 69°
Wed 4
96° 72°
Thu 5
96° 73°
Fri 6
93° 73°
Sat 7
93° 73°
Sun 8
99° 79°
Mon 9
100° 80°
Tue 10
100° 79°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Heavy drizzle	69 / 84 °F	96% · 0.19 in	17 mph SSW	6.8 ft	6:38 am · 6:53 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	65 / 81 °F	55%	17 mph S	7.0 ft	7:17 am · 7:31 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Clear sky	64 / 84 °F	12%	16 mph S	6.0 ft	8:01 am · 8:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Clear sky	64 / 87 °F	0%	14 mph S	4.8 ft	8:58 am · 9:22 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Mainly clear	67 / 92 °F	0%	12 mph SW	3.7 ft	10:33 am · 11:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Mainly clear	71 / 94 °F	0%	12 mph W	3.4 ft	12:45 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	69 / 94 °F	2%	11 mph SSW	3.7 ft	1:32 am · 2:06 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	72 / 96 °F	4%	11 mph WSW	3.8 ft	2:35 am · 2:56 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	73 / 96 °F	2%	10 mph WSW	3.8 ft	3:19 am · 3:34 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	73 / 93 °F	2%	10 mph SSW	4.2 ft	3:54 am · 4:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Clear sky	73 / 93 °F	2%	13 mph S	5.9 ft	4:27 am · 4:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	79 / 99 °F	2%	11 mph S	5.4 ft	4:57 am · 5:08 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	80 / 100 °F	12%	11 mph N	4.1 ft	5:26 am · 5:36 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	79 / 100 °F	20% · 0.02 in	11 mph WSW	3.7 ft	5:54 am · 6:04 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	75°	70°	70°	79°	84°	80°	75°	72°
Chance of rain	8%	78%	96%	82%	57%	18%	0%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 W	5 NNE	2 E	7 S	10 SSW	17 SSW	13 SSW	9 S
Humidity	81%	94%	93%	63%	50%	52%	51%	59%
UV	0	0	0	4	11	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	84°	81°	84°	87°	92°	94°	94°
AIFS	81°	82°	81°	85°	90°	91°	90°
GFS	80°	83°	82°	81°	87°	85°	86°
ICON	81°	82°	84°	89°	96°	91°	92°
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.19 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.17 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.16 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.47 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1736	1735	1634	1431	1227	1230	1129
AIFS	14	15	15	14	12	13	13
GFS	2223	2524	2120	1614	1317	1212	2323
ICON	1628	2036	1832	1528	1323	1323	1628
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	96%	55%	12%	0%	0%	0%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	93%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	84° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Below −56%	A bit above +0.9 °F	84° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	84° / 77°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −41%	A bit above +0.5 °F
January	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −42%	A bit above +1.3 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −22%	Above +1.8 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Toliara climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Toliara is from June to August: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Toliara, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

95° 74°

JanJ
95° 74°

FebF
95° 73°

MarM
93° 68°

AprA
90° 60°

MayM
85° 57°

JunJ
84° 56°

JulJ
87° 58°

AugA
90° 62°

SepS
93° 66°

OctO
95° 71°

NovN
95° 73°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	95°	74°	7.75 in	16	8.1	84°	4.5 ft	7
FebruaryFeb	95°	74°	5.14 in	12	8.8	85°	4.3 ft	6
MarchMar	95°	73°	2.54 in	8	8.1	84°	4.5 ft	3
AprilApr	93°	68°	0.45 in	3	8.8	82°	5.0 ft	1
MayMay	90°	60°	0.25 in	2	8.9	79°	5.0 ft	1
JuneJun	85°	57°	0.33 in	1	8.8	77°	5.6 ft	–
JulyJul	84°	56°	0.13 in	1	8.9	76°	5.8 ft	–
AugustAug	87°	58°	0.16 in	1	9.1	75°	5.6 ft	–
SeptemberSep	90°	62°	0.21 in	1	9.4	76°	5.2 ft	–
OctoberOct	93°	66°	0.48 in	3	9.7	78°	5.1 ft	–
NovemberNov	95°	71°	1.57 in	5	9.4	80°	5.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	95°	73°	3.16 in	10	9.1	82°	4.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	84°	4.5 ft	7
Feb	85°	4.3 ft	6
Mar	84°	4.5 ft	3
Apr	82°	5.0 ft	1
May	79°	5.0 ft	1
Jun	77°	5.6 ft	–
Jul	76°	5.8 ft	–
Aug	75°	5.6 ft	–
Sep	76°	5.2 ft	–
Oct	78°	5.1 ft	–
Nov	80°	5.1 ft	–
Dec	82°	4.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 22.15 in of rain on about 63 days and about 3,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now69 °Ffeels like 75 °F

Tomorrow65 / 81 °F

It's 69 °F now (feels like 75 °F). Today, 69 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 81 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 96% 0.19 in
Fri 30 55%
Sat 31 12%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 0%
Tue 3 0%
Wed 4 2%

Today the chance of rain reaches 96%, with 0.19 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 55% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.20 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 0.23 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%

Dew point68 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 68 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds54%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak11very high

Fri 30: 11 · Sat 31: 12 · Sun 1: 12

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 30.00

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.07 in	12 mph WNW
Tue 27	Mainly clear	70 / 95 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Mon 26	Clear sky	71 / 96 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Sun 25	Clear sky	67 / 94 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	74 / 91 °F	0	18 mph S
Fri 23	Light drizzle	73 / 95 °F	0.01 in	13 mph WSW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	72 / 95 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	71 / 92 °F	0.01 in	13 mph WNW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.01 in	10 mph W
Mon 19	Light drizzle	69 / 102 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Sun 18	Clear sky	69 / 96 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sat 17	Clear sky	72 / 94 °F	0	12 mph W
Fri 16	Clear sky	71 / 95 °F	0	13 mph W
Thu 15	Clear sky	73 / 95 °F	0	12 mph W
Wed 14	Clear sky	70 / 96 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Tue 13	Clear sky	73 / 98 °F	0	11 mph W
Mon 12	Clear sky	76 / 99 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sun 11	Clear sky	71 / 98 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Sat 10	Clear sky	66 / 93 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Fri 9	Clear sky	66 / 88 °F	0	13 mph S
Thu 8	Clear sky	68 / 87 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Wed 7	Drizzle	72 / 89 °F	0.12 in	11 mph SW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	75 / 94 °F	0.01 in	8 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	68 / 89 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SSW
Sun 4	Light rain	70 / 88 °F	0.20 in	10 mph SW
Sat 3	Light rain	72 / 87 °F	0.44 in	12 mph NE
Fri 2	Rain	71 / 97 °F	0.45 in	11 mph E
Thu 1	Overcast	69 / 92 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Wed 30	Overcast	71 / 89 °F	0	15 mph SE
Tue 29	Mainly clear	69 / 86 °F	0	17 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ToliaraQuestions

What's the weather like today in Toliara?

Heavy drizzle, from 69 °F to 84 °F, with a light air from the northeast (3 mph) and a 96% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Toliara?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 55% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 64 °F and a high of 94 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Toliara?

The best time to visit Toliara is from June to August: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Toliara in October?

In October, Toliara normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 66 °F, with about 3 rainy days (0.48 in for the month) and 10 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Toliara?

The warmest is December, with average highs of 95 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 56 °F. The wettest is January (7.75 in) and the driest, July.

When is cyclone season in Toliara?

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Toliara, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

More about Toliara today

Weather near Toliara

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:55 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from