Weather in Tôlanaro

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:56 am (GMT+3)

Now · light drizzle 69 °F

Feels like: 70 °F
Low / high: 67 / 72 °F
Rain: 98% · 0.58 in
Wind: 12 mph WSW

→ 29.84 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Tôlanaro: rain, 67 °F to 72 °F, with a 98% chance of rain (0.58 in) and a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (12 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 65 °F to 74 °F and a 68% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 83 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Tôlanaro (FMSD), 1.8 mi away · 56 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature73 °F

Wind2 mph from the east

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

72° 67°
Today
74° 65°
Fri 30
74° 62°
Sat 31
77° 61°
Sun 1
80° 66°
Mon 2
83° 73°
Tue 3
83° 74°
Wed 4
83° 75°
Thu 5
86° 74°
Fri 6
85° 72°
Sat 7
82° 74°
Sun 8
82° 74°
Mon 9
82° 74°
Tue 10
82° 74°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Rain	67 / 72 °F	98% · 0.58 in	13 mph SW	5.4 ft	9:50 am · 9:40 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	65 / 74 °F	68% · 0.07 in	10 mph SE	5.4 ft	10:20 am · 10:00 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	62 / 74 °F	71% · 0.08 in	9 mph S	6.7 ft	10:51 am · 10:07 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	61 / 77 °F	2% · 0.02 in	10 mph ENE	6.7 ft	11:28 am · 9:19 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	66 / 80 °F	2%	15 mph NE	6.2 ft	12:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	73 / 83 °F	2% · 0.01 in	15 mph NE	4.9 ft	4:33 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	74 / 83 °F	8%	16 mph NE	4.5 ft	8:36 am · 5:35 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	75 / 83 °F	17%	21 mph NE	4.6 ft	7:24 am · 6:10 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	74 / 86 °F	14%	15 mph NE	6.2 ft	7:19 am · 6:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	72 / 85 °F	6%	8 mph ENE	6.6 ft	7:32 am · 7:07 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	74 / 82 °F	12%	12 mph S	5.4 ft	7:52 am · 7:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	25% · 0.02 in	21 mph NE	9.3 ft	8:14 am · 8:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	74 / 82 °F	41%	25 mph NE	10 ft	8:39 am · 8:30 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	74 / 82 °F	43%	25 mph NE	10 ft	9:06 am · 8:55 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Heavy drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Rain	Light drizzle	Overcast	Partly cloudy
Temperature	70°	69°	68°	71°	69°	72°	71°	69°
Chance of rain	53%	29%	80%	96%	94%	67%	22%	8%
Rain	0.04 in	0.00 in	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.13 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 W	12 WSW	8 WSW	13 SW	13 SSW	11 SSW	9 SSW	6 SSW
Humidity	95%	94%	97%	85%	86%	68%	68%	71%
UV	0	0	0	3	6	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	72°	74°	74°	77°	80°	83°	83°
AIFS	73°	73°	74°	76°	78°	81°	83°
GFS	71°	76°	76°	78°	83°	87°	82°
ICON	74°	76°	78°	79°	86°	92°	92°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.58 in	0.07 in	0.08 in	0.02 in	0	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.45 in	0.20 in	0.18 in	0.04 in	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.03 in
GFS	0.24 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0	0	0.26 in
ICON	0.28 in	0.04 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1330	1021	920	1028	1534	1532	1633
AIFS	13	7	6	7	13	14	13
GFS	1116	1110	1210	1113	1418	913	1116
ICON	1019	918	1123	1020	1326	1121	919
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	98%	68%	71%	2%	2%	2%	8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	97%	72%	71%	32%	6%	6%	33%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −68%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +27%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	78° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	78° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	79° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
December	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
January	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −28%	A bit above +1.3 °F
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −22%	A bit above +1.4 °F
March	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −23%	A bit above +1.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Tôlanaro climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tôlanaro is from August to October: highs of 81 °F to 85 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tôlanaro, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

89° 71°

JanJ
90° 71°

FebF
91° 72°

MarM
87° 66°

AprA
85° 61°

MayM
82° 58°

JunJ
80° 58°

JulJ
81° 59°

AugA
83° 61°

SepS
85° 64°

OctO
87° 66°

NovN
89° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	89°	71°	5.09 in	18	7.4	79°	5.6 ft	2
FebruaryFeb	90°	71°	4.89 in	17	8.2	79°	5.6 ft	2
MarchMar	91°	72°	5.36 in	16	6.6	79°	5.8 ft	2
AprilApr	87°	66°	2.78 in	12	7.2	77°	5.8 ft	–
MayMay	85°	61°	2.25 in	10	7.5	76°	5.6 ft	–
JuneJun	82°	58°	2.81 in	7	7.2	74°	6.0 ft	–
JulyJul	80°	58°	2.04 in	8	7.1	73°	6.1 ft	–
AugustAug	81°	59°	2.06 in	6	8.1	72°	5.9 ft	–
SeptemberSep	83°	61°	1.19 in	4	8.0	72°	6.0 ft	–
OctoberOct	85°	64°	1.71 in	7	8.3	73°	5.8 ft	–
NovemberNov	87°	66°	2.31 in	10	8.3	75°	5.4 ft	–
DecemberDec	89°	70°	4.38 in	14	8.1	77°	5.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	79°	5.6 ft	2
Feb	79°	5.6 ft	2
Mar	79°	5.8 ft	2
Apr	77°	5.8 ft	–
May	76°	5.6 ft	–
Jun	74°	6.0 ft	–
Jul	73°	6.1 ft	–
Aug	72°	5.9 ft	–
Sep	72°	6.0 ft	–
Oct	73°	5.8 ft	–
Nov	75°	5.4 ft	–
Dec	77°	5.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 36.89 in of rain on about 129 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now69 °Ffeels like 70 °F

Tomorrow65 / 74 °F

It's 69 °F now (feels like 70 °F). Today, 67 °F to 72 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 98% 0.58 in
Fri 30 68% 0.07 in
Sat 31 71% 0.08 in
Sun 1 2% 0.02 in
Mon 2 2%
Tue 3 2% 0.01 in
Wed 4 8%

Today the chance of rain reaches 98%, with 0.58 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 68% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.21 in; last 3 days, 0.21 in; last 7 days, 0.46 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point67 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 67 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds58%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 12

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 30.02

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.13 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 29

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Heavy drizzle	70 / 84 °F	0.16 in	11 mph N
Tue 27	Clear sky	71 / 85 °F	0	19 mph NE
Mon 26	Mainly clear	69 / 80 °F	0	21 mph NE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	67 / 76 °F	0.10 in	14 mph ENE
Sat 24	Drizzle	69 / 78 °F	0.11 in	13 mph SSW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	72 / 84 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SSE
Thu 22	Clear sky	72 / 84 °F	0	11 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	68 / 85 °F	0.01 in	12 mph NE
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	70 / 84 °F	0	19 mph NE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	68 / 84 °F	0	20 mph NE
Sun 18	Clear sky	69 / 83 °F	0	21 mph NE
Sat 17	Partly cloudy	72 / 80 °F	0	24 mph NE
Fri 16	Mainly clear	73 / 80 °F	0	22 mph NE
Thu 15	Clear sky	73 / 81 °F	0	24 mph NE
Wed 14	Clear sky	72 / 82 °F	0	23 mph NE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	71 / 80 °F	0	23 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	72 / 79 °F	0.02 in	21 mph NE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	71 / 79 °F	0.02 in	19 mph NE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	66 / 77 °F	0.05 in	10 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	62 / 78 °F	0.03 in	13 mph SSW
Thu 8	Drizzle	66 / 76 °F	0.15 in	6 mph NE
Wed 7	Light rain	70 / 78 °F	0.42 in	21 mph NE
Tue 6	Overcast	72 / 76 °F	0	21 mph NE
Mon 5	Drizzle	70 / 74 °F	0.26 in	19 mph NE
Sun 4	Drizzle	69 / 75 °F	0.39 in	19 mph NE
Sat 3	Drizzle	69 / 76 °F	0.13 in	19 mph NE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	71 / 73 °F	0.06 in	19 mph ENE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	67 / 72 °F	0.04 in	16 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	66 / 73 °F	0.15 in	13 mph SSE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	66 / 82 °F	0.26 in	13 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TôlanaroQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tôlanaro?

Rain, from 67 °F to 72 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (12 mph) and a 98% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tôlanaro?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 68% (0.07 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 61 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.84 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tôlanaro?

The best time to visit Tôlanaro is from August to October: highs of 81 °F to 85 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tôlanaro in October?

In October, Tôlanaro normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 7 rainy days (1.71 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 73 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tôlanaro?

The warmest is March, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 58 °F. The wettest is March (5.36 in) and the driest, September.

When is cyclone season in Tôlanaro?

Cyclone season: from January to March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tôlanaro, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

More about Tôlanaro today

Weather near Tôlanaro

Faux Cap 68 °F · light rain · 99 mi

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:56 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from